Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Nuggets NBA game on May 9, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Thunder
104
113
May 10, 2AM Ball Arena
Nuggets
May 10, 2AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234OTT
Thunder
 28 28 27 19 2104
Nuggets
 22 29 29 22 11113
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
ThunderOKC
Win %
<1%
>99%
NuggetsDEN
Win Probability
TEAM1234OTT
Thunder
 28 28 27 19 2104
Nuggets
 22 29 29 22 11113
OT1 00:20 Thunder misses three point jump shot
OT1 00:27 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
OT1 00:52 Thunder misses two point jump shot
OT1 1:05 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
OT1 1:25 Thunder misses two point jump shot
OT1 1:38 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
OT1 1:56 Thunder makes two point jump shot
OT1 2:41 Thunder misses two point jump shot
OT1 3:02 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
OT1 3:06 Jalen Williams misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
OT
ALL
OT1 00:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 00:09
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
OT1 00:20
Thunder misses three point jump shot
OT1 00:21
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
OT1 00:21
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
OT1 00:21
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Peyton Watson)
OT1 00:24
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
OT1 00:27
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
OT1 00:27
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams)
OT1 00:36
Thunder personal foul
OT1 00:50
Christian Braun defensive rebound
OT1 00:52
Thunder misses two point jump shot
OT1 1:05
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
104-113
OT1 1:22
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
OT1 1:25
Thunder misses two point jump shot
OT1 1:38
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
104-111
OT1 1:56
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
104-109
OT1 2:13
Nuggets turnover
OT1 2:35
Thunder turnover
OT1 2:36
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
OT1 2:41
Thunder misses two point jump shot
OT1 3:02
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
102-109
OT1 3:02
Thunder 60 second timeout
OT1 3:06
Thunder turnover
OT1 3:06
Jalen Williams misses two point jump shot
OT1 3:06
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
OT1 3:06
Jalen Williams turnover (lost ball)
OT1 3:23
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
OT1 3:25
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
OT1 3:25
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams)
OT1 3:38
Thunder personal foul
OT1 3:44
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
OT1 3:45
Thunder misses two point jump shot
OT1 4:00
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
102-107
OT1 4:13
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
OT1 4:13
Thunder misses two point jump shot
OT1 4:39
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
102-104
Q4 00:00
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:00
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q4 00:00
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso)
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:00
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso)
OT1 5:00
(Aaron Gordon gains possession)
OT1 5:00
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso)
Q4 00:02
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:02
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q4 00:02
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 00:27
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
102-102
Q4 00:33
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q4 00:37
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:53
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 00:54
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:54
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic)
Q4 1:11
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 1:11
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic)
Q4 1:11
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-99
Q4 1:11
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-99
Q4 1:11
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 1:31
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:31
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q4 1:31
Nuggets turnover
Q4 1:50
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
100-99
Q4 1:57
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Q4 2:01
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:17
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
97-99
Q4 2:30
Jump ball. (Nuggets gains possession)
Q4 2:30
Luguentz Dort turnover (lost ball)
Q4 2:32
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 2:32
Thunder personal foul
Q4 2:32
Michael Porter Jr. personal foul (Double)
Q4 2:33
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:37
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Q4 2:44
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:57
Thunder defensive rebound
Q4 2:57
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 2:59
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:04
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q4 3:09
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:18
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q4 3:18
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 3:20
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:23
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:23
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 3:23
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q4 3:35
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Q4 3:36
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q4 3:36
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:40
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:41
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
Q4 3:43
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:57
Thunder personal foul
Q4 3:57
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-96
Q4 3:57
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-97
Q4 4:08
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
97-95
Q4 4:26
Thunder personal foul
Q4 4:26
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-94
Q4 4:26
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-95
Q4 4:41
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Q4 4:46
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:05
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q4 5:07
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:15
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 5:19
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:24
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q4 5:27
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:41
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q4 5:43
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:58
Thunder personal foul
Q4 5:58
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 5:58
Instant replay
Q4 5:58
Jamal Murray misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 5:58
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q4 5:58
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams)
Q4 5:58
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-93
Q4 6:20
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
95-92
Q4 6:20
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic)
Q4 6:25
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 6:25
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 6:25
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 6:26
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:29
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q4 6:31
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:47
Nuggets turnover
Q4 6:47
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso)
Q4 7:09
Nuggets defensive rebound
Q4 7:09
Thunder personal foul
Q4 7:09
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Russell Westbrook, Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic)
Q4 7:10
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:14
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q4 7:17
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:33
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
93-92
Q4 7:45
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
90-92
Q4 7:50
Peyton Watson offensive rebound
Q4 7:50
Thunder personal foul
Q4 7:51
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:57
Thunder turnover
Q4 8:06
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 8:16
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
90-90
Q4 8:31
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 8:31
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-87
Q4 8:31
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Q4 8:31
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-87
Q4 8:31
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
Q4 8:31
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso)
Q4 8:33
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q4 8:36
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:01
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
88-87
Q4 9:18
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
86-87
Q4 9:37
Thunder turnover
Q4 9:45
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:45
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Q4 9:53
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 10:02
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q4 10:05
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:09
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Q4 10:11
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:25
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
86-85
Q4 10:52
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
86-83
Q4 11:06
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
83-83
Q4 11:16
Peyton Watson offensive rebound
Q4 11:19
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:35
Thunder turnover
Q4 11:35
Russell Westbrook turnover
Q4 11:35
Russell Westbrook personal foul
Q3 00:00
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q3 00:00
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso)
Q3 00:00
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Peyton Watson)
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso)
Q4 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Peyton Watson)
Q3 00:03
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 00:03
