Spurs vs. Pacers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Pacers NBA game on January 2, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Spurs
123
113
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Pacers
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
TEAM1234T
Spurs
30 41 32 12 123
Pacers
31 27 31 18 113
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Spurs
    >99%
  • Pacers
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Spurs
30 41 32 12 123
Pacers
31 27 31 18 113
Q4 00:27 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:39 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:01 Pascal Siakam makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:05 Stephon Castle misses two point driving layup
Q4 1:37 Stephon Castle makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:07 De'Aaron Fox makes three point jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)
Q4 2:31 Micah Potter makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:43 Julian Champagnie misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:07 Pacers makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:21 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:03
    Spurs turnover (shot clock violation)
  3. Q4 00:27
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    115-107
  4. Q4 00:37
    Pacers personal foul
  5. Q4 00:37
    Spurs defensive rebound
  6. Q4 00:37
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    115-107
  7. Q4 00:37
    Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
  8. Q4 00:37
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox)
  9. Q4 00:37
    Pacers lineup change (Ethan Thompson, Quenton Jackson, Jarace Walker, Taelon Peter, Kam Jones)
  10. Q4 00:37
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    115-107
  11. Q4 00:39
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  12. Q4 00:40
    Micah Potter personal foul (Luke Kornet draws the foul)
  13. Q4 00:40
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  14. Q4 00:40
    Luke Kornet misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  15. Q4 00:40
    Spurs offensive rebound
  16. Q4 00:40
    +1
    Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    115-107
  17. Q4 00:40
    Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Aaron Nesmith, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
  18. Q4 1:01
    +2
    Pascal Siakam makes two point jump shot
    115-107
  19. Q4 1:05
    Stephon Castle misses two point driving layup
  20. Q4 1:05
    Spurs turnover
  21. Q4 1:05
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  22. Q4 1:05
    Stephon Castle turnover (lost ball)
  23. Q4 1:20
    Pacers turnover
  24. Q4 1:37
    +2
    Stephon Castle makes two point jump shot
    115-107
  25. Q4 1:53
    Luke Kornet personal foul
  26. Q4 1:53
    +1
    Micah Potter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    115-107
  27. Q4 1:53
    +1
    Micah Potter makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    115-107
  28. Q4 2:07
    +3
    De'Aaron Fox makes three point jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)
    115-107
  29. Q4 2:29
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  30. Q4 2:29
    Pacers delay of game violation
  31. Q4 2:29
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox)
  32. Q4 2:31
    +3
    Micah Potter makes three point jump shot
    115-107
  33. Q4 2:42
    Micah Potter defensive rebound
  34. Q4 2:43
    Julian Champagnie misses two point jump shot
  35. Q4 3:07
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    115-107
  36. Q4 3:19
    Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
  37. Q4 3:21
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  38. Q4 3:34
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  39. Q4 3:35
    Julian Champagnie personal foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)
  40. Q4 3:35
    Pacers offensive rebound
  41. Q4 3:35
    Andrew Nembhard misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  42. Q4 3:35
    Andrew Nembhard misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  43. Q4 3:46
    Micah Potter defensive rebound
  44. Q4 3:47
    Kam Jones personal foul (Julian Champagnie draws the foul)
  45. Q4 3:47
    Julian Champagnie misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  46. Q4 3:47
    +1
    Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    115-107
  47. Q4 3:49
    Spurs offensive rebound
  48. Q4 3:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  49. Q4 3:51
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  50. Q4 4:08
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    115-107
  51. Q4 4:13
    Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Kam Jones, Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam)
  52. Q4 4:13
    +1
    Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    115-107
  53. Q4 4:13
    Bennedict Mathurin personal foul
  54. Q4 4:13
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox)
  55. Q4 4:13
    +1
    Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    115-107
  56. Q4 4:37
    +2
    Aaron Nesmith makes two point running reverse layup (Bennedict Mathurin assists)
    115-107
  57. Q4 4:45
    Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
  58. Q4 4:51
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  59. Q4 5:04
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    115-107
  60. Q4 5:26
    +2
    Dylan Harper makes two point putback layup
    115-107
  61. Q4 5:28
    Dylan Harper offensive rebound
  62. Q4 5:31
    Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
  63. Q4 5:36
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  64. Q4 5:36
    Pacers defensive rebound
  65. Q4 5:36
    Pacers personal foul
  66. Q4 5:36
    Andrew Nembhard turnover
  67. Q4 5:36
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  68. Q4 5:36
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie, Kelly Olynyk)
  69. Q4 5:38
    Kelly Olynyk offensive rebound
  70. Q4 5:42
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  71. Q4 5:47
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  72. Q4 5:49
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  73. Q4 6:10
    Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
  74. Q4 6:14
    Lindy Waters III misses three point pullup jump shot
  75. Q4 6:27
    +2
