Nuggets vs. Pelicans Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Pelicans NBA game on January 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
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NBA
Nuggets
122
116
Smoothie King Center
Pelicans
Smoothie King Center
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
32 28 29 33 122
Pelicans
31 34 27 24 116
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nuggets
    70%
  • Pelicans
    30%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
32 28 29 33 122
Pelicans
31 34 27 24 116
Q4 00:23 Zion Williamson misses two point tip layup
Q4 00:39 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:02 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:22 Peyton Watson misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:27 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:45 Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot
Q4 5:17 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:36 Trey Murphy III misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:11 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:30 Aaron Gordon misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Play by Play
Q4
  1. Q4 00:08
    Zion Williamson personal foul
  2. Q4 00:08
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    122-116
  3. Q4 00:08
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    122-116
  4. Q4 00:09
    Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
  5. Q4 00:09
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  6. Q4 00:10
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  7. Q4 00:23
    Zion Williamson misses two point tip layup
  8. Q4 00:23
    Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
  9. Q4 00:23
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  10. Q4 00:23
    Pelicans lineup change (Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Hawkins, Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III)
  11. Q4 00:39
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    118-114
  12. Q4 1:02
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    118-114
  13. Q4 1:06
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Hawkins, Trey Murphy III)
  14. Q4 1:06
    Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Zeke Nnaji)
  15. Q4 1:19
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  16. Q4 1:22
    Peyton Watson misses three point jump shot
  17. Q4 2:27
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    112-112
  18. Q4 3:45
    +3
    Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot
    118-114
  19. Q4 4:04
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  20. Q4 4:24
    Zion Williamson defensive rebound
  21. Q4 4:42
    Aaron Gordon personal foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)
  22. Q4 4:42
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    120-116
  23. Q4 4:42
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    120-116
  24. Q4 4:42
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Zion Williamson, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III)
  25. Q4 4:57
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    106-105
  26. Q4 4:57
    Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jalen Pickett)
  27. Q4 4:57
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    120-116
  28. Q4 4:57
    Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jalen Pickett)
  29. Q4 5:17
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  30. Q4 5:29
    Trey Murphy III turnover (lost ball)
  31. Q4 5:33
    Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
  32. Q4 5:36
    Trey Murphy III misses two point jump shot
  33. Q4 5:51
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Hawkins, Trey Murphy III)
  34. Q4 6:01
    Jordan Poole turnover (Peyton Watson steals)
  35. Q4 6:11
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  36. Q4 7:21
    +1
    Jordan Poole makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    118-114
  37. Q4 7:21
    +1
    Jordan Poole makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    120-116
  38. Q4 7:30
    Aaron Gordon misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  39. Q4 7:47
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Jalen Pickett)
  40. Q4 7:47
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  41. Q4 7:47
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Hawkins, Trey Murphy III, Jordan Poole)
  42. Q4 8:05
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    112-112
  43. Q4 8:09
    Bruce Brown defensive rebound
  44. Q4 8:13
    Yves Missi misses two point tip layup
  45. Q4 8:15
    Yves Missi offensive rebound
  46. Q4 8:16
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  47. Q4 9:18
    Nuggets personal foul
  48. Q4 9:46
    Nuggets personal foul
  49. Q4 9:46
    +2
    Zion Williamson makes two point jump shot
    112-112
  50. Q4 9:46
    +1
    Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    118-114
  51. Q4 9:52
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  52. Q4 10:31
    Pelicans defensive rebound
  53. Q4 10:31
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  54. Q4 10:32
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  55. Q4 10:49
    Jordan Hawkins defensive rebound
  56. Q4 10:53
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  57. Q4 11:21
    Saddiq Bey personal foul
  58. Q4 11:21
    +1
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    112-112
  59. Q4 11:30
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  60. Q3 00:00
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  61. Q4 12:00
    Pelicans lineup change (Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Hawkins, Yves Missi, Jordan Poole)
  62. Q3 00:16
    Jamal Murray misses two point jump shot
  63. Q3 00:29
    Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
  64. Q3 00:51
    Jamal Murray misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  65. Q3 00:51
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  66. Q3 00:51
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    112-112
  67. Q3 00:51
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Zeke Nnaji)
  68. Q3 1:00
    Jordan Poole misses three point pullup jump shot
  69. Q3 1:46
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    104-105
  70. Q3 2:15
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  71. Q3 2:15
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  72. Q3 2:15
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    104-105
  73. Q3 2:43
    Nuggets turnover
  74. Q3 2:58
    +1
    Jordan Poole makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    81-86
  75. Q3 3:24
    Nuggets personal foul
  76. Q3 3:24
    Trey Murphy III turnover (offensive foul)
