NBA player props today: Thursday's best props include Giannis Antetokounmpo [11/5/2026]

Franz Wagner over 1.5 rebounds (50¢)

• Edge: 20.1%
• Probability: 69.6%
• Projection: 6.0
• Game: Magic vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Magic's Franz Wagner over 1.5 rebounds. A probability of 69.6% gives this play an edge of 20.1% at 50¢ odds.

Franz Wagner over 14.5 points (50¢)

• Edge: 16.0%
• Probability: 65.5%
• Projection: 23.4
• Game: Magic vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)

Franz Wagner’s points prop shows a 16.0% edge at 50¢ odds, according to our model, which projects him for 23.4 points on the over 14.5 line.

Brandin Podziemski over 5.5 rebounds (42¢)

• Edge: 12.2%
• Probability: 54.2%
• Projection: 6.2
• Game: Heat vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Brandin Podziemski over 5.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 54.2% probability and a 12.2% edge at 42¢.

Giannis Antetokounmpo over 6.5 assists (+126)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 51.3%
• Projection: 6.8
• Game: Heat vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Giannis Antetokounmpo to record 6.8 assists today, creating an edge of 7.0% on the over 6.5 line at +126 odds.

Stephen Curry over 29.5 points (39¢)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 47.3%
• Projection: 28.3
• Game: Heat vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Stephen Curry over 29.5 points for Warriors, showing an edge of 8.3% at 39¢ odds.

Stephen Curry over 5.5 assists (40¢)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 47.3%
• Projection: 5.0
• Game: Heat vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

Stephen Curry’s assists prop shows an edge of 7.3% at 40¢ odds, according to our model, which projects him for 5.0 today.

Tristan da Silva over 14.5 points (20¢)

• Edge: 26.3%
• Probability: 46.3%
• Projection: 12.7
• Game: Magic vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)

Our model projects Tristan da Silva for 12.7 points for Magic, creating an edge of 26.3% on over 14.5 at 20¢ odds.

Brandin Podziemski under 0.5 steals (37¢)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 43.3%
• Projection: 1.0
• Game: Heat vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Brandin Podziemski for 1.0 steals, creating value on the under 0.5 line at 37¢ odds and a 6.8% edge.

Stephen Curry under 0.5 steals (33¢)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 41.8%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Heat vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

An 8.8% edge on the under 0.5 steals line makes Stephen Curry a value play in Heat vs. Warriors, with our model projecting him for 1.1 steals at 33¢ odds.

Desmond Bane under 1.5 rebounds (19¢)

• Edge: 15.6%
• Probability: 35.1%
• Projection: 4.3
• Game: Magic vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)

Simulations project Desmond Bane for 4.3 rebounds here, creating a 15.6% edge on the under 1.5 line at 19¢ odds.

NBA player prop summary: Thursday, November 5, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 6:56AM ET:

Conclusion

For November 5, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Franz Wagner, Brandin Podziemski and Giannis Antetokounmpo. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.