Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Nuggets NBA game on May 11, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

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FINAL

NBA

FINAL

NBA

Thunder

May 11, 7:30PM Ball Arena

Nuggets

May 11, 7:30PM Ball Arena

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

TEAM	1	2	3	4	T
Thunder	17	25	21	29	92
Nuggets	8	28	33	18	87

Live Probabilities

Spread

Over / Under

Moneyline

ThunderOKC

Win %

>99%

<1%

NuggetsDEN

Win Probability

TEAM	1	2	3	4	T
Thunder	17	25	21	29	92
Nuggets	8	28	33	18	87

Play by Play

ALL

Q4 00:00

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q4 00:00

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q4 00:00

Nuggets offensive rebound

Q4 00:00

End of 4th Quarter.

Q4 00:01

Thunder 60 second timeout

Q4 00:01

Nuggets personal foul

Q4 00:01

Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)

Q4 00:01

Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2

91-87

Q4 00:01

Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2

92-87

Q4 00:02

Nuggets makes three point jump shot

90-87

Q4 00:03

Jump ball. Isaiah Hartenstein (Aaron Gordon gains possession)

Q4 00:08

Thunder personal foul

Q4 00:08

Aaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 3

Q4 00:08

Nuggets offensive rebound

Q4 00:08

Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 3

90-84

Q4 00:08

Nikola Jokic double lane violation

Q4 00:08

Chet Holmgren double lane violation

Q4 00:20

Nuggets personal foul

Q4 00:20

Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2

89-83

Q4 00:20

Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon)

Q4 00:20

Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2

90-83

Q4 00:20

Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)

Q4 00:20

Nuggets 60 second timeout

Q4 00:21

Thunder defensive rebound

Q4 00:21

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q4 00:21

Thunder 60 second timeout

Q4 00:21

Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)

Q4 00:21

Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Russell Westbrook, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon)

Q4 00:22

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q4 00:28

Nikola Jokic defensive rebound

Q4 00:28

Nuggets 60 second timeout

Q4 00:29

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q4 00:50

Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound

Q4 00:52

Nuggets misses two point jump shot

Q4 1:13

Thunder turnover

Q4 1:25

Nuggets makes two point jump shot

88-83

Q4 1:32

Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound

Q4 1:35

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q4 1:44

Chet Holmgren offensive rebound

Q4 1:47

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q4 1:58

Chet Holmgren defensive rebound

Q4 2:01

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q4 2:22

Thunder makes two point jump shot

88-81

Q4 2:32

Aaron Gordon offensive rebound

Q4 2:32

Thunder personal foul

Q4 2:32

Aaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 2

Q4 2:32

Nuggets offensive rebound

Q4 2:32

Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2

86-81

Q4 2:35

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q4 2:43

Thunder personal foul

Q4 3:01

Thunder makes two point jump shot

86-80

Q4 3:14

Alex Caruso defensive rebound

Q4 3:15

Thunder personal foul

Q4 3:15

Thunder 60 second timeout

Q4 3:15

Instant replay

Q4 3:15

Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 2

Q4 3:15

Nuggets offensive rebound

Q4 3:15

Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 2 of 2

Q4 3:27

Nikola Jokic defensive rebound

Q4 3:30

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q4 3:46

Nuggets makes two point jump shot

84-80

Q4 4:04

Nikola Jokic defensive rebound

Q4 4:07

Nuggets misses two point jump shot

Q4 4:07

Thunder defensive rebound

Q4 4:07

Nuggets personal foul

Q4 4:07

Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2

84-78

Q4 4:07

Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 2 of 2

Q4 4:29

Thunder makes two point jump shot

83-78

Q4 4:36

Nuggets 60 second timeout

Q4 4:36

Nuggets turnover

Q4 4:36

Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon)

Q4 4:39

Thunder makes two point jump shot

81-78

Q4 4:47

Jalen Williams defensive rebound

Q4 4:49

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q4 4:54

Aaron Gordon defensive rebound

Q4 4:56

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q4 5:09

Nuggets makes two point jump shot

79-78

Q4 5:28

Nuggets personal foul

Q4 5:28

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2

78-76

Q4 5:28

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2

79-76

Q4 5:41

Thunder personal foul

Q4 5:41

Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)

