Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction: Oklahoma City Predicted to Win Game 3 [2025]

The Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder will meet in the 2025 NBA Playoffs at Ball Arena on Friday, starting at 10:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of Game 3.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Oklahoma City-Denver game 10,000 times," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Thunder's chance of winning is 69%, while the Nuggets' is 31%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature players like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon, while the Thunder will be led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren.

For a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Thunder vs. Nuggets predictions page.

Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction: Who Will Win Game 3?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA Playoffs game between the Thunder and Nuggets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Thunder a 69% chance of defeating the Nuggets in Game 3 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 118-112.

According to our model, the Nuggets (+6) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 231.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 3 Odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Thunder	Nuggets
Spread	-6 (-112)	+6 (-108)
Moneyline	-258	+225
Total	o231.5 (-115)	u231.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Thunder vs. Nuggets Picks and Best Bets for Game 3

Our model's strongest edge in today's Thunder vs. Nuggets matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 3 Player Props

NBA player props are a great way to wager on the Oklahoma City vs. Denver game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder in scoring, while Nikola Jokic is projected to be the top scorer for the Nuggets.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 3 Updates and Essential Details

Friday's Game 3 between the Nuggets and Thunder in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to start at 10:00PM ET.

• Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets
• Date: Friday, May 9, 2025
• Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena
• NBA Playoffs Bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule

The NBA Playoffs is an annual elimination tournament held to decide the league's champion.

A total of 16 teams, including the Thunder and Nuggets, reached the NBA Playoffs 2025, which spans four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.

Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned. Dimers.com's full preview of Friday's Thunder vs. Nuggets matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Oklahoma City vs. Denver picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Nuggets on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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