Trail Blazers vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Trail Blazers vs. Warriors NBA game on January 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
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NBA
Trail Blazers
97
119
Chase Center
Warriors
Chase Center
TEAM1234T
Trail Blazers
24 17 30 26 97
Warriors
38 29 28 24 119
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Trail Blazers
    <1%
  • Warriors
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Trail Blazers
24 17 30 26 97
Warriors
38 29 28 24 119
Q4 00:49 Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:33 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:25 Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:39 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 4:11 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:29 Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
Q4 4:50 Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:06 Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:49 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:21
    Warriors defensive rebound
  2. Q4 00:21
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  3. Q4 00:49
    Caleb Love offensive rebound
  4. Q4 00:49
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    97-116
  5. Q4 1:10
    Trail Blazers personal foul
  6. Q4 1:10
    +1
    Will Richard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    95-115
  7. Q4 1:32
    Trail Blazers defensive rebound
  8. Q4 1:33
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  9. Q4 1:51
    Trail Blazers offensive rebound
  10. Q4 1:52
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  11. Q4 2:02
    Trail Blazers personal foul
  12. Q4 2:02
    +1
    Buddy Hield makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    91-114
  13. Q4 2:47
    Buddy Hield turnover
  14. Q4 2:58
    Trail Blazers personal foul
  15. Q4 2:58
    Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Buddy Hield, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Will Richard, Pat Spencer)
  16. Q4 3:03
    Trail Blazers turnover
  17. Q4 3:25
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    88-113
  18. Q4 3:39
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    86-113
  19. Q4 4:11
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  20. Q4 4:29
    +3
    Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
    86-111
  21. Q4 4:47
    Buddy Hield defensive rebound
  22. Q4 4:50
    Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
  23. Q4 5:04
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  24. Q4 5:06
    Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
  25. Q4 5:23
    Trail Blazers personal foul
  26. Q4 5:48
    Trail Blazers 60 second timeout
  27. Q4 5:49
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    83-111
  28. Q4 6:06
    Sidy Cissoko defensive rebound
  29. Q4 6:09
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  30. Q4 6:55
    Stoppage (Injury)
  31. Q4 6:57
    Yang Hansen offensive rebound
  32. Q4 7:05
    Warriors personal foul
  33. Q4 7:05
    +1
    Caleb Love makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    80-108
  34. Q4 7:54
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    77-106
  35. Q4 8:06
    Trail Blazers personal foul
  36. Q4 8:06
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Sidy Cissoko, Yang Hansen, Caleb Love, Shaedon Sharpe, Rayan Rupert)
  37. Q4 8:13
    Trail Blazers turnover
  38. Q4 8:32
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    77-103
  39. Q4 8:50
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  40. Q4 9:06
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  41. Q4 9:25
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    77-101
  42. Q4 9:57
    +3
    Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
    75-101
  43. Q4 10:12
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    72-101
  44. Q4 10:30
    +1
    Caleb Love makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    72-98
  45. Q4 10:30
    Caleb Love misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  46. Q4 10:35
    Warriors turnover
  47. Q4 10:44
    Trail Blazers turnover
  48. Q4 11:03
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    71-97
  49. Q4 11:21
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  50. Q4 11:38
    Robert Williams III defensive rebound
  51. Q4 11:41
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  52. Q3 00:00
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    71-95
  53. Q3 00:00
    Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
  54. Q3 00:11
    +3
    Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
    71-92
  55. Q3 00:56
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    68-89
  56. Q3 1:05
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Robert Williams III, Yang Hansen, Caleb Love, Rayan Rupert, Toumani Camara)
  57. Q3 1:19
