Vikings vs. Packers prediction favors Green Bay to win in NFL Week 10 [2026]

Since our Vikings-Packers predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Vikings and Packers, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Packers a 59.4% chance of beating the Vikings in Week 10 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Packers winning 22-20.

Key factors favoring the Packers:

• Vikings offense
• Packers team rating
• Packers QB situation

According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Vikings and Packers each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 42.5 points also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 10 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Vikings +2.5 (+108) / Packers -2.5 (-111)
• Moneyline: Vikings +135, Packers -138
• Total: Over/Under 42.5 (+104/-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Vikings +2.5 @ 48¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Packers @ 58¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 42.5 @ 49¢ via Novig

According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Vikings +2.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Vikings vs. Packers TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Vikings vs. Packers?

According to our model, Christian Watson is most likely to score an anytime TD in Vikings vs. Packers.

Our projections give Watson a 40.7% chance of scoring a TD at Lambeau Field, while the wide receiver is a 10.6% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Minnesota Vikings

• Justin Jefferson (WR): 38.8% probability
• Jordan Mason (RB): 31.8%
• Aaron Jones (RB): 24.7%
• Jordan Addison (WR): 24.5%
• Gavin Bartholomew (TE): 16.8%

Green Bay Packers

• Christian Watson (WR): 40.7% prob.
• Matthew Golden (WR): 33.4%
• Tucker Kraft (TE): 26.7%
• Kaleb Johnson (RB): 26.5%
• MarShawn Lloyd (RB): 17.2%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Minnesota Vikings

• Justin Jefferson (WR): 10.3% prob.
• Jordan Mason (RB): 8.0%
• Aaron Jones (RB): 5.9%
• Jordan Addison (WR): 5.8%
• Gavin Bartholomew (TE): 3.8%

Green Bay Packers

• Christian Watson (WR): 10.6% prob.
• Matthew Golden (WR): 8.2%
• Tucker Kraft (TE): 6.3%
• Kaleb Johnson (RB): 6.2%
• MarShawn Lloyd (RB): 3.8%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Vikings and Packers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 10 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Vikings' Kirk Cousins is projected for 234 passing yards, while the Packers' Jordan Love is expected to throw for 260 yards.

Vikings rushing

• Jordan Mason: 51 yds
• Aaron Jones: 32 yds
• Kirk Cousins: 4 yds

Packers rushing

• Kaleb Johnson: 33 yds
• Chris Brooks: 26 yds
• MarShawn Lloyd: 14 yds

Vikings receiving

• Justin Jefferson: 84 yds
• Jordan Addison: 54 yds
• Gavin Bartholomew: 26 yds
• Myles Price: 18 yds
• Ben Yurosek: 16 yds

Packers receiving

• Christian Watson: 76 yds
• Matthew Golden: 73 yds
• Tucker Kraft: 41 yds
• Savion Williams: 26 yds
• MarShawn Lloyd: 8 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 10 game between the Packers and Vikings at Lambeau Field is scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers
• Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00 AM PT
• Venue: Lambeau Field

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Conclusion

We predict the Packers, with a 59.4% win probability, will likely beat the Vikings in Week 10 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.