Rockets vs. Kings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. Kings NBA game on January 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Rockets
98
111
Golden 1 Center
Kings
Golden 1 Center
TEAM1234T
Rockets
23 25 28 22 98
Kings
22 29 27 33 111
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rockets
    <1%
  • Kings
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Rockets
23 25 28 22 98
Kings
22 29 27 33 111
Q4 1:06 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:20 Kings makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:50 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:22 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:35 Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:07 DeMar DeRozan misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:38 Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:49 Kings makes three point jump shot
Q4 5:20 Alperen Sengun makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Kevin Durant assists)
Q4 5:56 Kevin Durant makes two point driving layup (Amen Thompson assists)
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:10
    Kings violation
  2. Q4 00:10
    Kings turnover
  3. Q4 1:02
    Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  4. Q4 1:02
    Rockets offensive rebound
  5. Q4 1:06
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  6. Q4 1:06
    Rockets offensive rebound
  7. Q4 1:18
    Jabari Smith Jr. turnover (lost ball)
  8. Q4 1:19
    Maxime Raynaud offensive rebound
  9. Q4 1:20
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    95-107
  10. Q4 1:21
    Jabari Smith Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Precious Achiuwa steals)
  11. Q4 1:42
    Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  12. Q4 1:42
    Rockets offensive rebound
  13. Q4 1:50
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  14. Q4 2:22
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    94-104
  15. Q4 2:35
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  16. Q4 2:47
    Rockets personal foul
  17. Q4 2:54
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  18. Q4 2:54
    Rockets challenge timeout
  19. Q4 2:54
    Rockets challenge timeout
  20. Q4 2:54
    Kings offensive rebound
  21. Q4 2:54
    Rockets defensive rebound
  22. Q4 3:07
    Rockets turnover
  23. Q4 3:07
    DeMar DeRozan misses two point jump shot
  24. Q4 3:07
    Maxime Raynaud offensive rebound
  25. Q4 3:34
    Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
  26. Q4 3:38
    Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
  27. Q4 3:47
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  28. Q4 3:49
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    92-100
  29. Q4 4:47
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  30. Q4 4:47
    Kings 60 second timeout
  31. Q4 4:49
    Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  32. Q4 4:49
    Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  33. Q4 4:58
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  34. Q4 5:20
    +2
    Alperen Sengun makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Kevin Durant assists)
    92-94
  35. Q4 5:56
    Zach LaVine shooting foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
  36. Q4 5:56
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    90-92
  37. Q4 5:56
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point driving layup (Amen Thompson assists)
    89-92
  38. Q4 6:22
    Kevin Durant misses two point pullup jump shot
  39. Q4 6:33
    Kings lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Maxime Raynaud, Zach LaVine, Precious Achiuwa, Russell Westbrook)
  40. Q4 6:38
    Amen Thompson misses two point cutting layup
  41. Q4 6:55
    Steven Adams defensive rebound
  42. Q4 7:14
    Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant, Steven Adams, Amen Thompson)
  43. Q4 7:14
    Kings lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Maxime Raynaud, Zach LaVine, Russell Westbrook, Malik Monk)
  44. Q4 7:14
    +1
    Dorian Finney-Smith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    87-92
  45. Q4 7:14
    +1
    Dorian Finney-Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    86-92
  46. Q4 7:28
    Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
  47. Q4 7:46
    Malik Monk defensive rebound
  48. Q4 7:57
    Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
  49. Q4 8:02
    Kevin Durant misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  50. Q4 8:29
    Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
  51. Q4 8:31
    Dylan Cardwell misses two point layup
  52. Q4 8:31
    Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
  53. Q4 8:48
    Russell Westbrook personal foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)
  54. Q4 8:48
    +1
    Steven Adams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    85-90
  55. Q4 9:24
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    84-87
  56. Q4 9:48
    Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
  57. Q4 9:48
    +2
    Dylan Cardwell makes two point tip layup
    82-87
  58. Q4 9:48
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  59. Q4 9:48
    Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Steven Adams, Amen Thompson)
  60. Q4 10:30
    Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson)
  61. Q4 10:30
    Reed Sheppard shooting foul (Nique Clifford draws the foul)
  62. Q4 11:01
    Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
  63. Q4 11:06
    Nique Clifford misses three point jump shot
  64. Q4 12:00
    Kings lineup change (Dylan Cardwell, Zach LaVine, Russell Westbrook, Nique Clifford, Malik Monk)
  65. Q3 00:00
    DeMar DeRozan misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  66. Q3 00:38
    +2
    DeMar DeRozan makes two point pullup jump shot (Malik Monk assists)
    76-77
  67. Q3 00:38
    +1
    DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    76-78
  68. Q3 00:38
    Reed Sheppard shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)
  69. Q3 00:40
    +1
    Reed Sheppard makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    76-75
  70. Q3 1:05
    +2
    Reed Sheppard makes two point running layup (Aaron Holiday assists)
    75-75
  71. Q3 2:06
    Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Steven Adams, Reed Sheppard)
  72. Q3 2:06
    Kings offensive rebound
  73. Q3 2:34
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  74. Q3 3:01
    Rockets offensive rebound
  75. Q3 3:35
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot
  76. Q3 4:24
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point driving floating jump shot
    69-70
  77. Q3 5:55
    +1
    DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    65-68
  78. Q3 6:32
    +1
    DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    63-65
  79. Q3 6:54
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot
  80. Q3 7:59
    +3
    Kevin Durant makes three point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
    61-60
  81. Q3 8:37
    +2
    Maxime Raynaud makes two point tip layup
    56-58
  82. Q3 9:08
    Kings offensive rebound
  83. Q3 9:41
    Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
  84. Q3 10:03
    Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
  85. Q3 10:33
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  86. Q3 11:40
    Alperen Sengun misses two point driving layup
  87. Q2 00:24
    Aaron Holiday misses three point jump shot
  88. Q2 3:35
    +2
    Maxime Raynaud makes two point hook shot (Malik Monk assists)
    37-41
  89. Q2 3:52
    Amen Thompson misses two point layup
  90. Q2 4:26
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    37-38
  91. Q2 10:09
    Rockets turnover (shot clock violation)
  92. Q2 11:46
    +1
    Steven Adams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    25-22
  93. Q1 2:37
    Steven Adams turnover (offensive foul)
  94. Q1 2:57
    Russell Westbrook misses three point jump shot
  95. Q1 4:03
    Dylan Cardwell misses two point hook shot
  96. Q1 6:39
    +2
    DeMar DeRozan makes two point pullup jump shot
    9-12
  97. Q1 7:49
    Kevin Durant misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
  98. Q1 8:12
    Russell Westbrook offensive rebound
  99. Q1 10:36
    Russell Westbrook turnover (bad pass) (Alperen Sengun steals)
  100. Q1 12:00
    Alperen Sengun vs. Maxime Raynaud (Precious Achiuwa gains possession)
Box Score
Rockets
PosPlayerPts
Kings
PosPlayerPts

Rockets vs. Kings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Rockets vs. Kings
  • Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Golden 1 Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rockets favored at -14
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Rockets -720, Kings +550

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Rockets: 85%
  • Kings: 15%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 117-105 Kings.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 85%, while the Kings have a win probability of 15%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Kings in the NBA game at Golden 1 Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rockets vs. Kings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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