    Pascal Siakam makes two point turnaround jump shot
    115-107
  76. Q4 6:39
    Spurs turnover
  77. Q4 6:53
    Andrew Nembhard personal foul (Julian Champagnie draws the foul)
  78. Q4 6:53
    Andrew Nembhard turnover (Kelly Olynyk steals)
  79. Q4 7:00
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Lindy Waters III, Julian Champagnie, Kelly Olynyk)
  80. Q4 7:00
    Pacers personal foul
  81. Q4 7:00
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    115-107
  82. Q4 7:00
    Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Aaron Nesmith, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
  83. Q4 7:00
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    115-107
  84. Q4 7:07
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  85. Q4 7:09
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  86. Q4 7:31
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    115-107
  87. Q4 7:37
    Lindy Waters III defensive rebound
  88. Q4 7:40
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  89. Q4 7:58
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    115-107
  90. Q4 8:16
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  91. Q4 8:16
    Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin, Jay Huff)
  92. Q4 8:18
    +3
    Ben Sheppard makes three point jump shot
    115-107
  93. Q4 8:24
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  94. Q4 8:25
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  95. Q4 8:42
    +2
    Pascal Siakam makes two point fadeaway bank jump shot
    103-89
  96. Q4 8:42
    Stephon Castle shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)
  97. Q4 8:42
    +1
    Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    115-107
  98. Q4 8:42
    Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Ben Sheppard, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff)
  99. Q4 8:46
    Ben Sheppard offensive rebound
  100. Q4 8:50
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  101. Q4 9:10
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    115-107
  102. Q4 9:17
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  103. Q4 9:19
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  104. Q4 9:32
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  105. Q4 9:32
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Lindy Waters III, Keldon Johnson, Kelly Olynyk)
  106. Q4 9:32
    Pacers personal foul
  107. Q4 9:32
    +1
    Lindy Waters III makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    115-107
  108. Q4 9:32
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff)
  109. Q4 9:37
    +3
    Keldon Johnson makes three point jump shot
    103-89
  110. Q4 9:42
    Lindy Waters III defensive rebound
  111. Q4 9:46
    T.J. McConnell misses two point running pullup jump shot
  112. Q4 9:51
    Ben Sheppard defensive rebound
  113. Q4 9:53
    Stephon Castle misses two point driving finger roll layup
  114. Q4 10:04
    Aaron Nesmith personal foul
  115. Q4 10:04
    Aaron Nesmith turnover (offensive foul)
  116. Q4 10:06
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  117. Q4 10:10
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  118. Q4 10:20
    Luke Kornet personal foul
  119. Q4 10:20
    +1
    Jay Huff makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    115-107
  120. Q4 10:20
    +1
    Jay Huff makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    115-107
  121. Q4 10:30
    Spurs personal foul
  122. Q4 10:45
    Keldon Johnson misses three point jump shot
  123. Q4 10:46
    De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
  124. Q4 10:47
    Pacers personal foul
  125. Q4 10:47
    +1
    Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    115-107
  126. Q4 10:47
    Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  127. Q4 10:47
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard, Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff)
  128. Q4 10:54
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  129. Q4 10:57
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  130. Q4 11:16
    Ben Sheppard defensive rebound
  131. Q4 11:20
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  132. Q4 11:34
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  133. Q4 11:37
    T.J. McConnell misses two point jump shot
  134. Q4 11:45
    Jay Huff defensive rebound
  135. Q4 11:47
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  136. Q3 00:00
    Pacers offensive rebound
  137. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  138. Q4 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Lindy Waters III, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox)
  139. Q3 00:01
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  140. Q3 00:15
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    89-78
  141. Q3 00:30
    Spurs defensive rebound
  142. Q3 00:30
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  143. Q3 00:32
    Ben Sheppard misses three point jump shot
  144. Q3 00:36
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  145. Q3 00:39
    De'Aaron Fox misses three point pullup jump shot
  146. Q3 00:54
    +2
    T.J. McConnell makes two point driving layup
    103-89
  147. Q3 1:02
    Pacers personal foul
  148. Q3 1:02
    Spurs defensive rebound
  149. Q3 1:02
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    103-89
  150. Q3 1:02
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff)
  151. Q3 1:02
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox)
  152. Q3 1:02
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    103-89
  153. Q3 1:04
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  154. Q3 1:12
    Jay Huff defensive rebound
  155. Q3 1:14
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  156. Q3 1:31
    +2
    Johnny Furphy makes two point running reverse layup (T.J. McConnell assists)
    89-78
  157. Q3 1:36
    Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
  158. Q3 1:37
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  159. Q3 1:47
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Johnny Furphy, Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff)
  160. Q3 1:47
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  161. Q3 1:47
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox)
  162. Q3 1:47
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff)
  163. Q3 1:47
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox)
