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Read Article Raptors vs. Nuggets prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 4, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Raptors vs. Nuggets predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The Denver Nuggets are favored to beat the Toronto Raptors at Ball Arena on Wednesday (9:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Raptors vs. Nuggets prediction gives Denver a 66.9% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Nuggets moneyline, too.
Raptors vs. Nuggets key predictions
- Predicted score: Nuggets 117-112 Raptors
- Nuggets win probability: 66.9%
- Raptors win probability: 33.1%
- Nuggets -4.5 spread: 51.5% cover probability
- Under 230.5 points: 50.9% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Raptors vs. Nuggets odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Raptors moneyline: 37¢ (Novig)
- Nuggets moneyline: 64¢ (Novig)
- Raptors +4.5: 50¢ (Novig)
- Nuggets -4.5: 51¢ (Novig)
- Over 230.5 points: 52¢ (Polymarket)
- Under 230.5 points: 49¢ (Polymarket)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Raptors vs. Nuggets pick: Nuggets moneyline (64¢)
Our model makes the Nuggets the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the Nuggets moneyline at 64¢ on Novig, too.
Those odds give the Nuggets an implied win probability of 63.5%, while our model puts it at 66.9%.
That's a 3.4% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Raptors vs. Nuggets player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Nuggets star Jamal Murray leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 24.4 points, plus 6 assists and 4.6 rebounds. The Raptors have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Nuggets' two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Jamal Murray (Nuggets): 24.4 points
- Nikola Jokic (Nuggets): 24.2
- Scottie Barnes (Raptors): 21.5
- RJ Barrett (Raptors): 21.4
- Immanuel Quickley (Raptors): 16.8
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Raptors vs. Nuggets prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Raptors vs. Nuggets predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Raptors vs. Nuggets game details
- Matchup: Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggets
- Date: Wednesday, November 4, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
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