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Read Article Pelicans vs. Grizzlies prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 2, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Pelicans vs. Grizzlies predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The Memphis Grizzlies are favored to beat the New Orleans Pelicans at FedExForum on Monday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Pelicans vs. Grizzlies prediction gives Memphis a 64.3% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Pelicans to cover at +4.5.
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies key predictions
- Predicted score: Grizzlies 118-114 Pelicans
- Grizzlies win probability: 64.3%
- Pelicans win probability: 35.7%
- Pelicans +4.5 spread: 52.9% cover probability
- Under 233.5 points: 51.4% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Pelicans moneyline: 36¢ (Polymarket)
- Grizzlies moneyline: -178 (FanDuel)
- Pelicans +4.5: 49¢ (Novig)
- Grizzlies -4.5: -110 (FanDuel)
- Over 233.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
- Under 233.5 points: 51¢ (Novig)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies pick: Pelicans +4.5 (49¢)
Our model makes the Grizzlies the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Pelicans to cover the +4.5 spread at 49¢ on Novig.
Those odds give the Pelicans an implied cover probability of 48.5%, while our model puts it at 52.9%.
That's a 4.4% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Pelicans star Trey Murphy leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 23.4 points, plus 5.6 rebounds and 4.3 assists. The Pelicans have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Grizzlies' two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Trey Murphy (Pelicans): 23.4 points
- Ty Jerome (Grizzlies): 22.0
- Zion Williamson (Pelicans): 21.0
- Dejounte Murray (Pelicans): 17.5
- Cameron Boozer (Grizzlies): 17.3
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Pelicans vs. Grizzlies prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Pelicans vs. Grizzlies predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies game details
- Matchup: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Monday, November 2, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: FedExForum
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
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