NBA player props today: Wednesday's best props include Damian Lillard [11/4/2026]

Khaman Maluach over 3.5 rebounds (50¢)

• Edge: 17.9%
• Probability: 67.4%
• Projection: 7.0
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Suns' Khaman Maluach over 3.5 rebounds. A probability of 67.4% gives this play an edge of 17.9% at 50¢ odds.

Damian Lillard over 1.5 assists (50¢)

• Edge: 17.9%
• Probability: 67.4%
• Projection: 5.0
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)

Damian Lillard’s assists prop shows a 17.9% edge at 50¢ odds, according to our model, which projects him for 5.0 assists on the over 1.5 line.

Kenrich Williams over 1.5 rebounds (50¢)

• Edge: 17.8%
• Probability: 67.3%
• Projection: 4.9
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Kenrich Williams over 1.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 67.3% probability and a 17.8% edge at 50¢.

Donovan Clingan over 7.5 rebounds (51¢)

• Edge: 15.3%
• Probability: 66.3%
• Projection: 10.6
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)

Our model projects Donovan Clingan to record 10.6 rebounds today, creating an edge of 15.3% on the over 7.5 line at 51¢ odds.

AJ Dybantsa over 9.5 points (50¢)

• Edge: 16.7%
• Probability: 66.2%
• Projection: 19.2
• Game: Hawks vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on AJ Dybantsa over 9.5 points for Wizards, showing an edge of 16.7% at 50¢ odds.

Deni Avdija over 14.5 points (56¢)

• Edge: 10.6%
• Probability: 66.1%
• Projection: 24.2
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)

Deni Avdija’s points prop shows an edge of 10.6% at 56¢ odds, according to our model, which projects him for 24.2 today.

Devin Booker over 14.5 points (49¢)

• Edge: 16.8%
• Probability: 65.8%
• Projection: 23.7
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)

Our model projects Devin Booker for 23.7 points for Suns, creating an edge of 16.8% on over 14.5 at 49¢ odds.

Damian Lillard over 14.5 points (50¢)

• Edge: 13.0%
• Probability: 62.5%
• Projection: 21.0
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Damian Lillard for 21.0 points, creating value on the over 14.5 line at 50¢ odds and a 13.0% edge.

Caleb Wilson over 0.5 steals (57¢)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 62.3%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Bulls vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET)

A 5.8% edge on the over 14.5 steals line makes Caleb Wilson a value play in Bulls vs. Knicks, with our model projecting him for 1.4 steals at 57¢ odds.

Miles Bridges over 9.5 points (53¢)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 61.8%
• Projection: 15.5
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)

Simulations project Miles Bridges for 15.5 points here, creating a 8.8% edge on the over 9.5 line at 53¢ odds.

NBA player prop summary: Wednesday, November 4, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:56AM ET:

Conclusion

For November 4, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Khaman Maluach, Damian Lillard and Kenrich Williams. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.