  164. Q3 1:49
    +3
    Ben Sheppard makes three point jump shot
    89-78
  165. Q3 1:57
    T.J. McConnell defensive rebound
  166. Q3 2:00
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  167. Q3 2:13
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  168. Q3 2:15
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  169. Q3 2:32
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point cutting dunk (Kelly Olynyk assists)
    103-89
  170. Q3 2:51
    +2
    Ben Sheppard makes two point jump shot (Jay Huff assists)
    89-78
  171. Q3 3:09
    Ben Sheppard defensive rebound
  172. Q3 3:12
    Ben Sheppard shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)
  173. Q3 3:12
    +1
    Kelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    89-78
  174. Q3 3:12
    Kelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  175. Q3 3:30
    +2
    T.J. McConnell makes two point jump shot
    89-78
  176. Q3 3:41
    Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
  177. Q3 3:41
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  178. Q3 3:41
    Jay Huff turnover (offensive foul)
  179. Q3 3:43
    Pacers challenge timeout
  180. Q3 3:43
    Keldon Johnson personal foul (Jay Huff draws the foul)
  181. Q3 4:00
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    89-78
  182. Q3 4:14
    Kelly Olynyk personal foul
  183. Q3 4:14
    +1
    Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    89-78
  184. Q3 4:14
    +1
    Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    89-78
  185. Q3 4:14
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Andrew Nembhard, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Jay Huff)
  186. Q3 4:21
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  187. Q3 4:26
    Carter Bryant misses three point jump shot
  188. Q3 4:42
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  189. Q3 4:46
    Johnny Furphy misses three point jump shot
  190. Q3 5:05
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  191. Q3 5:05
    Pacers defensive rebound
  192. Q3 5:05
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  193. Q3 5:05
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Kelly Olynyk)
  194. Q3 5:05
    Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Kam Jones, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Jay Huff)
  195. Q3 5:05
    Stephon Castle turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  196. Q3 5:11
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  197. Q3 5:14
    Kam Jones misses three point jump shot
  198. Q3 5:24
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  199. Q3 5:26
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  200. Q3 5:33
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  201. Q3 5:36
    Micah Potter misses two point driving floating jump shot
  202. Q3 5:47
    Pacers defensive rebound
  203. Q3 5:47
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  204. Q3 5:49
    Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
  205. Q3 5:56
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  206. Q3 6:09
    Spurs violation
  207. Q3 6:09
    Instant replay (Challenge)
  208. Q3 6:09
    Pacers violation
  209. Q3 6:09
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  210. Q3 6:09
    Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Kam Jones, Ben Sheppard, Pascal Siakam)
  211. Q3 6:09
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Kelly Olynyk)
  212. Q3 6:10
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  213. Q3 6:14
    Spurs turnover
  214. Q3 6:23
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    84-70
  215. Q3 6:34
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    84-68
  216. Q3 6:44
    Spurs personal foul
  217. Q3 6:44
    +1
    Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    84-72
  218. Q3 6:44
    +1
    Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    84-72
  219. Q3 6:59
    Pacers defensive rebound
  220. Q3 6:59
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  221. Q3 6:59
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie)
  222. Q3 7:02
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  223. Q3 7:13
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  224. Q3 7:15
    Micah Potter misses three point jump shot
  225. Q3 7:33
    Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
  226. Q3 7:37
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  227. Q3 7:45
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  228. Q3 7:47
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  229. Q3 7:56
    Micah Potter defensive rebound
  230. Q3 8:00
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  231. Q3 8:12
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    82-66
  232. Q3 8:18
    +2
    Stephon Castle makes two point jump shot
    81-63
  233. Q3 8:18
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    82-63
  234. Q3 8:18
    Pacers personal foul
  235. Q3 8:31
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    79-63
  236. Q3 8:44
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  237. Q3 8:46
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    79-60
  238. Q3 8:46
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  239. Q3 8:54
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  240. Q3 8:57
    Kam Jones misses two point floating jump shot
  241. Q3 9:06
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  242. Q3 9:08
    Micah Potter defensive rebound
  243. Q3 9:11
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  244. Q3 9:12
    Spurs offensive rebound
  245. Q3 9:12
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  246. Q3 9:13
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  247. Q3 9:25
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  248. Q3 9:28
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  249. Q3 9:32
    Micah Potter defensive rebound
  250. Q3 9:34
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  251. Q3 9:43
    +2
    Pascal Siakam makes two point jump shot (Kam Jones assists)
    77-60
  252. Q3 9:50
    Kam Jones defensive rebound
  253. Q3 9:53
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  254. Q3 9:59
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  255. Q3 10:01
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  256. Q3 10:09
    Micah Potter defensive rebound
  257. Q3 10:10
