Mavericks vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks & Odds
Spread
- Mavericks
- Spurs
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Flagg | |||
| K. Irving | |||
| N. Marshall | |||
| P. Washington | |||
| Z. Risacher |
| Player | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|
| V. Wembanyama | |||
| D. Fox | |||
| D. Harper | |||
| S. Castle | |||
| K. Johnson |
Mavericks vs. Spurs prediction & analysis
Game overview: NBA Wednesday
- Teams: Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs
- Date: Wednesday, November 4, 2026
- Tip-off: 9:30PM ET
- Venue: Frost Bank Center
Current betting odds
- Spread: Mavericks (+11.5, +104), Spurs (-11.5, -129)
- Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points (+104/-110)
- Moneyline: Mavericks +503, Spurs -488
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Mavericks: 17.8%
- Spurs: 82.2%
Our NBA win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.
The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and the final score.
Projected Final Score
Our model projects the final score for this NBA matchup as Mavericks 109 and Spurs 120.
This is a margin of 11 points against a spread of 11.5, and a projected total of 229 points against a market line of 229.5.
A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 17.8%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 82.2%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Wednesday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
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