Oct 4, 2026
Aces vs. Valkyries prediction favors Golden State to win Game 1 [2026 WNBA Playoffs]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Playoffs today, Wednesday, October 7, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 10/7.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Wednesday, October 7, 2026—are live with the Aces' A'ja Wilson projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Wilson, Gabby Williams and Cecilia Zandalasini lead Wednesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA Playoffs first basket predictions tonight (October 7, 2026)
- A'ja Wilson (Aces): 18.5% probability
- Gabby Williams (Valkyries): 17.0% probability
- Cecilia Zandalasini (Valkyries): 14.3% probability
- Breanna Stewart (Liberty): 14.3% probability
- Jackie Young (Aces): 12.7% probability
- Angel Reese (Dream): 12.5% probability
- Jonquel Jones (Liberty): 12.3% probability
- Rhyne Howard (Dream): 10.9% probability
- Isobel Borlase (Dream): 9.8% probability
- Jordin Canada (Dream): 9.8% probability
- Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty): 9.2% probability
- Chelsea Gray (Aces): 8.9% probability
- Pauline Astier (Liberty): 8.8% probability
- Stephanie Talbot (Aces): 8.1% probability
- Veronica Burton (Valkyries): 7.8% probability
- Kayla Thornton (Valkyries): 7.7% probability
- Naz Hillmon (Dream): 6.9% probability
- Leonie Fiebich (Liberty): 5.5% probability
- Kiah Stokes (Valkyries): 3.1% probability
- Brianna Turner (Aces): 1.8% probability
WNBA first basket picks today (October 7, 2026)
- Jackie Young (Aces): 2.2% edge at +850
- Pauline Astier (Liberty): 2.1% edge at +1400
- Chelsea Gray (Aces): 1.7% edge at +1300
- Jordin Canada (Dream): 1.5% edge at +1100
- Stephanie Talbot (Aces): 1.0% edge at +1300
- Gabby Williams (Valkyries): 0.4% edge at +500
- Naz Hillmon (Dream): 0.3% edge at +1400
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 10/7.
Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket
For the Playoffs action on Wednesday, October 7, 2026, A'ja Wilson, Gabby Williams and Cecilia Zandalasini lead our first basket projections, while Jackie Young shapes as the strongest value play at +850. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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