Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Spurs NBA game on May 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Thunder
91
118
Frost Bank Center
Spurs
Frost Bank Center
TEAM1234T
Thunder
22 31 13 25 91
Spurs
35 25 32 26 118
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Thunder
    <1%
  • Spurs
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Thunder
22 31 13 25 91
Spurs
35 25 32 26 118
Q4 00:32 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:41 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:54 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:58 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:10 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:32 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:40 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:54 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:20 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:36 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:00
    Instant replay
  3. Q4 00:00
    Instant replay
  4. Q4 00:00
    Instant replay
  5. Q4 00:00
    Instant replay
  6. Q4 00:08
    Spurs turnover
  7. Q4 00:30
    Jordan McLaughlin defensive rebound
  8. Q4 00:32
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  9. Q4 00:38
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  10. Q4 00:41
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  11. Q4 00:53
    Jordan McLaughlin defensive rebound
  12. Q4 00:54
    Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
  13. Q4 00:54
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  14. Q4 00:58
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  15. Q4 1:10
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    91-118
  16. Q4 1:29
    Mason Plumlee defensive rebound
  17. Q4 1:32
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  18. Q4 1:37
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  19. Q4 1:40
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  20. Q4 1:54
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    91-116
  21. Q4 2:05
    Spurs turnover
  22. Q4 2:09
    Thunder turnover
  23. Q4 2:15
    Spurs offensive rebound
  24. Q4 2:15
    +1
    Kelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    88-116
  25. Q4 2:18
    Spurs defensive rebound
  26. Q4 2:18
    Thunder personal foul
  27. Q4 2:18
    +1
    Kelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    88-116
  28. Q4 2:20
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  29. Q4 2:32
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  30. Q4 2:36
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  31. Q4 2:41
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  32. Q4 2:50
    Jordan McLaughlin defensive rebound
  33. Q4 2:53
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  34. Q4 3:05
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    88-114
  35. Q4 3:05
    Thunder personal foul
  36. Q4 3:05
    +1
    Kelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    88-115
  37. Q4 3:10
    Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
  38. Q4 3:13
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  39. Q4 3:24
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    88-112
  40. Q4 3:37
    Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
  41. Q4 3:37
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    88-110
  42. Q4 3:43
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  43. Q4 3:49
    Spurs personal foul
  44. Q4 3:50
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  45. Q4 3:53
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  46. Q4 4:13
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    86-110
  47. Q4 4:34
    Spurs turnover
  48. Q4 4:34
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  49. Q4 4:34
    Spurs lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Bismack Biyombo, Lindy Waters III, Kelly Olynyk, Jordan McLaughlin)
  50. Q4 4:46
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  51. Q4 4:49
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  52. Q4 4:56
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  53. Q4 4:59
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  54. Q4 5:15
    Spurs personal foul
  55. Q4 5:15
    +1
    Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    83-110
  56. Q4 5:15
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Nikola Topic)
  57. Q4 5:15
    Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Bismack Biyombo, Lindy Waters III, Kelly Olynyk, Jordan McLaughlin)
  58. Q4 5:15
    +1
    Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    84-110
  59. Q4 5:23
    Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
  60. Q4 5:26
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  61. Q4 5:32
    Spurs turnover
  62. Q4 5:40
    Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
  63. Q4 5:44
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  64. Q4 5:48
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  65. Q4 5:52
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  66. Q4 6:07
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    82-110
  67. Q4 6:17
    Spurs offensive rebound
  68. Q4 6:17
    Thunder personal foul
  69. Q4 6:17
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Nikola Topic)
  70. Q4 6:17
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Lindy Waters III, Harrison Barnes, Jordan McLaughlin)
  71. Q4 6:18
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  72. Q4 6:31
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  73. Q4 6:35
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  74. Q4 6:47
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    82-108
  75. Q4 7:08
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    82-106
  76. Q4 7:26
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  77. Q4 7:26
    Thunder personal foul
  78. Q4 7:26
    Luke Kornet misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  79. Q4 7:26
    Spurs offensive rebound
  80. Q4 7:26
    Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Harrison Barnes, Jordan McLaughlin)
  81. Q4 7:26
    +1
    Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    79-106
  82. Q4 7:26
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams)
  83. Q4 7:27
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  84. Q4 7:31
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  85. Q4 7:35
