Timberwolves vs. Rockets prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 4, 2026
Our Timberwolves vs. Rockets predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.

The Houston Rockets are favored to beat the Minnesota Timberwolves at Toyota Center on Wednesday (8:30 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Timberwolves vs. Rockets prediction gives Houston a 70.1% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Timberwolves as the underdog.
Timberwolves vs. Rockets key predictions
- Predicted score: Rockets 113-107 Timberwolves
- Rockets win probability: 70.1%
- Timberwolves win probability: 29.9%
- Timberwolves +6.5 spread: 52.1% cover probability
- Over 220.5 points: 51.0% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Timberwolves vs. Rockets odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Timberwolves moneyline: 28¢ (Novig)
- Rockets moneyline: -250 (BetRivers)
- Timberwolves +6.5: -110 (BetRivers)
- Rockets -6.5: -113 (BetRivers)
- Over 220.5 points: 51¢ (Novig)
- Under 220.5 points: 49¢ (Polymarket)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Timberwolves vs. Rockets pick: Timberwolves moneyline (28¢)
Our model makes the Rockets the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Timberwolves moneyline at 28¢ on Novig.
Those odds give the Timberwolves an implied win probability of 28.5%, while our model puts it at 29.9%.
That's a 1.4% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Timberwolves vs. Rockets player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Rockets star Kevin Durant leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 23.1 points, plus 4.9 rebounds and 3.8 assists. The Rockets have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Timberwolves' two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Kevin Durant (Rockets): 23.1 points
- Alperen Sengun (Rockets): 20.2
- LaMelo Ball (Timberwolves): 19.4
- Ayo Dosunmu (Timberwolves): 16.0
- Amen Thompson (Rockets): 15.5
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Timberwolves vs. Rockets prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Timberwolves vs. Rockets predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Timberwolves vs. Rockets game details
- Matchup: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Houston Rockets
- Date: Wednesday, November 4, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Toyota Center
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.


