Week 3 opens at one of the sport's most storied venues: the Atlanta Falcons travel to Lambeau Field to face the Green Bay Packers on Thursday, September 24. The market has Green Bay comfortably in front but expects a low-scoring night, and the
First TD Scorer
market is where the biggest payouts live.
Atlanta's offense runs through its lead back regardless of game state, and the touchdown board reflects that. Bijan Robinson opens as the shortest number on the board to find the end zone first — and
has posted an interesting First TD Scorer price around him.
Featured Prop: Bijan Robinson First TD Scorer (+325)
on Bijan Robinson to score the first touchdown of the game against the Packers.
- The board's clear favorite:
Bet365 prices Robinson's Anytime TD at -180, a roughly 64.3% implied chance and comfortably the shortest anytime number in the game. The next name, Christian Watson, is out at +130 — a striking gap given Atlanta starts as a 6.5-point underdog.
- Predictive Value:
At +325, the First TD market implies roughly a 23.5% chance Robinson opens the scoring. That is short by First TD standards, and it reflects genuine concentration of touches rather than a speculative longshot — Atlanta's red-zone hierarchy starts and largely ends with him.
- Game script:
A 6.5-point spread and a 43.5-point total point to a game Green Bay expects to control without a shootout breaking out. With few touchdowns on offer, the opening score carries extra weight, and Robinson's dual-threat usage keeps him involved even if Atlanta falls behind.
- The competition:
Watson at +750 leads the Green Bay side of the board, with Tucker Kraft next at +850. Marshawn Lloyd sits at +900, while Kaleb Johnson and Drake London share +950.
Note:
Odds in this article are correct at time of publication and subject to change.
Player Props: Falcons Vs. Packers
First & Anytime TD Scorer Odds (Bet365)
| Player |
First TD Odds |
Anytime TD Odds |
| Bijan Robinson |
+325 |
-180 |
| Christian Watson |
+750 |
+130 |
| Tucker Kraft |
+850 |
+150 |
| Marshawn Lloyd |
+900 |
+160 |
| Kaleb Johnson |
+950 |
+165 |
| Drake London |
+950 |
+175 |
Falcons Vs. Packers Betting Preview
Explore the interactive widget below to discover the latest spread, over/under, and moneyline betting odds and probabilities for the Falcons-Packers game at Lambeau Field.
Check out all the important details on the game, as well as the best odds sourced from the top sportsbooks in the country.
Game Details
The key information you need before the Falcons vs. Packers NFL game.
- Teams:
Atlanta Falcons
vs.
Green Bay Packers
- Date:
Thursday, September 24, 2026
- Kickoff:
8:15 p.m. EDT
- Location:
Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
- TV:
Amazon Prime Video
- NFL standings:
- NFL injuries:
Odds (Bet365)
Odds for the key markets in the Falcons-Packers matchup.
- Spread:
Falcons +6.5 (-120), Packers -6.5 (+100)
- Moneyline:
Falcons +230, Packers -280
- Total:
Over/Under 43.5 (-115/-105)
The odds and lines presented here are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.
| Sportsbook |
New-user offer |
| Bet365 |
(no bonus code required) |
Bet365 Same Game Parlays
Bet365 has posted several featured Same Game Parlays for the Thursday night opener:
- Endzone to Endzone Action (+1900):
Both Teams 1+ TDs in Each Half - Yes + Both Teams 1+ FGs Made in Each Half - Yes + Over 47.5 Points. A $10 stake returns $200.
- Four of a Kind (+2300):
Bijan Robinson to Score a TD + Christian Watson to Score a TD + Tucker Kraft to Score a TD + Drake London to Score a TD. A $10 stake returns $240.
- Wide Receiver Royalty (+650):
Christian Watson 50+ Receiving Yards + Drake London 50+ Receiving Yards + Christian Watson to Score a TD + Drake London to Score a TD. A $10 stake returns $75.
- Bijan & Beyond (+950):
Falcons Moneyline + Bijan Robinson 100+ Rushing Yards + Bijan Robinson to Score 2+ TDs. A $10 stake returns $105.
Expert Prediction: Falcons Vs. Packers
Utilizing state-of-the-art data analysis and advanced algorithms, the experts at
Dimers
have performed 10,000 simulations of the Falcons vs. Packers matchup.
According to Dimers' predictive analytics model, the
Packers are more likely to win
at Lambeau Field. This prediction is based on the model giving the Packers a
74% chance
of winning the game, with a projected final score of
Packers 26, Falcons 18.
The model also leans to the
Packers covering the 6.5-point spread, with the projected eight-point margin clearing the number. On the total, the model's projected 44-point combined score sits marginally above Bet365's posted 43.5.
These predictions and probabilities are accurate at the time of publication but are subject to potential changes.
Falcons Vs. Packers Best Bet
Our top pick for the Falcons vs. Packers game is to bet on the
Packers -6.5 (+100)
at Bet365.
Dimers' model projects an eight-point Green Bay win, which clears the number with a point and a half to spare, and taking the spread at even money is materially better value than laying -280 on the moneyline for the same read on the game. This expert betting advice is based on world-class modeling and valuable betting intelligence, designed to help you make more informed decisions.
Final Thoughts: Falcons Vs. Packers
Thursday night sends Atlanta to Lambeau as a clear underdog. Green Bay is a 6.5-point favorite with the moneyline out to -280, but Bet365's 43.5-point total signals a book that expects the Packers to win comfortably without running up the score.
The headline angle is Bijan Robinson in the touchdown market. At +325 to strike first, he is the shortest First TD price on the board — and if you'd rather back him without needing the opening score, Bet365's
-180
anytime price is the more conservative route to the same read on Atlanta's red-zone hierarchy.
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