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  58. Q3 1:37
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    68-86
  59. Q3 2:10
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  60. Q3 2:18
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  61. Q3 2:27
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  62. Q3 2:39
    Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
  63. Q3 3:02
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  64. Q3 3:11
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    67-84
  65. Q3 3:11
    +1
    Jrue Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    68-84
  66. Q3 3:15
    Yang Hansen defensive rebound
  67. Q3 3:27
    Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
  68. Q3 3:35
    Warriors violation
  69. Q3 4:00
    Robert Williams III defensive rebound
  70. Q3 4:04
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  71. Q3 4:35
    Warriors turnover
  72. Q3 4:35
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Robert Williams III, Jrue Holiday, Yang Hansen, Caleb Love, Toumani Camara)
  73. Q3 4:58
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    62-82
  74. Q3 5:11
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  75. Q3 5:39
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    62-79
  76. Q3 5:54
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Gui Santos, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II)
  77. Q3 5:54
    Trail Blazers delay of game violation
  78. Q3 5:54
    Trail Blazers delay of game violation
  79. Q3 5:58
    Shaedon Sharpe turnover (Draymond Green steals)
  80. Q3 6:17
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler III assists)
    60-77
  81. Q3 6:27
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  82. Q3 6:36
    Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
  83. Q3 6:46
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  84. Q3 6:49
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  85. Q3 7:05
    Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
  86. Q3 7:24
    +3
    Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
    60-72
  87. Q3 7:31
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  88. Q3 8:11
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    55-69
  89. Q3 8:22
    Jrue Holiday offensive rebound
  90. Q3 8:30
    Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
  91. Q3 8:34
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  92. Q3 8:43
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  93. Q3 8:48
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  94. Q3 9:16
    +3
    Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
    53-69
  95. Q3 9:16
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  96. Q3 9:21
    Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
  97. Q3 9:36
    Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
  98. Q3 9:41
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  99. Q3 9:55
    +3
    Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
    50-69
  100. Q3 10:10
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    47-69
  101. Q3 10:29
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  102. Q3 10:32
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  103. Q3 11:22
    Trail Blazers personal foul
  104. Q3 11:40
    +3
    Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
    44-67
  105. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  106. Q2 00:00
    Caleb Love misses three point jump shot
  107. Q2 00:01
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jimmy Butler III, Gary Payton II, Will Richard, Brandin Podziemski)
  108. Q2 00:07
    Warriors offensive rebound
  109. Q2 00:07
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  110. Q2 00:37
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  111. Q2 00:49
    Trail Blazers turnover
  112. Q2 1:09
    Shaedon Sharpe offensive rebound
  113. Q2 1:09
    Instant replay
  114. Q2 1:09
    Warriors challenge timeout
  115. Q2 1:12
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  116. Q2 1:41
    Warriors turnover
  117. Q2 1:51
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  118. Q2 2:07
    Warriors turnover
  119. Q2 2:22
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  120. Q2 2:43
    Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
  121. Q2 2:46
    Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
  122. Q2 2:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  123. Q2 2:49
    Trail Blazers 60 second timeout
  124. Q2 3:10
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    36-62
  125. Q2 3:30
    Trail Blazers personal foul
  126. Q2 3:30
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    36-59
  127. Q2 3:30
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Jrue Holiday, Caleb Love, Shaedon Sharpe, Rayan Rupert, Toumani Camara)
  128. Q2 3:37
    Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
  129. Q2 4:09