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 00:03
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 00:03
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso)
Q3 00:03
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic)
Q3 00:03
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
83-80
Q3 00:07
Nuggets turnover
Q3 00:08
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q3 00:08
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Aaron Gordon, Peyton Watson)
Q3 00:08
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso)
Q3 00:30
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q3 00:34
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:45
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
82-80
Q3 00:52
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
82-77
Q3 00:55
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 00:58
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:14
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
80-77
Q3 1:23
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 1:26
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:33
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 1:35
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:39
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q3 1:41
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:41
Jamal Murray turnover (bad pass)
Q3 1:59
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 2:01
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:15
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
78-77
Q3 2:27
Thunder personal foul
Q3 2:27
Nuggets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
Q3 2:27
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams)
Q3 2:37
Stoppage (Other)
Q3 2:38
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
78-75
Q3 2:54
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
75-75
Q3 2:56
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Q3 2:59
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:16
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
75-73
Q3 3:35
Thunder personal foul
Q3 3:35
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
72-72
Q3 3:35
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-73
Q3 3:43
Thunder personal foul
Q3 3:51
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 3:51
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-71
Q3 3:51
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-71
Q3 4:02
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q3 4:05
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:09
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Q3 4:12
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:20
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q3 4:22
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:30
Jump ball. (Aaron Gordon gains possession)
Q3 4:35
Michael Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Q3 4:37
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:01
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 5:04
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 5:04
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2
70-71
Q3 5:04
Alex Caruso misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 5:13
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
69-71
Q3 5:13
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 5:22
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Q3 5:26
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:30
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q3 5:30
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:30
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q3 5:30
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 5:30
Nuggets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic)
Q3 5:30
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams)
Q3 5:32
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:34
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Q3 5:38
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:49
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
69-69
Q3 5:59
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
69-66
Q3 6:08
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
67-66
Q3 6:10
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Q3 6:11
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:23
Thunder personal foul
Q3 6:38
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
67-64
Q3 6:38
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams)
Q3 6:49
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 6:59
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 7:00
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:11
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q3 7:13
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:25
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
65-64
Q3 7:28
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 7:32
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:43
Nuggets turnover
Q3 8:00
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 8:02
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:13
Nuggets turnover
Q3 8:30
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q3 8:32
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 8:32
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q3 8:32
Instant replay
Q3 8:32
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-61
Q3 8:32
Luguentz Dort misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 8:45
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 8:48
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:01
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
64-61
Q3 9:06
Nuggets turnover
Q3 9:15
Thunder turnover
Q3 9:20
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Q3 9:26
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:40
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
62-61
Q3 9:58
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
62-58
Q3 10:10
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
60-58
Q3 10:27
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
60-55
Q3 10:37
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 10:44
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q3 10:48
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:06
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
58-55
Q3 11:19
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
56-55
Q3 11:33
Nuggets defensive rebound
Q3 11:33
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 11:34
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:48
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
56-53
Q2 00:00
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q2 00:00
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic)
Q3 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams)
Q2 00:03
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:26
Nuggets turnover
Q2 00:26
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Peyton Watson)
Q2 00:26
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams)
Q2 00:35
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q2 00:39
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:54
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q2 00:56
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:08
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q2 1:11
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:18
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
56-51
Q2 1:34
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 1:36
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q2 1:36
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 1:36
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
56-49
Q2 1:36
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 1:39
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:50
Nuggets turnover
Q2 2:09
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
55-49
Q2 2:28
Thunder personal foul
Q2 2:28
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
53-48
Q2 2:28
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-49
Q2 2:35
Thunder turnover
Q2 2:46
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Q2 2:50
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 2:50
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 2:50
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 2:50
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 2:50
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic)
Q2 2:54
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q2 2:57
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:59
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 2:59
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams)
Q2 3:09
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Q2 3:13
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:28
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
53-47
Q2 3:45
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q2 3:47
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q2 3:47
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
53-45
Q2 3:47
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 3:47
Stoppage (Other)
Q2 3:47
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q2 3:48
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:52
Nuggets turnover
Q2 4:10
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
51-45
Q2 4:11
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q2 4:13
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:31
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
49-45
Q2 4:45
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
49-42
Q2 4:46
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q2 4:46
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins)
Q2 4:46
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
Q2 4:51
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q2 4:53
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:01
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q2 5:04
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:06
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q2 5:09
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:24
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
47-42
Q2 5:33
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 5:34
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:43
Thunder personal foul
Q2 5:50
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 5:50
Thunder personal foul
Q2 5:50
+1
Nikola Jokic makes technical free throw 1 of 1
45-42
Q2 6:02
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Q2 6:06
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:14