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  86. Q4 7:47
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    79-104
  87. Q4 7:47
    Thunder personal foul
  88. Q4 7:47
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    79-105
  89. Q4 7:47
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Harrison Barnes)
  90. Q4 8:07
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    79-102
  91. Q4 8:10
    Jared McCain defensive rebound
  92. Q4 8:13
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  93. Q4 8:18
    Thunder turnover
  94. Q4 8:32
    Thunder defensive rebound
  95. Q4 8:32
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  96. Q4 8:34
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  97. Q4 8:51
    Thunder personal foul
  98. Q4 8:52
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    77-102
  99. Q4 9:05
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    74-102
  100. Q4 9:20
    Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
  101. Q4 9:20
    Thunder turnover
  102. Q4 9:20
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes)
  103. Q4 9:24
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  104. Q4 9:38
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    74-100
  105. Q4 9:51
    Spurs personal foul
  106. Q4 9:51
    +1
    Jared McCain makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    73-97
  107. Q4 9:51
    +1
    Jared McCain makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    74-97
  108. Q4 10:05
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    72-97
  109. Q4 10:23
    Thunder turnover
  110. Q4 10:34
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  111. Q4 10:36
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  112. Q4 10:55
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    71-95
  113. Q4 10:55
    Spurs personal foul
  114. Q4 10:55
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  115. Q4 10:55
    Instant replay
  116. Q4 10:55
    Spurs challenge timeout
  117. Q4 10:55
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  118. Q4 10:55
    +1
    Jared McCain makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    72-95
  119. Q4 10:55
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes)
  120. Q4 11:10
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    69-95
  121. Q4 11:28
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    69-92
  122. Q4 11:35
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  123. Q4 11:38
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  124. Q3 00:00
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  125. Q3 00:00
    Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
  126. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  127. Q4 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams)
  128. Q3 00:04
    Thunder defensive rebound
  129. Q3 00:04
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  130. Q3 00:05
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  131. Q3 00:26
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  132. Q3 00:28
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  133. Q3 00:34
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  134. Q3 00:37
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  135. Q3 00:55
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    66-92
  136. Q3 1:16
    Thunder personal foul
  137. Q3 1:16
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    64-91
  138. Q3 1:16
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    64-92
  139. Q3 1:16
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox)
  140. Q3 1:22
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  141. Q3 1:24
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  142. Q3 1:32
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  143. Q3 1:33
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  144. Q3 1:33
    Victor Wembanyama misses two point jump shot
  145. Q3 1:38
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  146. Q3 1:41
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  147. Q3 1:45
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  148. Q3 2:01
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  149. Q3 2:01
    Spurs offensive rebound
  150. Q3 2:01
    Thunder personal foul
  151. Q3 2:01
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    64-89
  152. Q3 2:01
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams)
  153. Q3 2:01
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    64-90
  154. Q3 2:11
    Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
  155. Q3 2:13
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  156. Q3 2:25
    Thunder turnover
  157. Q3 2:32
    Thunder personal foul
  158. Q3 2:32
    De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  159. Q3 2:32
    Spurs offensive rebound
  160. Q3 2:32
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    64-88
  161. Q3 2:32
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
  162. Q3 2:37
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  163. Q3 2:41
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  164. Q3 2:48
    Spurs turnover
  165. Q3 2:57
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  166. Q3 3:01
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  167. Q3 3:16
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  168. Q3 3:21
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  169. Q3 3:31
    Thunder turnover
  170. Q3 3:49
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    64-87
  171. Q3 4:01
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  172. Q3 4:01
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
  173. Q3 4:01
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams)
  174. Q3 4:01
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
  175. Q3 4:01
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
  176. Q3 4:06
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  177. Q3 4:10
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  178. Q3 4:17
    Spurs turnover
  179. Q3 4:18
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  180. Q3 4:21
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  181. Q3 4:29
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  182. Q3 4:32
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  183. Q3 4:34
    Cason Wallace offensive rebound
  184. Q3 4:37
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  185. Q3 5:00
