Brewers vs. D-Backs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Brewers vs. D-Backs MLB game on July 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Brewers
Brandon Woodruff 2-1, 2.59 ERA
3
4
Chase Field
D-Backs
Merrill Kelly 5-8, 5.84 ERA
Chase Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Brewers
0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 3 12 0
D-Backs
3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 X 4 4 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Brewers
    0%
  • D-Backs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
William Contreras grounds out to shallow infield, Geraldo Perdomo to Ildemaro Vargas.
Quick Box Score
Brewers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Turang 2B5130001.6001.600
2 C. Yelich DH5112102.2001.000
3 J. Chourio LF2111100.5002.500
4 W. Contreras C5020001.4000.800
5 G. Mitchell CF4020001.5001.250
6 A. Vaughn 1B3000012.0000.250
7 S. Frelick RF4000001.0000.000
8 C. Pratt SS3010010.3330.833
9 J. Ortiz 3B4020000.5001.000
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Marte 2B3000000.0000.250
2 G. Perdomo SS4000001.0000.000
3 C. Carroll RF3100012.0000.250
4 G. Moreno DH3110001.3330.666
5 A. Del Castillo C3113101.3331.666
6 N. Arenado 3B3000001.0000.000
7 J. Barrosa CF0100000.0000.000
8 I. Vargas 1B3011000.3331.000
9 T. Troy LF3000002.0000.000

Brewers vs. D-Backs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Brewers vs. D-Backs
  • Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026
  • Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Brewers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Brewers -152, D-Backs +194

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Brewers: 56%
  • D-Backs: 44%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Brewers a win probability of 56%, while the D-Backs have a win probability of 44%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Brewers are more likely to beat the D-Backs in the MLB game at Chase Field on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Brewers vs. D-Backs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.