Jump ball. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Aaron Wiggins gains possession)
Q2 6:14
Christian Braun turnover (lost ball)
Q2 6:30
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
45-41
Q2 6:32
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Q2 6:34
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:40
Nuggets turnover
Q2 6:42
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q2 6:47
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:56
Thunder personal foul
Q2 6:56
+1
Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
42-40
Q2 6:56
+1
Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
42-41
Q2 7:09
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
42-39
Q2 7:22
Nuggets turnover
Q2 7:22
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q2 7:22
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso)
Q2 7:22
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Russell Westbrook, Nikola Jokic)
Q2 7:49
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
40-39
Q2 7:58
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 8:07
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
38-39
Q2 8:22
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
38-37
Q2 8:27
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q2 8:31
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:38
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Q2 8:40
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:56
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
36-37
Q2 9:16
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
36-34
Q2 9:28
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
34-34
Q2 9:42
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
34-32
Q2 9:54
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
32-32
Q2 10:17
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
32-29
Q2 10:32
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
30-29
Q2 10:43
Thunder turnover
Q2 10:44
Thunder personal foul
Q2 10:46
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q2 10:52
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:02
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q2 11:04
Thunder personal foul
Q2 11:04
Peyton Watson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 11:04
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q2 11:04
Peyton Watson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 11:11
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 11:11
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
29-26
Q2 11:11
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-26
Q2 11:24
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
28-26
Q2 11:27
Thunder turnover
Q2 11:46
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
28-24
Q1 00:00
Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Thunder offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Peyton Watson)
Q2 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso)
Q1 00:04
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:04
Peyton Watson turnover (lost ball) (Isaiah Joe steals)
Q1 00:17
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q1 00:18
Thunder personal foul
Q1 00:18
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-22
Q1 00:18
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Aaron Gordon, Peyton Watson)
Q1 00:18
Peyton Watson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 00:31
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 00:34
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:53
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 00:55
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:10
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 1:12
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:15
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q1 1:16
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:26
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 1:29
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:44
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-21
Q1 2:02
Thunder personal foul
Q1 2:02
Russell Westbrook misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 2:02
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q1 2:02
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson)
Q1 2:02
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-21
Q1 2:08
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Q1 2:11
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:21
Thunder personal foul
Q1 2:21
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-19
Q1 2:21
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-20
Q1 2:29
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Q1 2:33
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:39
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 2:39
Thunder personal foul
Q1 2:39
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 2:39
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso)
Q1 2:41
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:49
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 2:49
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q1 2:49
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams)
Q1 2:49
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic)
Q1 2:49
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
25-18
Q1 2:49
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-18
Q1 2:59
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 3:03
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:21
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
24-18
Q1 3:29
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 3:32
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:54
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
21-18
Q1 4:04
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 4:08
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:16
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q1 4:19
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:30
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
19-18
Q1 4:48
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
19-16
Q1 4:57
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 5:00
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:10
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 5:13
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:24
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:24
Thunder offensive rebound
Q1 5:24
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 5:30
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 5:33
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:42
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q1 5:44
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:01
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
17-16
Q1 6:15
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q1 6:17
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:29
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
17-14
Q1 6:36
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q1 6:36
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:36
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q1 6:41
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:58
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
17-11
Q1 7:08
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
16-8
Q1 7:09
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q1 7:09
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 7:09
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams)
Q1 7:09
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes technical free throw 1 of 1
16-8
Q1 7:12
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 7:15
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:31
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
14-8
Q1 7:45
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 7:45
Nikola Jokic turnover
Q1 8:00
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
11-8
Q1 8:17
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Q1 8:24
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
8-8
Q1 8:45
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
8-5
Q1 8:50
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 8:53
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:01
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 9:03
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:19
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
6-5
Q1 9:35
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
6-3
Q1 9:45
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 9:48
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:00
Thunder turnover
Q1 10:12
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q1 10:15
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:22
Thunder personal foul
Q1 10:22
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 3
4-1
Q1 10:22
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 3
4-2
Q1 10:22
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 3 of 3
4-3
Q1 10:41
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
4-0
Q1 10:51
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 10:54
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:04
Thunder turnover
Q1 11:13
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q1 11:15
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:38
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
2-0
Q1 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic)
Q1 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams)
Q1 12:00
(Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
On Court
On Court
Thunder
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
G2S. Gilgeous-Alexander18137
G22C. Wallace231
F7C. Holmgren18160
C55I. Hartenstein10104
F8J. Williams3235
Nuggets
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
F32A. Gordon2285
C15N. Jokic20166
G8P. Watson750
G4R. Westbrook814
G0C. Braun871

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Thunder vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Thunder vs. Nuggets
  • Date: Friday, May 9, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -6
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Thunder -245, Nuggets +225

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Thunder: 69%
  • Nuggets: 31%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 119-113 Nuggets.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 69%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 31%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Thunder vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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