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    64-85
  186. Q3 5:14
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  187. Q3 5:17
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  188. Q3 5:27
    Spurs turnover
  189. Q3 5:31
    Thunder turnover
  190. Q3 5:46
    Thunder personal foul
  191. Q3 5:46
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    64-82
  192. Q3 5:46
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    64-83
  193. Q3 5:48
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  194. Q3 5:52
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  195. Q3 6:11
    Thunder personal foul
  196. Q3 6:11
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    64-80
  197. Q3 6:11
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    64-81
  198. Q3 6:13
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  199. Q3 6:15
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  200. Q3 6:26
    Spurs personal foul
  201. Q3 6:36
    Spurs personal foul
  202. Q3 6:36
    Thunder violation
  203. Q3 6:48
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  204. Q3 6:49
    Spurs personal foul
  205. Q3 6:49
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  206. Q3 6:49
    Instant replay
  207. Q3 6:49
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  208. Q3 6:49
    Thunder offensive rebound
  209. Q3 6:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  210. Q3 6:49
    Spurs challenge timeout
  211. Q3 6:58
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    64-79
  212. Q3 7:04
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  213. Q3 7:09
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  214. Q3 7:20
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    64-76
  215. Q3 7:20
    Thunder personal foul
  216. Q3 7:20
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    64-77
  217. Q3 7:28
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  218. Q3 7:30
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  219. Q3 7:37
    Thunder turnover
  220. Q3 7:37
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  221. Q3 7:37
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams)
  222. Q3 7:37
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Julian Champagnie)
  223. Q3 7:37
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  224. Q3 7:37
    Instant replay
  225. Q3 7:37
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
  226. Q3 7:37
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  227. Q3 7:39
    Spurs personal foul
  228. Q3 7:39
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams)
  229. Q3 7:39
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Julian Champagnie)
  230. Q3 7:39
    De'Aaron Fox turnover
  231. Q3 7:53
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    64-74
  232. Q3 7:58
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  233. Q3 8:01
    Isaiah Hartenstein misses two point jump shot
  234. Q3 8:09
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  235. Q3 8:12
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  236. Q3 8:23
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    64-72
  237. Q3 8:38
    Spurs turnover
  238. Q3 8:40
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  239. Q3 8:43
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  240. Q3 8:46
    Thunder turnover
  241. Q3 8:56
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  242. Q3 8:59
    Thunder personal foul
  243. Q3 8:59
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    62-71
  244. Q3 8:59
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    62-72
  245. Q3 9:12
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  246. Q3 9:12
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    62-70
  247. Q3 9:18
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  248. Q3 9:35
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  249. Q3 9:35
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  250. Q3 9:36
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    60-70
  251. Q3 9:41
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  252. Q3 9:44
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  253. Q3 9:46
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  254. Q3 9:49
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  255. Q3 10:09
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  256. Q3 10:09
    Thunder personal foul
  257. Q3 10:09
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    60-66
  258. Q3 10:09
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    60-67
  259. Q3 10:10
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  260. Q3 10:25
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  261. Q3 10:25
    +2
    Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point tip layup
    60-65
  262. Q3 10:28
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  263. Q3 10:47
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    58-65
  264. Q3 10:54
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
  265. Q3 10:54
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    57-63
  266. Q3 10:54
    Spurs personal foul
  267. Q3 10:54
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    58-63
  268. Q3 10:54
    Victor Wembanyama defensive goaltending violation
  269. Q3 10:57
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  270. Q3 11:02
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  271. Q3 11:05
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  272. Q3 11:20
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    55-63
  273. Q3 11:35
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    53-63
  274. Q3 11:39
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  275. Q3 11:43
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  276. Q2 00:00
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  277. Q2 00:00
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  278. Q2 00:00
    Spurs offensive rebound
  279. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  280. Q3 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  281. Q2 00:01
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  282. Q2 00:05
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  283. Q2 00:05
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  284. Q2 00:05
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    53-60
  285. Q2 00:28
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  286. Q2 00:31