    Bennedict Mathurin personal foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
  258. Q3 10:10
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  259. Q3 10:10
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    77-60
  260. Q3 10:10
    Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Kam Jones, Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam)
  261. Q3 10:21
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  262. Q3 10:23
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  263. Q3 10:28
    Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
  264. Q3 10:32
    Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
  265. Q3 10:41
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  266. Q3 10:43
    Bennedict Mathurin misses two point pullup jump shot
  267. Q3 11:00
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot
    73-58
  268. Q3 11:08
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  269. Q3 11:10
    Micah Potter misses three point jump shot
  270. Q3 11:17
    Bennedict Mathurin personal foul (Luke Kornet draws the foul)
  271. Q3 11:17
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    77-58
  272. Q3 11:17
    +1
    Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    77-58
  273. Q3 11:36
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  274. Q3 11:38
    Pascal Siakam misses two point floating jump shot
  275. Q3 11:48
    Stephon Castle personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)
  276. Q2 00:00
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    71-58
  277. Q2 00:00
    Instant replay
  278. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  279. Q3 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox)
  280. Q3 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Aaron Nesmith, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
  281. Q2 00:10
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    70-56
  282. Q2 00:10
    Pacers personal foul
  283. Q2 00:10
    +1
    Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    71-56
  284. Q2 00:10
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
  285. Q2 00:29
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    68-56
  286. Q2 00:42
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    68-54
  287. Q2 00:58
    Spurs defensive rebound
  288. Q2 00:58
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  289. Q2 1:00
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  290. Q2 1:05
    Spurs personal foul
  291. Q2 1:18
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    66-54
  292. Q2 1:32
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    63-54
  293. Q2 1:40
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  294. Q2 1:44
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  295. Q2 1:51
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  296. Q2 1:56
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  297. Q2 2:09
    Spurs turnover
  298. Q2 2:21
    Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
  299. Q2 2:22
    Pacers personal foul
  300. Q2 2:22
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson)
  301. Q2 2:25
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    71-58
  302. Q2 2:25
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  303. Q2 2:30
    Carter Bryant offensive rebound
  304. Q2 2:32
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  305. Q2 2:50
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    63-52
  306. Q2 2:55
    Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
  307. Q2 2:56
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  308. Q2 2:59
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  309. Q2 3:05
    Pacers turnover
  310. Q2 3:08
    Kelly Olynyk offensive rebound
  311. Q2 3:08
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    63-50
  312. Q2 3:11
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  313. Q2 3:21
    Spurs personal foul
  314. Q2 3:21
    +1
    Aaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    61-49
  315. Q2 3:21
    +1
    Aaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    61-50
  316. Q2 3:29
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  317. Q2 3:30
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  318. Q2 3:43
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    61-48
  319. Q2 3:48
    Spurs personal foul
  320. Q2 3:52
    Pacers personal foul
  321. Q2 3:52
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    60-46
  322. Q2 3:52
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    61-46
  323. Q2 3:52
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam)
  324. Q2 4:04
    Pacers personal foul
  325. Q2 4:04
    Micah Potter turnover (offensive foul)
  326. Q2 4:04
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, Kelly Olynyk)
  327. Q2 4:17
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  328. Q2 4:19
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  329. Q2 4:29
    Pacers personal foul
  330. Q2 4:29
    Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Aaron Nesmith, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
  331. Q2 4:29
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Lindy Waters III, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, Kelly Olynyk)
  332. Q2 4:31
    Pacers turnover
  333. Q2 4:35
    Spurs turnover
  334. Q2 4:41
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    59-46
  335. Q2 4:56
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    59-44
  336. Q2 5:03
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  337. Q2 5:05
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  338. Q2 5:20
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    56-44
  339. Q2 5:27
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    54-44
  340. Q2 5:51
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    54-42
  341. Q2 6:00
    Spurs offensive rebound
  342. Q2 6:00
    Pacers personal foul
  343. Q2 6:01
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  344. Q2 6:06
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    59-46
  345. Q2 6:06
    Pacers turnover
  346. Q2 6:12
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    51-42
  347. Q2 6:32
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    49-42
  348. Q2 6:50
    Spurs turnover
  349. Q2 6:52
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  350. Q2 6:56