Q4 5:41

Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 2

Q4 5:41

Nuggets offensive rebound

Q4 5:41

Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)

Q4 5:41

Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2

77-76

Q4 5:53

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q4 5:55

Aaron Gordon defensive rebound

Q4 5:57

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q4 6:17

Nuggets makes two point jump shot

77-75

Q4 6:26

Jamal Murray defensive rebound

Q4 6:30

Alex Caruso offensive rebound

Q4 6:30

Nuggets personal foul

Q4 6:30

Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2

77-73

Q4 6:30

Alex Caruso misses regular free throw 2 of 2

Q4 6:34

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q4 6:47

Nuggets turnover

Q4 6:47

Nuggets personal foul

Q4 6:49

Jamal Murray defensive rebound

Q4 6:51

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q4 6:55

Cason Wallace defensive rebound

Q4 6:59

Nuggets misses two point jump shot

Q4 7:23

Aaron Gordon defensive rebound

Q4 7:24

Nuggets personal foul

Q4 7:24

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2

76-73

Q4 7:24

Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)

Q4 7:24

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 2 of 2

Q4 7:37

Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound

Q4 7:40

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q4 7:57

Aaron Gordon defensive rebound

Q4 8:02

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q4 8:12

Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound

Q4 8:16

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q4 8:35

Thunder makes three point jump shot

75-73

Q4 8:35

Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)

Q4 8:44

Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound

Q4 8:45

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q4 8:46

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q4 8:46

Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Russell Westbrook, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon)

Q4 8:52

Nuggets personal foul

Q4 8:52

Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)

Q4 8:52

Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)

Q4 8:57

Nuggets turnover

Q4 9:02

Christian Braun defensive rebound

Q4 9:06

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q4 9:17

Cason Wallace defensive rebound

Q4 9:21

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q4 9:32

Aaron Gordon offensive rebound

Q4 9:33

Nuggets misses two point jump shot

Q4 9:53

Nuggets 60 second timeout

Q4 9:53

Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Michael Porter Jr., Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon)

Q4 9:54

Thunder makes three point jump shot

72-73

Q4 9:59

Alex Caruso defensive rebound

Q4 10:03

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q4 10:05

Aaron Gordon offensive rebound

Q4 10:07

Nuggets misses two point jump shot

Q4 10:16

Aaron Gordon offensive rebound

Q4 10:20

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q4 10:43

Thunder makes three point jump shot

69-73

Q4 10:57

Nuggets makes two point jump shot

66-73

Q4 11:09

Nuggets turnover

Q4 11:09

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q4 11:14

Thunder makes two point jump shot

65-71

Q4 11:14

Nuggets personal foul

Q4 11:14

Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 1

66-71

Q4 11:26

Nuggets makes two point jump shot

63-71

Q4 11:36

Nuggets offensive rebound

Q4 11:36

Thunder personal foul

Q4 11:39

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q3 00:00

Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound

Q3 00:00

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q3 00:00

Thunder offensive rebound

Q3 00:00

End of 3rd Quarter.

Q4 12:00

Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams)

Q4 12:00

Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Russell Westbrook, Michael Porter Jr., Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon)

Q3 00:02

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q3 00:04

Alex Caruso defensive rebound

Q3 00:08

Nuggets misses two point jump shot

Q3 00:26

Jump ball. (Nuggets gains possession)

Q3 00:26

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (lost ball)

Q3 00:26

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q3 00:26

Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren)

Q3 00:26

Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Russell Westbrook, Michael Porter Jr., Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic)

Q3 00:48

Nuggets makes three point jump shot

63-69

Q3 1:00

Cason Wallace offensive rebound

Q3 1:00

Thunder makes two point jump shot

63-66

Q3 1:02

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q3 1:16

Nuggets makes three point jump shot

61-66

Q3 1:24

Nikola Jokic defensive rebound

Q3 1:26

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q3 1:32

Nuggets turnover

Q3 1:34

Nuggets makes two point jump shot

61-65

Q3 1:37

Nikola Jokic defensive rebound

Q3 1:41

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q3 1:49

Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound

Q3 1:51

Thunder personal foul

Q3 1:51

Peyton Watson misses regular free throw 1 of 2

Q3 1:51

Nuggets offensive rebound

Q3 1:51

Peyton Watson misses regular free throw 2 of 2

Q3 1:51

Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Michael Porter Jr., Christian Braun, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic)