  77. Q3 3:24
    Pelicans lineup change (Micah Peavy, Jordan Hawkins, Karlo Matkovic, Yves Missi, Jordan Poole)
  78. Q3 3:30
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  79. Q3 3:30
    Pelicans lineup change (Micah Peavy, Karlo Matkovic, Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Jordan Poole)
  80. Q3 3:30
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  81. Q3 3:40
    Jeremiah Fears turnover
  82. Q3 3:54
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    94-99
  83. Q3 3:57
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  84. Q3 3:57
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  85. Q3 3:58
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  86. Q3 4:08
    Pelicans lineup change (Micah Peavy, Jeremiah Fears, Karlo Matkovic, Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III)
  87. Q3 4:08
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  88. Q3 4:08
    Jeremiah Fears misses two point driving layup
  89. Q3 4:19
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    81-86
  90. Q3 4:51
    Trey Murphy III shooting foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)
  91. Q3 4:51
    +1
    Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    75-82
  92. Q3 4:51
    +1
    Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    94-99
  93. Q3 4:53
    Trey Murphy III turnover
  94. Q3 5:01
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  95. Q3 5:21
    Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
  96. Q3 6:15
    Pelicans personal foul
  97. Q3 6:28
    Nuggets personal foul
  98. Q3 6:28
    Instant replay
  99. Q3 6:28
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    74-82
  100. Q3 6:44
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    74-82
  101. Q3 6:59
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  102. Q3 6:59
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  103. Q3 6:59
    Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Zeke Nnaji)
  104. Q3 7:09
    Nuggets personal foul
  105. Q3 7:25
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  106. Q3 7:34
    Jump ball. (Aaron Gordon gains possession)
  107. Q3 7:47
    Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
  108. Q3 7:53
    Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
  109. Q3 7:54
    Jeremiah Fears blocks Aaron Gordon's two point driving layup
  110. Q3 8:00
    Nuggets personal foul
  111. Q3 8:00
    +1
    Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    63-71
  112. Q3 8:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett)
  113. Q3 8:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett)
  114. Q3 8:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett)
  115. Q3 8:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett)
  116. Q3 8:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett)
  117. Q3 8:05
    +2
    Peyton Watson makes two point driving layup (Jalen Pickett assists)
    63-71
  118. Q3 8:42
    Nuggets personal foul
  119. Q3 8:42
    Pelicans defensive rebound
  120. Q3 9:17
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    63-71
  121. Q3 9:24
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  122. Q3 9:34
    Pelicans personal foul
  123. Q3 9:34
    +1
    Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    63-71
  124. Q3 9:49
    Zion Williamson turnover (3-second violation)
  125. Q3 10:13
    Nuggets personal foul
  126. Q3 10:13
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    60-69
  127. Q3 10:22
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  128. Q3 11:03
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  129. Q3 11:08
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  130. Q3 11:18
    Jeremiah Fears misses three point running jump shot
  131. Q3 11:41
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  132. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  133. Q3 12:00
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Zion Williamson, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III)
  134. Q2 00:01
    Pelicans violation
  135. Q2 00:01
    Derik Queen misses two point layup
  136. Q2 00:12
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  137. Q2 00:14
    Yves Missi personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)
  138. Q2 00:14
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Hawkins, Trey Murphy III)
  139. Q2 00:34
    +2
    Trey Murphy III makes two point jump shot
    58-64
  140. Q2 00:34
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    60-65
  141. Q2 00:34
    Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Hawkins, Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III)
  142. Q2 00:52
    Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
  143. Q2 1:06
    Jordan Hawkins offensive rebound
  144. Q2 1:19
    +1
    Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    55-62
  145. Q2 1:34
    +3
    Trey Murphy III makes three point jump shot
    60-65
  146. Q2 2:03
    Nuggets personal foul
  147. Q2 2:03
    +1
    Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    60-65
  148. Q2 2:13
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    51-58
  149. Q2 2:21
    Spencer Jones defensive rebound
  150. Q2 2:23
    Derik Queen misses two point jump shot
  151. Q2 2:38
    Aaron Gordon misses three point jump shot
  152. Q2 2:58
    Nuggets turnover
  153. Q2 3:16
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  154. Q2 3:23
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  155. Q2 3:36
    Nuggets personal foul
  156. Q2 3:36
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Zion Williamson, Jeremiah Fears, Jordan Hawkins, Trey Murphy III)
  157. Q2 3:36
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    49-54
  158. Q2 3:55
    Bruce Brown defensive rebound
  159. Q2 4:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  160. Q2 4:14
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  161. Q2 4:52
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  162. Q2 4:54
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  163. Q2 4:54
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  164. Q2 4:54
    Spencer Jones misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  165. Q2 4:55
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  166. Q2 5:17
    Pelicans personal foul
  167. Q2 5:17
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  168. Q2 5:17
    +1
    Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    47-50
  169. Q2 5:27
    Pelicans turnover
  170. Q2 5:27
    Pelicans personal foul
  171. Q2 5:38
    Pelicans personal foul
  172. Q2 5:38
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  173. Q2 5:38
