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Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction: Oklahoma City Predicted to Win Game 4 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Game 4 matchup.
The Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder are scheduled to meet in the 2025 NBA Playoffs at Ball Arena on Sunday, starting at 3:30PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Thunder as the most likely winner of Game 4.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Oklahoma City-Denver game," said Damien Souness from Dimers.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Thunder with a win probability of 70%, while the Nuggets have 30%."
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature players like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon, while the Thunder will rely on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren.
For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Thunder vs. Nuggets predictions page.
Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction: Who Will Win Game 4?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA Playoffs matchup between the Thunder and Nuggets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Thunder a 70% chance of defeating the Nuggets in Game 4 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 117-111.
According to our model, the Nuggets (+6.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 227.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 4 Odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Thunder | Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-112) | +6.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -260 | +225 |
| Total | o227.5 (-115) | u227.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Boost your NBA betting by exploring the latest NBA betting promos, sourced from top sportsbooks and DFS operators.
Thunder vs. Nuggets Picks and Best Bets for Game 4
Our model's biggest edge in today's Thunder vs. Nuggets matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NBA picks and NBA best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 4 Player Props
NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on the Thunder vs. Nuggets game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to lead the Thunder in scoring, while Nikola Jokic is projected to be the top scorer for the Nuggets.
Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.
Thunder vs. Nuggets Game 4 Updates and Essential Details
Sunday's Game 4 between the Nuggets and Thunder in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 3:30PM ET.
- Who: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets
- Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
- Time: 3:30PM ET/12:30PM PT
- Venue: Ball Arena
- NBA Playoffs Bracket: Updated NBA Playoffs bracket and schedule
The NBA Playoffs is an annual elimination tournament held to decide the league's champion.
Sixteen teams, including the Thunder and Nuggets, made the 2025 NBA Playoffs, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned. Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Thunder vs. Nuggets matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Oklahoma City vs. Denver picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Thunder, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Nuggets on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Thunder vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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