Q3 1:57

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound

Q3 2:05

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q3 2:14

Thunder personal foul

Q3 2:14

Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2

58-62

Q3 2:14

Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)

Q3 2:14

Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2

58-63

Q3 2:31

Thunder makes three point jump shot

58-61

Q3 2:49

Nuggets makes three point jump shot

55-61

Q3 2:58

Thunder personal foul

Q3 3:01

Jamal Murray offensive rebound

Q3 3:04

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q3 3:04

Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Russell Westbrook, Christian Braun, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic)

Q3 3:16

Nuggets defensive rebound

Q3 3:16

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q3 3:19

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q3 3:34

Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound

Q3 3:34

Nuggets personal foul

Q3 3:39

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q3 3:50

Thunder personal foul

Q3 4:04

Thunder turnover

Q3 4:16

Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound

Q3 4:18

Nuggets misses two point jump shot

Q3 4:36

Thunder makes three point jump shot

55-58

Q3 4:46

Thunder 60 second timeout

Q3 4:46

Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Russell Westbrook, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon)

Q3 4:46

Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)

Q3 4:47

Nuggets makes three point jump shot

52-58

Q3 4:56

Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound

Q3 4:59

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q3 5:09

Jaylin Williams defensive rebound

Q3 5:12

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q3 5:26

Thunder turnover

Q3 5:30

Thunder personal foul

Q3 5:30

Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2

52-54

Q3 5:30

Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2

52-55

Q3 5:30

Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)

Q3 5:36

Thunder turnover

Q3 5:44

Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound

Q3 5:48

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q3 5:59

Nuggets turnover

Q3 6:03

Jamal Murray offensive rebound

Q3 6:04

Nuggets misses two point jump shot

Q3 6:25

Nikola Jokic defensive rebound

Q3 6:27

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q3 6:27

Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)

Q3 6:42

Thunder 60 second timeout

Q3 6:44

Nuggets makes three point jump shot

52-53

Q3 6:55

Thunder turnover

Q3 6:59

Chet Holmgren defensive rebound

Q3 7:02

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q3 7:12

Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound

Q3 7:14

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q3 7:24

Nuggets makes two point jump shot

52-50

Q3 7:52

Thunder makes three point jump shot

52-48

Q3 8:12

Aaron Gordon turnover (offensive foul)

Q3 8:12

Nuggets personal foul

Q3 8:17

Aaron Gordon defensive rebound

Q3 8:18

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q3 8:39

Nuggets makes three point jump shot

49-48

Q3 8:50

Christian Braun defensive rebound

Q3 8:54

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q3 9:04

Nuggets makes three point jump shot

49-45

Q3 9:23

Nuggets personal foul

Q3 9:23

Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2

48-42

Q3 9:23

Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2

49-42

Q3 9:23

Instant replay

Q3 9:25

Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound

Q3 9:27

Nuggets misses two point jump shot

Q3 9:55

Thunder makes two point jump shot

47-43

Q3 10:10

Thunder personal foul

Q3 10:10

Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2

45-42

Q3 10:10

Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2

45-43

Q3 10:20

Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound

Q3 10:22

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q3 10:37

Nuggets makes three point jump shot

45-41

Q3 10:58

Thunder makes two point jump shot

45-38

Q3 11:09

Nuggets makes two point jump shot

43-38

Q3 11:23

Nuggets personal foul

Q3 11:23

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2

Q3 11:23

Thunder offensive rebound

Q3 11:23

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2

43-36

Q3 11:26

Chet Holmgren defensive rebound

Q3 11:29

Nuggets misses two point jump shot

Q3 11:47

Nikola Jokic defensive rebound

Q3 11:50

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q2 00:00

Nuggets makes two point jump shot

42-35

Q2 00:00

Instant replay

Q2 00:00

End of 1st Half.

