Timberwolves vs. Pelicans Prediction, Picks & Odds
Spread
- Timberwolves
- Pelicans
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ball | |||
| A. Dosunmu | |||
| J. Kuminga | |||
| J. McDaniels | |||
| R. Gobert |
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Murray | |||
| T. Murphy | |||
| Z. Williamson | |||
| S. Bey | |||
| J. Fears |
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans prediction & analysis
Game overview: NBA Friday
- Teams: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Date: Friday, November 6, 2026
- Tip-off: 8:00PM ET
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
Current betting odds
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5, -110), Pelicans (+5.5, -110)
- Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points (-105/-115)
- Moneyline: Timberwolves -170, Pelicans +163
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Timberwolves: 69.2%
- Pelicans: 30.8%
Our NBA win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.
The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and the final score.
Projected Final Score
Our model projects the final score for this NBA matchup as Timberwolves 117 and Pelicans 111.
This is a margin of 6 points against a spread of 5.5, and a projected total of 228 points against a market line of 229.5.
A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Timberwolves a win probability of 69.2%, while the Pelicans have a win probability of 30.8%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Timberwolves are more likely to beat the Pelicans in the NBA game at Smoothie King Center on Friday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
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