Pacers vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Picks & Odds
Spread
- Pacers
- Grizzlies
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Siakam | |||
| A. Nembhard | |||
| O. Toppin | |||
| A. Nesmith | |||
| K. Oubre |
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jerome | |||
| C. Boozer | |||
| C. Coward | |||
| J. Grant | |||
| J. Wells |
Pacers vs. Grizzlies prediction & analysis
Game overview: NBA Wednesday
- Teams: Indiana Pacers vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Wednesday, November 4, 2026
- Tip-off: 8:00PM ET
- Venue: FedExForum
Current betting odds
- Spread: Pacers (+6.5, -104), Grizzlies (-6.5, +100)
- Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points (+100/-104)
- Moneyline: Pacers +233, Grizzlies -233
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Pacers: 32.4%
- Grizzlies: 67.6%
Our NBA win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.
The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and the final score.
Projected Final Score
Our model projects the final score for this NBA matchup as Pacers 112 and Grizzlies 117.
This is a margin of 5 points against a spread of 6.5, and a projected total of 229 points against a market line of 230.5.
A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.
Want the best picks for this game?
The most likely result is not always the bet worth making.
Join Dimers Pro for the full betting analysis on Pacers vs. Grizzlies, including:
- Every game and player prop bet our model rates for this matchup.
- Best Bets across tonight's full NBA slate.
- Automatic line shopping across major sportsbooks and prediction markets.
- Player prop probabilities for every NBA game.
Unlock every pick for Pacers vs. Grizzlies with Dimers Pro.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pacers a win probability of 32.4%, while the Grizzlies have a win probability of 67.6%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Grizzlies are more likely to beat the Pacers in the NBA game at FedExForum on Wednesday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Pacers vs. Grizzlies, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.
When you click or tap a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website we have a commercial relationship with, such as a sportsbook, we may receive a referral fee.