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Micah Peavy, Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Jordan Poole)
  174. Q2 5:38
    +1
    Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    46-50
  175. Q2 5:40
    Yves Missi offensive rebound
  176. Q2 5:40
    Yves Missi misses two point layup
  177. Q2 5:47
    Yves Missi misses two point layup
  178. Q2 5:47
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  179. Q2 6:31
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    41-50
  180. Q2 6:41
    Spencer Jones offensive rebound
  181. Q2 6:51
    Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
  182. Q2 7:15
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  183. Q2 7:27
    Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
  184. Q2 7:38
    Nuggets turnover
  185. Q2 7:38
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
  186. Q2 8:15
    Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
  187. Q2 8:31
    Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
  188. Q2 8:48
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  189. Q2 9:16
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  190. Q2 9:16
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Zeke Nnaji)
  191. Q2 9:30
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  192. Q2 10:48
    Nuggets personal foul
  193. Q2 10:48
    +1
    Yves Missi makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    35-35
  194. Q2 10:58
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  195. Q2 11:24
    Pelicans personal foul
  196. Q2 11:24
    +1
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    33-31
  197. Q2 11:24
    +1
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    34-31
  198. Q2 11:41
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  199. Q2 11:46
    Nuggets personal foul
  200. Q2 12:00
    Pelicans lineup change (Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Hawkins, Yves Missi, Jordan Poole)
  201. Q1 00:01
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  202. Q1 00:36
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    32-29
  203. Q1 00:55
    Karlo Matkovic offensive rebound
  204. Q1 1:29
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    27-27
  205. Q1 1:51
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    27-25
  206. Q1 2:42
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    25-22
  207. Q1 2:52
    Pelicans personal foul
  208. Q1 2:52
    Trey Murphy III turnover (offensive foul)
  209. Q1 2:52
    Pelicans lineup change (Micah Peavy, Karlo Matkovic, Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Jordan Poole)
  210. Q1 3:02
    Nuggets turnover
  211. Q1 3:36
    Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
  212. Q1 3:47
    Nuggets personal foul
  213. Q1 3:47
    +1
    Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    22-19
  214. Q1 3:47
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Zeke Nnaji)
  215. Q1 3:47
    +1
    Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    22-20
  216. Q1 3:58
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    22-18
  217. Q1 4:29
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    20-18
  218. Q1 4:36
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  219. Q1 4:49
    Trey Murphy III misses three point stepback jump shot
  220. Q1 4:49
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  221. Q1 4:59
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  222. Q1 4:59
    Pelicans personal foul
  223. Q1 4:59
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Micah Peavy, Saddiq Bey, Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III)
  224. Q1 4:59
    +1
    Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    18-18
  225. Q1 4:59
    Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Micah Peavy, Jeremiah Fears, Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III)
  226. Q1 5:08
    Spencer Jones defensive rebound
  227. Q1 5:15
    Zion Williamson offensive rebound
  228. Q1 5:27
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    16-18
  229. Q1 5:46
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    14-18
  230. Q1 6:15
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    14-16
  231. Q1 6:31
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  232. Q1 6:31
    Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Peyton Watson, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
  233. Q1 6:31
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    11-16
  234. Q1 6:41
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  235. Q1 7:03
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    11-14
  236. Q1 7:34
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    11-11
  237. Q1 7:45
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  238. Q1 7:57
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  239. Q1 9:02
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  240. Q1 9:21
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    5-4
  241. Q1 9:37
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  242. Q1 9:40
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  243. Q1 9:55
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  244. Q1 10:00
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  245. Q1 10:21
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  246. Q1 10:29
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  247. Q1 10:44
    Pelicans personal foul
  248. Q1 10:44
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    5-2
  249. Q1 10:47
    Spencer Jones defensive rebound
  250. Q1 11:11
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    4-2
  251. Q1 11:46
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    2-0
  252. Q1 11:59
    Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
  253. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Nuggets
PosPlayerPts
Pelicans
PosPlayerPts

Nuggets vs. Pelicans: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nuggets vs. Pelicans
  • Date: Tuesday, January 13, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Smoothie King Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Nuggets favored at -2.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Nuggets -125, Pelicans +123

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nuggets: 60%
  • Pelicans: 40%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 118-115 Pelicans.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 60%, while the Pelicans have a win probability of 40%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Pelicans in the NBA game at Smoothie King Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nuggets vs. Pelicans predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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