    Trail Blazers offensive rebound
  130. Q2 4:09
    +1
    Jrue Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    36-58
  131. Q2 4:20
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    35-58
  132. Q2 4:32
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  133. Q2 4:37
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  134. Q2 4:40
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  135. Q2 4:56
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  136. Q2 5:08
    Trail Blazers turnover
  137. Q2 5:11
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    35-59
  138. Q2 5:49
    +2
    Shaedon Sharpe makes two point jump shot
    33-56
  139. Q2 6:03
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    31-56
  140. Q2 6:11
    Trail Blazers personal foul
  141. Q2 6:24
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    31-53
  142. Q2 6:38
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    31-51
  143. Q2 6:38
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Sidy Cissoko, Duop Reath, Donovan Clingan, Shaedon Sharpe, Rayan Rupert)
  144. Q2 6:44
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Sidy Cissoko, Duop Reath, Donovan Clingan, Shaedon Sharpe, Rayan Rupert)
  145. Q2 6:56
    Duop Reath defensive rebound
  146. Q2 7:05
    Jimmy Butler III defensive rebound
  147. Q2 7:22
    Warriors personal foul
  148. Q2 7:55
    Donovan Clingan offensive rebound
  149. Q2 7:55
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  150. Q2 7:55
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  151. Q2 7:55
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton, Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, Will Richard)
  152. Q2 7:56
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  153. Q2 7:56
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  154. Q2 8:13
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  155. Q2 8:16
    Draymond Green offensive rebound
  156. Q2 8:41
    Trail Blazers turnover
  157. Q2 8:53
    Trail Blazers personal foul
  158. Q2 8:53
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Sidy Cissoko, Donovan Clingan, Caleb Love, Rayan Rupert, Toumani Camara)
  159. Q2 9:04
    Trail Blazers turnover
  160. Q2 9:28
    Warriors defensive rebound
  161. Q2 9:28
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  162. Q2 9:52
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  163. Q2 9:59
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  164. Q2 10:08
    Warriors personal foul
  165. Q2 10:08
    +1
    Rayan Rupert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    27-44
  166. Q2 10:34
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    26-44
  167. Q2 10:54
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  168. Q2 11:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  169. Q2 11:22
    +3
    Draymond Green makes three point jump shot (Stephen Curry assists)
    24-41
  170. Q2 11:33
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  171. Q2 12:00
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Robert Williams III, Jrue Holiday, Caleb Love, Rayan Rupert, Toumani Camara)
  172. Q2 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Gui Santos, Gary Payton II, Brandin Podziemski)
  173. Q1 00:01
    Brandin Podziemski misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  174. Q1 00:03
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  175. Q1 00:12
    +1
    Caleb Love makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    24-38
  176. Q1 00:12
    Trail Blazers offensive rebound
  177. Q1 00:12
    +1
    Caleb Love makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    23-38
  178. Q1 00:22
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Robert Williams III, Jrue Holiday, Sidy Cissoko, Caleb Love, Rayan Rupert)
  179. Q1 00:32
    +2
    Jimmy Butler III makes two point turnaround hook shot (De'Anthony Melton assists)
    22-38
  180. Q1 00:41
    +2
    Robert Williams III makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jrue Holiday assists)
    22-36
  181. Q1 1:19
    Quinten Post turnover (offensive foul)
  182. Q1 1:19
    Quinten Post offensive foul (Sidy Cissoko draws the foul)
  183. Q1 1:26
    Warriors defensive rebound
  184. Q1 1:43
    Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton, Quinten Post, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski)
  185. Q1 1:43
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  186. Q1 1:43
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Robert Williams III, Jrue Holiday, Yang Hansen, Jerami Grant, Caleb Love)
  187. Q1 1:45
    Robert Williams III defensive rebound
  188. Q1 1:47
    Gui Santos misses two point layup
  189. Q1 2:12
    Yang Hansen defensive rebound
  190. Q1 2:31
    Javonte Cooke misses two point jump shot
  191. Q1 3:06
    +3
    Brandin Podziemski makes three point pullup jump shot (De'Anthony Melton assists)
    15-30
  192. Q1 3:11
