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Read Article Jazz vs. Pelicans prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 4, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Jazz vs. Pelicans predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The New Orleans Pelicans are favored to beat the Utah Jazz at Smoothie King Center on Wednesday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Jazz vs. Pelicans prediction gives New Orleans a 70.5% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Pelicans moneyline, too.
Jazz vs. Pelicans key predictions
- Predicted score: Pelicans 119-113 Jazz
- Pelicans win probability: 70.5%
- Jazz win probability: 29.5%
- Pelicans -5.5 spread: 50.1% cover probability
- Under 233.5 points: 51.4% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Jazz vs. Pelicans odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Jazz moneyline: 32¢ (Novig)
- Pelicans moneyline: 68¢ (Polymarket)
- Jazz +5.5: 49¢ (Novig)
- Pelicans -5.5: 52¢ (Novig)
- Over 233.5 points: 51¢ (Novig)
- Under 233.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Jazz vs. Pelicans pick: Pelicans moneyline (68¢)
Our model makes the Pelicans the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the Pelicans moneyline at 68¢ on Polymarket, too.
Those odds give the Pelicans an implied win probability of 68.1%, while our model puts it at 70.5%.
That's a 2.4% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Jazz vs. Pelicans player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Pelicans star Trey Murphy leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 23.5 points, plus 5 rebounds and 4.9 assists. The Pelicans have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Jazz's two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Trey Murphy (Pelicans): 23.5 points
- Lauri Markkanen (Jazz): 22.9
- Zion Williamson (Pelicans): 21.5
- Keyonte George (Jazz): 21.2
- Dejounte Murray (Pelicans): 18.0
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Jazz vs. Pelicans prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Jazz vs. Pelicans predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Jazz vs. Pelicans game details
- Matchup: Utah Jazz vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Date: Wednesday, November 4, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
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