Jaguars vs. Titans prediction: Why Jacksonville is favored to win in NFL Week 10 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects an 82.4% win probability for the Jaguars at Nissan Stadium.

The Tennessee Titans will take on the favored Jacksonville Jaguars in NFL Cup Week 10 action at Nissan Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 1:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Jaguars as the most likely winner in this Jaguars vs. Titans prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Jaguars vs. Titans prediction and odds
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Jaguars an 82.4% chance of defeating the Titans in Week 10 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Jaguars winning 29-18.
Key factors favoring the Jaguars:
- Jaguars team rating
- Titans offense
- Jaguars offense
According to our model, the Jaguars (-10.5) have a 50.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 46.5-point over/under has a 53.5% chance of going over.
What's tipping the scales toward the over?:
- Jaguars recent performance
- QB ratings
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 10 straight up picks.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Jaguars -10.5 (-104) / Titans +10.5 (+102)
- Moneyline: Jaguars -525, Titans +525
- Total: Over/Under 46.5 (+104/-104)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Titans +10.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Titans @ 16¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 46.5 @ 49¢ via Polymarket
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 46.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Jaguars vs. Titans TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Jaguars vs. Titans?
According to our model, Bhayshul Tuten is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Jaguars vs. Titans.
Our projections give Tuten a 49.4% chance of scoring a TD at Nissan Stadium, while the running back is an 11.6% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Bhayshul Tuten (RB): 49.4% probability
- Parker Washington (WR): 40.3%
- Chris Rodriguez (RB): 37.1%
- Jakobi Meyers (WR): 25.5%
- Brenton Strange (TE): 24.2%
Tennessee Titans
- Tony Pollard (RB): 41.7% prob.
- Wan'Dale Robinson (WR): 23.9%
- Elic Ayomanor (WR): 19.9%
- Chimere Dike (WR): 19.3%
- Tyjae Spears (RB): 15.2%
First touchdown scorer predictions
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Bhayshul Tuten (RB): 11.6% prob.
- Parker Washington (WR): 8.8%
- Chris Rodriguez (RB): 7.9%
- Jakobi Meyers (WR): 5.0%
- Brenton Strange (TE): 4.7%
Tennessee Titans
- Tony Pollard (RB): 10.0% prob.
- Wan'Dale Robinson (WR): 5.0%
- Elic Ayomanor (WR): 4.1%
- Chimere Dike (WR): 3.9%
- Tyjae Spears (RB): 3.0%
Top player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Jaguars and Titans. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 10 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is projected for 247 passing yards. The Titans' Cam Ward is expected to throw for 205 yards.
Jaguars rushing
- Bhayshul Tuten: 71 yds
- Chris Rodriguez: 35 yds
- Trevor Lawrence: 13 yds
Titans rushing
- Tony Pollard: 59 yds
- Tyjae Spears: 15 yds
- Cam Ward: 15 yds
Jaguars receiving
- Parker Washington: 66 yds
- Jakobi Meyers: 48 yds
- Brenton Strange: 39 yds
- Nate Boerkircher: 17 yds
- Brian Thomas: 17 yds
Titans receiving
- Wan'Dale Robinson: 45 yds
- Chimere Dike: 34 yds
- Elic Ayomanor: 33 yds
- Gunnar Helm: 31 yds
- Calvin Ridley: 21 yds
Game info & kickoff details
The NFL Week 10 matchup between the Titans and Jaguars at Nissan Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans
- Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00 AM PT
- Venue: Nissan Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Jaguars, with an 82.4% win probability, will likely beat the Titans in Week 10 of the NFL season.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