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  351. Q2 7:15
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  352. Q2 7:15
    Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
  353. Q2 7:15
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Lindy Waters III, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox, Kelly Olynyk)
  354. Q2 7:17
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    49-40
  355. Q2 7:22
    Lindy Waters III defensive rebound
  356. Q2 7:23
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  357. Q2 7:32
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    46-40
  358. Q2 7:49
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    43-40
  359. Q2 8:07
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    43-37
  360. Q2 8:16
    Pacers turnover
  361. Q2 8:20
    Spurs personal foul
  362. Q2 8:20
    +1
    Jarace Walker makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    41-37
  363. Q2 8:20
    Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter, Ben Sheppard, Pascal Siakam)
  364. Q2 8:38
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    41-36
  365. Q2 8:47
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  366. Q2 8:50
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  367. Q2 8:56
    T.J. McConnell defensive rebound
  368. Q2 8:59
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  369. Q2 9:17
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    39-36
  370. Q2 9:35
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    39-34
  371. Q2 9:35
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  372. Q2 9:35
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Lindy Waters III, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox)
  373. Q2 9:35
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Ben Sheppard, Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff)
  374. Q2 9:38
    Pacers turnover
  375. Q2 9:51
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    37-34
  376. Q2 9:52
    De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
  377. Q2 9:54
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  378. Q2 10:07
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  379. Q2 10:10
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  380. Q2 10:16
    Spurs turnover
  381. Q2 10:23
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  382. Q2 10:25
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  383. Q2 10:39
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    34-34
  384. Q2 10:56
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    32-34
  385. Q2 11:08
    Spurs turnover
  386. Q2 11:23
    Pacers personal foul
  387. Q2 11:23
    Aaron Nesmith turnover (offensive foul)
  388. Q2 11:26
    Spurs personal foul
  389. Q2 11:32
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  390. Q2 11:41
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    32-31
  391. Q2 11:45
    Pacers turnover
  392. Q1 00:00
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  393. Q1 00:00
    Spurs offensive rebound
  394. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  395. Q2 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Lindy Waters III, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox)
  396. Q2 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff)
  397. Q1 00:01
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    30-31
  398. Q1 00:05
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    29-29
  399. Q1 00:05
    Pacers personal foul
  400. Q1 00:05
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
  401. Q1 00:05
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    30-29
  402. Q1 00:05
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Aaron Nesmith, Bennedict Mathurin, Jay Huff)
  403. Q1 00:09
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    27-29
  404. Q1 00:29
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    27-27
  405. Q1 00:45
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    25-27
  406. Q1 00:52
    Spurs personal foul
  407. Q1 1:05
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    25-25
  408. Q1 1:14
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  409. Q1 1:16
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  410. Q1 1:31
    Pacers defensive rebound
  411. Q1 1:31
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  412. Q1 1:31
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox)
  413. Q1 1:34
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  414. Q1 1:44
    Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
  415. Q1 1:45
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  416. Q1 2:01
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    23-25
  417. Q1 2:20
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    21-25
  418. Q1 2:37
    Spurs turnover
  419. Q1 2:54
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    21-22
  420. Q1 3:05
    Spurs personal foul
  421. Q1 3:05
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Kelly Olynyk)
  422. Q1 3:05
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Ben Sheppard, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff)
  423. Q1 3:05
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Kelly Olynyk)
  424. Q1 3:05
    Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Johnny Furphy, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff)
  425. Q1 3:07
    Jay Huff defensive rebound
  426. Q1 3:10
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  427. Q1 3:15
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  428. Q1 3:19
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  429. Q1 3:22
    Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
  430. Q1 3:24
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  431. Q1 3:44
    Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
  432. Q1 3:46
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  433. Q1 4:03
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    21-20
  434. Q1 4:10
    Pacers turnover
  435. Q1 4:32
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  436. Q1 4:32
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, Kelly Olynyk)
  437. Q1 4:33
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    18-20
  438. Q1 4:34
    Kelly Olynyk offensive rebound
  439. Q1 4:37
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  440. Q1 4:42
