Cowboys vs. Packers prediction favors Green Bay to win SNF Week 6 [2026]

Since our Cowboys-Packers predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Cowboys and Packers, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Packers a 56.7% chance of defeating the Cowboys in Week 6 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Packers winning 26-25.

Key factors favoring the Packers:

• Packers team rating
• Packers offense
• Cowboys defense

According to our model, the oddsmakers have got it right, and the Cowboys and Packers each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 53.5 points has a 53.4% chance of staying under.

Here's what's driving the under's higher probability::

• Playing conditions
• Packers pace

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 6 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Cowboys +1.5 (-113) / Packers -1.5 (+111)
• Moneyline: Cowboys +101, Packers -102
• Total: Over/Under 53.5 (-102/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Packers -1.5 @ 47¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Packers @ 50¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 53.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Packers to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Cowboys vs. Packers TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Cowboys vs. Packers?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Javonte Williams is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Cowboys vs. Packers.

Our projections give Williams a 62.8% chance of scoring a TD at Lambeau Field, while the running back is a 15.2% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Dallas Cowboys

• Javonte Williams (RB): 62.8% probability
• CeeDee Lamb (WR): 42.0%
• George Pickens (WR): 31.9%
• Jake Ferguson (TE): 26.3%
• Ryan Flournoy (WR): 19.1%

Green Bay Packers

• Christian Watson (WR): 48.1% prob.
• MarShawn Lloyd (RB): 48.0%
• Matthew Golden (WR): 35.4%
• Tucker Kraft (TE): 33.2%
• Pierre Strong (RB): 23.2%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Dallas Cowboys

• Javonte Williams (RB): 15.2% prob.
• CeeDee Lamb (WR): 8.4%
• George Pickens (WR): 5.9%
• Jake Ferguson (TE): 4.7%
• Ryan Flournoy (WR): 3.3%

Green Bay Packers

• Christian Watson (WR): 10.3% prob.
• MarShawn Lloyd (RB): 10.3%
• Matthew Golden (WR): 6.9%
• Tucker Kraft (TE): 6.3%
• Pierre Strong (RB): 4.2%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Cowboys and Packers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 6 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Cowboys' Dak Prescott is projected to have a big game with 279 passing yards, while the Packers' Jordan Love is expected to throw for a whopping 276 yards.

Cowboys rushing

• Javonte Williams: 71 yds
• Tyler Goodson: 13 yds
• Dak Prescott: 12 yds

Packers rushing

• MarShawn Lloyd: 45 yds
• Kaleb Johnson: 22 yds
• Pierre Strong: 19 yds

Cowboys receiving

• CeeDee Lamb: 85 yds
• George Pickens: 72 yds
• Ryan Flournoy: 38 yds
• Jake Ferguson: 31 yds
• Javonte Williams: 18 yds

Packers receiving

• Christian Watson: 78 yds
• Matthew Golden: 71 yds
• Tucker Kraft: 51 yds
• Pierre Strong: 16 yds
• MarShawn Lloyd: 15 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 6 matchup between the Packers and Cowboys at Lambeau Field is scheduled to commence at 8:20 PM ET.

• Who: Dallas Cowboys vs. Green Bay Packers
• Date: Sunday, October 18, 2026
• Time: 8:20 PM ET/5:20PM PT
• Venue: Lambeau Field

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Conclusion

We predict the Packers, with a 56.7% win probability, will likely beat the Cowboys in Week 6 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.