Nov 4, 2026
Cavaliers vs. Thunder prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 4, 2026
Read Article Pacers vs. Grizzlies prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 4, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Pacers vs. Grizzlies predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The Memphis Grizzlies are favored to beat the Indiana Pacers at FedExForum on Wednesday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Pacers vs. Grizzlies prediction gives Memphis a 68.5% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Pacers to cover at +6.5.
Pacers vs. Grizzlies key predictions
- Predicted score: Grizzlies 117-111 Pacers
- Grizzlies win probability: 68.5%
- Pacers win probability: 31.5%
- Pacers +6.5 spread: 53.6% cover probability
- Under 229.5 points: 50.2% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Pacers vs. Grizzlies odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Pacers moneyline: 32¢ (Novig)
- Grizzlies moneyline: 69¢ (Novig)
- Pacers +6.5: 50¢ (Polymarket)
- Grizzlies -6.5: 50¢ (Novig)
- Over 229.5 points: 49¢ (Polymarket)
- Under 229.5 points: 52¢ (Novig)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Pacers vs. Grizzlies pick: Pacers +6.5 (50¢)
Our model makes the Grizzlies the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Pacers to cover the +6.5 spread at 50¢ on Polymarket.
Those odds give the Pacers an implied cover probability of 50.0%, while our model puts it at 53.6%.
That's a 3.6% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Pacers vs. Grizzlies player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Pacers star Pascal Siakam leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 23.4 points, plus 6.5 rebounds and 4.1 assists. The Grizzlies have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Pacers' two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Pascal Siakam (Pacers): 23.4 points
- Ty Jerome (Grizzlies): 23.2
- Cameron Boozer (Grizzlies): 17.9
- Andrew Nembhard (Pacers): 17.6
- Cedric Coward (Grizzlies): 14.9
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Pacers vs. Grizzlies prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Pacers vs. Grizzlies predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Pacers vs. Grizzlies game details
- Matchup: Indiana Pacers vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Wednesday, November 4, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: FedExForum
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Written by
Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
Advertiser disclosure