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  441. Q1 4:44
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  442. Q1 4:58
    Pacers personal foul
  443. Q1 4:58
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    15-20
  444. Q1 4:58
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    16-20
  445. Q1 4:58
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Kelly Olynyk)
  446. Q1 5:04
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  447. Q1 5:05
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  448. Q1 5:11
    Pacers turnover
  449. Q1 5:26
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    14-20
  450. Q1 5:33
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    11-20
  451. Q1 5:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  452. Q1 5:49
    Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin, Jay Huff)
  453. Q1 5:49
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Kelly Olynyk)
  454. Q1 5:52
    Spurs turnover
  455. Q1 6:13
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    11-18
  456. Q1 6:26
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  457. Q1 6:26
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    11-16
  458. Q1 6:29
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  459. Q1 6:39
    Pacers turnover
  460. Q1 6:48
    Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
  461. Q1 6:49
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  462. Q1 6:57
    Spurs personal foul
  463. Q1 6:57
    Pacers personal foul
  464. Q1 6:57
    Pascal Siakam turnover (offensive foul)
  465. Q1 6:57
    Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin)
  466. Q1 6:57
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie, Kelly Olynyk)
  467. Q1 7:17
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  468. Q1 7:17
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  469. Q1 7:17
    Pacers defensive rebound
  470. Q1 7:17
    Spurs personal foul
  471. Q1 7:17
    Pacers violation
  472. Q1 7:18
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  473. Q1 7:23
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  474. Q1 7:24
    Andrew Nembhard offensive rebound
  475. Q1 7:24
    Andrew Nembhard misses two point tip layup
  476. Q1 7:26
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  477. Q1 7:29
    Spurs turnover
  478. Q1 7:33
    Spurs offensive rebound
  479. Q1 7:33
    Pacers personal foul
  480. Q1 7:35
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  481. Q1 7:39
    Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
  482. Q1 7:42
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  483. Q1 7:46
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  484. Q1 7:49
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  485. Q1 7:53
    Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
  486. Q1 7:55
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  487. Q1 8:04
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  488. Q1 8:05
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    7-16
  489. Q1 8:16
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  490. Q1 8:18
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  491. Q1 8:33
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    7-13
  492. Q1 8:46
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    7-11
  493. Q1 9:02
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    4-10
  494. Q1 9:02
    Spurs personal foul
  495. Q1 9:02
    +1
    Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    4-11
  496. Q1 9:07
    Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
  497. Q1 9:09
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  498. Q1 9:20
    Pacers personal foul
  499. Q1 9:29
    Pacers personal foul
  500. Q1 9:39
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    4-8
  501. Q1 9:48
    Spurs personal foul
  502. Q1 10:00
    Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
  503. Q1 10:01
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    4-5
  504. Q1 10:01
    Pacers personal foul
  505. Q1 10:01
    De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  506. Q1 10:06
    Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
  507. Q1 10:06
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
  508. Q1 10:10
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  509. Q1 10:26
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  510. Q1 10:26
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    2-5
  511. Q1 10:45
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    2-2
  512. Q1 10:54
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  513. Q1 10:56
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  514. Q1 11:01
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  515. Q1 11:04
    Harrison Barnes misses three point jump shot
  516. Q1 11:07
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  517. Q1 11:15
    Spurs offensive rebound
  518. Q1 11:15
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  519. Q1 11:16
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  520. Q1 11:31
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    0-2
  521. Q1 11:42
    Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
  522. Q1 11:44
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  523. Q1 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Aaron Nesmith, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
  524. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  525. Q1 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox)
  526. Q1 12:00
    (Luke Kornet gains possession)
Box Score
Spurs
PosPlayerPts
Pacers
PosPlayerPts

Spurs vs. Pacers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Spurs vs. Pacers
  • Date: Friday, January 2, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Spurs favored at -5.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 239
  • Moneyline Odds: Spurs -196, Pacers +175

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Spurs: 68%
  • Pacers: 32%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 122-116 Pacers.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 68%, while the Pacers have a win probability of 32%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Pacers in the NBA game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Spurs vs. Pacers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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