NBA picks today: Wednesday's best bets include Hawks vs. Wizards play [11/4/2026]

Wizards +1.5 (+115)

• Edge: 9.1%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Matchup: Hawks vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Wizards +1.5 at +115 odds. A 55.6% probability produces an edge of 9.1%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Bulls +11.5 (+104)

• Edge: 6.9%
• Probability: 55.9%
• Matchup: Bulls vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET)

Bulls +11.5 carries a 6.9% edge and a probability of 55.9% at 49¢ odds, according to our model.

Kings +11.5 (50¢)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Lakers vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Kings +11.5 vs. Lakers at 50¢ odds shows a 5.8% edge, supported by a 55.8% probability in simulations.

Mavericks +11.5 (-104)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 55.4%
• Matchup: Mavericks vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)

A 4.4% edge and 55.4% probability makes Mavericks +11.5 vs. Spurs a value play in the Mavericks vs. Spurs matchup, per our model.

Bucks +11.5 (-104)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 55%
• Matchup: Bucks vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET)

Bucks +11.5 at 51¢ presents a 4.0% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 55%.

Thunder ML (-125)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 59.6%
• Matchup: Cavaliers vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Thunder to win at 56¢, supported by an edge of 4.0%.

Heat ML (-194)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 69.7%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Heat-Clippers to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at -194. A 69.7% probability produces a 3.7% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

Pistons ML (-117)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Matchup: 76ers vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

A 3.4% edge on a 57.3% probability makes Pistons to win at 54¢a solid value play in today's 76ers vs. Pistons matchup.

Kings ML (+488)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 20.1%
• Matchup: Lakers vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects value on Kings to win at 17¢. A 20.1% probability produces a 3.1% edge, making Kings the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Lakers vs. Kings Under 233.5 points (+100)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 53.1%
• Matchup: Lakers vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Lakers vs. Kings Under 233.5 points at 50¢ shows a 53.1% probability and a 3.1% edge.

NBA best bets summary: Wednesday, 11/4/2026

As of 12:31AM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [11/4/2026]

• 76ers vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Hawks vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Hornets vs. Nets (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Bulls vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Bucks vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Cavaliers vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Jazz vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Pacers vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Timberwolves vs. Rockets (8:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Trail Blazers vs. Suns (9:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Raptors vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Mavericks vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Lakers vs. Kings (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Heat vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET, Wednesday)

Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for November 4, 2026, featuring plays such as Wizards +1.5 vs. Hawks and Bulls +11.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.