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Robert Williams III, Javonte Cooke, Sidy Cissoko, Yang Hansen, Shaedon Sharpe)
  193. Q1 3:11
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Robert Williams III, Javonte Cooke, Sidy Cissoko, Yang Hansen, Shaedon Sharpe)
  194. Q1 3:16
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    15-27
  195. Q1 3:16
    Trail Blazers technical foul (Defensive three second)
  196. Q1 3:34
    Javonte Cooke defensive rebound
  197. Q1 3:37
    Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
  198. Q1 3:46
    Trail Blazers offensive rebound
  199. Q1 3:46
    Al Horford blocks Javonte Cooke's two point driving reverse layup
  200. Q1 4:12
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  201. Q1 4:12
    Gary Payton II blocks Toumani Camara's two point driving layup
  202. Q1 4:12
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Gary Payton II)
  203. Q1 4:12
    Toumani Camara turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  204. Q1 4:39
    +3
    Gui Santos makes three point jump shot (Moses Moody assists)
    13-23
  205. Q1 4:50
    +2
    Shaedon Sharpe makes two point stepback jump shot (Javonte Cooke assists)
    13-20
  206. Q1 5:16
    Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
  207. Q1 5:19
    Stephen Curry misses three point stepback jump shot
  208. Q1 5:54
    +3
    Moses Moody makes three point jump shot (Gui Santos assists)
    11-17
  209. Q1 6:12
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  210. Q1 6:15
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Stephen Curry, Gui Santos, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II)
  211. Q1 6:15
    Shaedon Sharpe misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  212. Q1 6:15
    Trail Blazers offensive rebound
  213. Q1 6:15
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Javonte Cooke, Donovan Clingan, Shaedon Sharpe, Rayan Rupert, Toumani Camara)
  214. Q1 6:28
    Quinten Post personal foul (Shaedon Sharpe draws the foul)
  215. Q1 6:28
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Javonte Cooke, Donovan Clingan, Shaedon Sharpe, Rayan Rupert, Toumani Camara)
  216. Q1 6:57
    +3
    Donovan Clingan makes three point pullup jump shot
    11-12
  217. Q1 7:19
    +1
    Donovan Clingan makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    7-12
  218. Q1 7:27
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Stephen Curry, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II)
  219. Q1 7:27
    Draymond Green turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  220. Q1 7:57
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Donovan Clingan, Caleb Love, Shaedon Sharpe, Rayan Rupert, Toumani Camara)
  221. Q1 7:57
    Draymond Green turnover (offensive foul)
  222. Q1 8:11
    Sidy Cissoko misses three point jump shot
  223. Q1 8:33
    Toumani Camara shooting foul (Jimmy Butler III draws the foul)
  224. Q1 8:33
    Trail Blazers 60 second timeout
  225. Q1 8:36
    Stephen Curry defensive rebound
  226. Q1 8:46
    Shaedon Sharpe misses three point pullup jump shot
  227. Q1 9:00
    +2
    Draymond Green makes two point floating jump shot (Stephen Curry assists)
    4-9
  228. Q1 9:52
    +2
    Shaedon Sharpe makes two point driving layup
    2-4
  229. Q1 10:02
    Trail Blazers defensive rebound
  230. Q1 10:09
    Stephen Curry defensive rebound
  231. Q1 10:10
    Toumani Camara misses two point driving bank hook shot
  232. Q1 10:37
    Shaedon Sharpe misses three point pullup jump shot
  233. Q1 10:44
    Sidy Cissoko defensive rebound
  234. Q1 11:15
    +2
    Draymond Green makes two point running finger roll layup (Stephen Curry assists)
    0-2
  235. Q1 11:17
    Stephen Curry defensive rebound
  236. Q1 11:32
    Draymond Green misses three point jump shot
  237. Q1 11:36
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  238. Q1 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Quinten Post, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody)
  239. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Trail Blazers
PosPlayerPts
Warriors
PosPlayerPts

Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Trail Blazers vs. Warriors
  • Date: Tuesday, January 13, 2026
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Warriors favored at -10.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Trail Blazers +385, Warriors -455

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Trail Blazers: 20%
  • Warriors: 80%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Trail Blazers 107-117 Warriors.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Trail Blazers a win probability of 20%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 80%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Trail Blazers in the NBA game at Chase Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Trail Blazers vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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