Q3 12:00

Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)

Q2 00:19

Nuggets defensive rebound

Q2 00:19

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q2 00:19

Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon)

Q2 00:19

Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams)

Q2 00:20

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q2 00:32

Nuggets makes two point jump shot

42-33

Q2 00:32

Thunder personal foul

Q2 00:32

Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2

42-32

Q2 00:32

Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)

Q2 00:32

Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Russell Westbrook, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon)

Q2 00:32

Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2

42-33

Q2 00:32

Nuggets violation

Q2 00:37

Thunder makes two point jump shot

41-31

Q2 00:37

Nuggets personal foul

Q2 00:37

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1

42-31

Q2 00:37

Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon)

Q2 00:54

Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound

Q2 00:57

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q2 1:13

Thunder makes three point jump shot

39-31

Q2 1:24

Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound

Q2 1:29

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q2 1:33

Christian Braun defensive rebound

Q2 1:35

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q2 1:49

Nuggets makes three point jump shot

36-31

Q2 1:58

Aaron Gordon defensive rebound

Q2 2:01

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q2 2:04

Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound

Q2 2:06

Nuggets misses two point jump shot

Q2 2:38

Thunder makes three point jump shot

36-28

Q2 2:44

Luguentz Dort defensive rebound

Q2 2:47

Nuggets misses two point jump shot

Q2 3:04

Nuggets defensive rebound

Q2 3:04

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q2 3:07

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q2 3:10

Luguentz Dort offensive rebound

Q2 3:13

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q2 3:22

Nuggets makes two point jump shot

33-28

Q2 3:22

Thunder 60 second timeout

Q2 3:22

Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Russell Westbrook, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon)

Q2 3:22

Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)

Q2 3:28

Aaron Gordon defensive rebound

Q2 3:30

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q2 3:36

Chet Holmgren defensive rebound

Q2 3:37

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q2 3:41

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q2 4:04

Thunder makes two point jump shot

33-26

Q2 4:24

Nuggets makes three point jump shot

31-26

Q2 4:36

Aaron Gordon offensive rebound

Q2 4:40

Nuggets misses two point jump shot

Q2 4:54

Thunder makes two point jump shot

31-23

Q2 5:04

Nuggets personal foul

Q2 5:16

Nuggets defensive rebound

Q2 5:16

Thunder personal foul

Q2 5:16

Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2

29-22

Q2 5:16

Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2

29-23

Q2 5:16

Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)

Q2 5:17

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q2 5:22

Isaiah Joe offensive rebound

Q2 5:25

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q2 5:41

Thunder personal foul

Q2 5:41

Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2

29-20

Q2 5:41

Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2

29-21

Q2 5:52

Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound

Q2 5:55

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q2 6:03

Nuggets personal foul

Q2 6:03

Nuggets 60 second timeout

Q2 6:03

Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Michael Porter Jr., Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon)

Q2 6:12

Nuggets makes two point jump shot

29-19

Q2 6:30

Thunder makes two point jump shot

29-17

Q2 6:50

Nuggets turnover

Q2 7:04

Thunder turnover

Q2 7:26

Chet Holmgren defensive rebound

Q2 7:28

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q2 7:43

Thunder turnover

Q2 7:45

Cason Wallace offensive rebound

Q2 7:48

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q2 8:02

Thunder personal foul

Q2 8:02

Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2

27-16

Q2 8:02

Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2

27-17

Q2 8:02

Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams)

Q2 8:19

Thunder makes two point jump shot

27-15

Q2 8:27

Chet Holmgren defensive rebound

Q2 8:30

Nuggets misses two point jump shot

Q2 8:39

Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound

Q2 8:41

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q2 8:48

Chet Holmgren defensive rebound

Q2 8:50

Thunder personal foul

Q2 8:50

Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2

25-15

Q2 8:50

Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)

Q2 8:50

Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Julian Strawther)

