Jets vs. Patriots prediction favors New England to win in NFL Week 6 [2026]

Since our Jets-Patriots predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Jets and Patriots, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Patriots a 74.2% chance of beating the Jets in Week 6 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Patriots winning 25-17.

Key factors favoring the Patriots:

• Patriots team rating
• Jets offense
• Patriots offense

According to our model, the oddsmakers have got it right, and the Jets and Patriots each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 42.5-point over/under has a 51.9% chance of going over.

What's tipping the scales toward the over?:

• Playing conditions
• Patriots recent performance

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 6 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Jets +7.5 (-112) / Patriots -7.5 (+111)
• Moneyline: Jets +300, Patriots -308
• Total: Over/Under 42.5 (-102/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Patriots -7.5 @ 47¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Jets @ 25¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 42.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Patriots -7.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Jets vs. Patriots TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Jets vs. Patriots?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Rhamondre Stevenson is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Jets vs. Patriots.

Our projections give Stevenson a 48.4% chance of getting in for six at Gillette Stadium, while the running back is a 12.0% chance of registering the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

New York Jets

• Braelon Allen (RB): 41.1% probability
• Garrett Wilson (WR): 31.1%
• Kenyon Sadiq (TE): 14.9%
• Isaiah Davis (RB): 14.2%
• Omar Cooper (WR): 11.8%

New England Patriots

• Rhamondre Stevenson (RB): 48.4% prob.
• A.J. Brown (WR): 36.6%
• Hunter Henry (TE): 26.7%
• Romeo Doubs (WR): 25.7%
• TreVeyon Henderson (RB): 24.9%

First touchdown scorer predictions

New York Jets

• Braelon Allen (RB): 11.3% prob.
• Garrett Wilson (WR): 8.0%
• Kenyon Sadiq (TE): 3.5%
• Isaiah Davis (RB): 3.3%
• Omar Cooper (WR): 2.7%

New England Patriots

• Rhamondre Stevenson (RB): 12.0% prob.
• A.J. Brown (WR): 8.3%
• Hunter Henry (TE): 5.6%
• Romeo Doubs (WR): 5.4%
• TreVeyon Henderson (RB): 5.2%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Jets and Patriots. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 6 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jets' Geno Smith is projected for 212 passing yards. The Patriots' Drake Maye is expected to throw for 235 yards.

Jets rushing

• Braelon Allen: 68 yds
• Isaiah Davis: 14 yds
• Geno Smith: 11 yds

Patriots rushing

• Rhamondre Stevenson: 62 yds
• TreVeyon Henderson: 32 yds
• Drake Maye: 28 yds

Jets receiving

• Garrett Wilson: 75 yds
• Kenyon Sadiq: 23 yds
• Tim Patrick: 22 yds
• Isaiah Williams: 21 yds
• Omar Cooper: 20 yds

Patriots receiving

• A.J. Brown: 56 yds
• Romeo Doubs: 38 yds
• Hunter Henry: 31 yds
• DeMario Douglas: 27 yds
• Rhamondre Stevenson: 23 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 6 action between the Patriots and Jets at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: New York Jets vs. New England Patriots
• Date: Sunday, October 18, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Patriots, with a 74.2% win probability, will likely beat the Jets in Week 6 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.