Nov 4, 2026
Hornets vs. Nets prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 4, 2026
Read Article Cavaliers vs. Thunder prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 4, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Cavaliers vs. Thunder predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are favored to beat the Cleveland Cavaliers at Paycom Center on Wednesday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Cavaliers vs. Thunder prediction gives Oklahoma City a 63.5% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Thunder moneyline, too.
Cavaliers vs. Thunder key predictions
- Predicted score: Thunder 115-111 Cavaliers
- Thunder win probability: 63.5%
- Cavaliers win probability: 36.5%
- Thunder -3.5 spread: 51.5% cover probability
- Over 226.5 points: 50.3% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Cavaliers vs. Thunder odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Cavaliers moneyline: 41¢ (Novig)
- Thunder moneyline: 59¢ (Novig)
- Cavaliers +3.5: 51¢ (Novig)
- Thunder -3.5: 49¢ (Novig)
- Over 226.5 points: 51¢ (Polymarket)
- Under 226.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Cavaliers vs. Thunder pick: Thunder moneyline (59¢)
Our model makes the Thunder the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the Thunder moneyline at 59¢ on Novig, too.
Those odds give the Thunder an implied win probability of 59.0%, while our model puts it at 63.5%.
That's a 4.5% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Cavaliers vs. Thunder player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Thunder star Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 28.8 points, plus 6 assists and 3.6 rebounds. The Cavaliers have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Thunder's two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder): 28.8 points
- Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers): 22.8
- James Harden (Cavaliers): 17.1
- Evan Mobley (Cavaliers): 16.5
- Ajay Mitchell (Thunder): 16.2
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Cavaliers vs. Thunder prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Cavaliers vs. Thunder predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Cavaliers vs. Thunder game details
- Matchup: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Date: Wednesday, November 4, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Written by
Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
Advertiser disclosure