Q2 8:50

Jamal Murray misses regular free throw 2 of 2

Q2 9:00

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q2 9:00

Nuggets defensive rebound

Q2 9:00

Thunder personal foul

Q2 9:11

Nuggets makes two point jump shot

25-14

Q2 9:26

Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound

Q2 9:26

Thunder makes two point jump shot

25-12

Q2 9:30

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q2 9:43

Thunder personal foul

Q2 9:43

Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2

23-11

Q2 9:43

Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2

23-12

Q2 9:45

Thunder turnover

Q2 9:53

Thunder personal foul

Q2 9:53

Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2

23-9

Q2 9:53

Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2

23-10

Q2 9:57

Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound

Q2 10:00

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q2 10:02

Cason Wallace offensive rebound

Q2 10:04

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q2 10:11

Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound

Q2 10:13

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q2 10:39

Thunder makes two point jump shot

23-8

Q2 10:44

Nuggets turnover

Q2 10:54

Nuggets personal foul

Q2 10:54

Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2

21-8

Q2 10:54

Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (lane violation)

Q2 11:00

Nuggets turnover

Q2 11:13

Thunder personal foul

Q2 11:20

Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)

Q2 11:22

Nuggets personal foul

Q2 11:22

Isaiah Joe misses regular free throw 1 of 2

Q2 11:22

Thunder offensive rebound

Q2 11:22

Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2

20-8

Q2 11:25

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound

Q2 11:29

Nuggets misses two point jump shot

Q2 11:52

Thunder makes two point jump shot

19-8

Q1 00:00

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q1 00:00

Nuggets offensive rebound

Q1 00:00

End of 1st Quarter.

Q2 12:00

Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)

Q2 12:00

Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Russell Westbrook, Michael Porter Jr., Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon)

Q1 00:04

Nuggets personal foul

Q1 00:04

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2

Q1 00:04

Thunder offensive rebound

Q1 00:04

Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Russell Westbrook, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic, Julian Strawther)

Q1 00:04

Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)

Q1 00:04

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2

17-8

Q1 00:12

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound

Q1 00:15

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q1 00:29

Nikola Jokic defensive rebound

Q1 00:31

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q1 00:43

Thunder personal foul

Q1 00:43

Christian Braun misses regular free throw 1 of 2

Q1 00:43

Nuggets offensive rebound

Q1 00:43

Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2

16-8

Q1 00:43

Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)

Q1 00:47

Thunder turnover

Q1 00:59

Nuggets turnover

Q1 1:12

Nuggets personal foul

Q1 1:12

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2

15-7

Q1 1:12

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2

16-7

Q1 1:13

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound

Q1 1:16

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q1 1:25

Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound

Q1 1:28

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q1 1:46

Thunder turnover

Q1 1:57

Nuggets personal foul

Q1 1:57

Thunder 60 second timeout

Q1 1:57

Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)

Q1 1:57

Nuggets lineup change (Russell Westbrook, Christian Braun, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Julian Strawther)

Q1 2:00

Chet Holmgren defensive rebound

Q1 2:03

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q1 2:19

Thunder makes two point jump shot

14-7

Q1 2:20

Cason Wallace offensive rebound

Q1 2:25

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q1 2:40

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound

Q1 2:44

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q1 2:55

Russell Westbrook defensive rebound

Q1 2:58

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q1 2:59

Cason Wallace defensive rebound

Q1 3:03

Nuggets misses two point jump shot

Q1 3:24

Thunder turnover

Q1 3:42

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q1 3:42

Thunder defensive rebound

Q1 3:42

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q1 3:50

Thunder personal foul

Q1 3:50

Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)

Q1 3:50

Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Russell Westbrook, Christian Braun, Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic)

Q1 3:59

Aaron Gordon defensive rebound

Q1 4:02

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q1 4:08

Jalen Williams defensive rebound

Q1 4:14

Nuggets misses two point jump shot

Q1 4:18

Russell Westbrook offensive rebound

Q1 4:19

Aaron Gordon offensive rebound

Q1 4:19

Nuggets misses two point jump shot

Q1 4:22

Nuggets misses two point jump shot

Q1 4:33

Thunder makes two point jump shot

12-7

Q1 4:37

Jalen Williams defensive rebound

Q1 4:41

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q1 4:57

Thunder makes three point jump shot

10-7

Q1 5:06

Nuggets makes two point jump shot

7-7

Q1 5:19

Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound

Q1 5:22

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q1 5:34

Thunder personal foul

Q1 5:34

Nuggets personal foul

Q1 5:34

Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Russell Westbrook, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon)

Q1 5:34

Aaron Gordon turnover (offensive foul)

Q1 5:41

Thunder turnover

Q1 5:51

Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound

Q1 5:54

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q1 5:56

Aaron Gordon offensive rebound

Q1 5:59

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q1 6:04

Christian Braun offensive rebound

Q1 6:07

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q1 6:18

Nikola Jokic defensive rebound

Q1 6:20

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q1 6:37

Thunder personal foul

Q1 6:37

Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2

7-4

Q1 6:37

Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2

7-5

Q1 6:54

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q1 6:54

Nuggets 60 second timeout

Q1 6:54

Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams)

Q1 6:58

Nikola Jokic defensive rebound

Q1 7:03

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q1 7:07

Chet Holmgren offensive rebound

Q1 7:10

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q1 7:22

Nuggets turnover

Q1 7:38

Thunder makes two point jump shot

7-3

Q1 7:48

Jump ball. (Chet Holmgren gains possession)

Q1 7:48

Aaron Gordon turnover (lost ball)

Q1 7:54

Nikola Jokic defensive rebound

Q1 7:55

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q1 8:08

Nuggets makes two point jump shot

5-3

Q1 8:16

Nikola Jokic defensive rebound

Q1 8:20

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q1 8:24

Jalen Williams defensive rebound

Q1 8:26

Nuggets misses two point jump shot

Q1 8:49

Thunder makes two point jump shot

5-1

Q1 8:55

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound

Q1 8:57

Thunder personal foul

Q1 8:57

Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2

3-1

Q1 8:57

Michael Porter Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2

Q1 9:06

Nikola Jokic defensive rebound

Q1 9:09

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q1 9:18

Nuggets personal foul

Q1 9:24

Nuggets personal foul

Q1 9:24

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes technical free throw 1 of 1

3-0

Q1 9:33

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound

Q1 9:35

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q1 9:49

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q1 9:49

Nuggets defensive rebound

Q1 9:49

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q1 10:01

Chet Holmgren defensive rebound

Q1 10:04

Nuggets misses two point jump shot

Q1 10:09

Aaron Gordon offensive rebound

Q1 10:12

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q1 10:36

Thunder makes two point jump shot

2-0

Q1 10:50

Nuggets turnover

Q1 10:58

Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound

Q1 11:01

Thunder misses two point jump shot

Q1 11:06

Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound

Q1 11:09

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q1 11:21

Thunder defensive rebound

Q1 11:21

Stoppage (Out of bounds)

Q1 11:23

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q1 11:27

Aaron Gordon defensive rebound

Q1 11:31

Thunder misses three point jump shot

Q1 11:39

Chet Holmgren defensive rebound

Q1 11:42

Nuggets misses three point jump shot

Q1 12:00

Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon)

Q1 12:00

Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)

Q1 12:00

(Aaron Gordon gains possession)

Box Score

Player Stats

Team Stats

Thunder

Pos	Player		Pts	Reb	Ast
G	2	S. Gilgeous-Alexander	25	6	6
G	22	C. Wallace	11	5	2
F	8	J. Williams	10	3	5
F	7	C. Holmgren	8	13	0
G	9	A. Caruso	10	4	2

Nuggets

Pos	Player		Pts	Reb	Ast
F	1	M. Porter Jr.	3	9	0
G	0	C. Braun	17	4	2
C	15	N. Jokic	27	13	3
F	32	A. Gordon	15	16	6
G	27	J. Murray	17	4	5

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Thunder vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Thunder vs. Nuggets
Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Venue: Ball Arena

Current Betting Odds

Spread: Thunder favored at -6.5
Total (Over/Under): 227.5
Moneyline Odds: Thunder -260, Nuggets +235

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Thunder: 70%
Nuggets: 30%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 117-111 Nuggets.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 70%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 30%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Thunder vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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