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  287. Q2 00:47
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  288. Q2 00:49
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  289. Q2 1:05
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    53-58
  290. Q2 1:11
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  291. Q2 1:14
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  292. Q2 1:35
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    48-58
  293. Q2 1:35
    Spurs personal foul
  294. Q2 1:35
    Instant replay
  295. Q2 1:35
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    49-58
  296. Q2 1:35
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
  297. Q2 1:35
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    50-58
  298. Q2 1:35
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams)
  299. Q2 1:46
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    48-55
  300. Q2 1:56
    Spurs personal foul
  301. Q2 2:04
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  302. Q2 2:09
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  303. Q2 2:17
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    46-55
  304. Q2 2:32
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  305. Q2 2:32
    Thunder offensive rebound
  306. Q2 2:32
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  307. Q2 2:32
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams)
  308. Q2 2:48
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    43-55
  309. Q2 2:56
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  310. Q2 2:59
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  311. Q2 3:09
    Spurs personal foul
  312. Q2 3:09
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams)
  313. Q2 3:19
    Thunder defensive rebound
  314. Q2 3:19
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  315. Q2 3:21
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  316. Q2 3:30
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  317. Q2 3:32
    Thunder offensive rebound
  318. Q2 3:32
    Thunder turnover
  319. Q2 3:42
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  320. Q2 3:42
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Carter Bryant, De'Aaron Fox)
  321. Q2 3:42
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams)
  322. Q2 3:53
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  323. Q2 3:56
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  324. Q2 4:02
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  325. Q2 4:05
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  326. Q2 4:17
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  327. Q2 4:20
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  328. Q2 4:37
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    43-53
  329. Q2 5:01
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    41-53
  330. Q2 5:09
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  331. Q2 5:13
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  332. Q2 5:29
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    41-51
  333. Q2 5:29
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  334. Q2 5:29
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams)
  335. Q2 5:45
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  336. Q2 5:49
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  337. Q2 6:05
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    41-49
  338. Q2 6:17
    Thunder personal foul
  339. Q2 6:17
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, De'Aaron Fox)
  340. Q2 6:17
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  341. Q2 6:28
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    41-47
  342. Q2 6:38
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  343. Q2 6:41
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  344. Q2 6:50
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  345. Q2 6:54
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  346. Q2 7:05
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    38-47
  347. Q2 7:16
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    38-44
  348. Q2 7:22
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  349. Q2 7:25
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  350. Q2 7:42
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    36-44
  351. Q2 7:52
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    33-44
  352. Q2 8:17
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    33-42
  353. Q2 8:23
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  354. Q2 8:26
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  355. Q2 8:47
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  356. Q2 8:47
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Julian Champagnie)
  357. Q2 8:48
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    31-42
  358. Q2 9:07
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    29-42
  359. Q2 9:16
    Thunder personal foul
  360. Q2 9:36
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    29-39
  361. Q2 9:38
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  362. Q2 9:41
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  363. Q2 9:47
    Thunder defensive rebound
  364. Q2 9:48
    Spurs turnover
  365. Q2 9:48
    Stephon Castle misses two point layup
  366. Q2 9:48
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  367. Q2 9:50
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  368. Q2 9:53
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  369. Q2 10:03
    Thunder personal foul
  370. Q2 10:03
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    27-38
  371. Q2 10:03
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    27-39
  372. Q2 10:03
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie)
  373. Q2 10:05
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  374. Q2 10:08
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  375. Q2 10:21
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  376. Q2 10:26
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  377. Q2 10:26
    Cason Wallace turnover (bad pass)
  378. Q2 10:33
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    27-37
  379. Q2 10:35
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  380. Q2 10:40
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  381. Q2 10:53
    Thunder personal foul
  382. Q2 11:07
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    24-37
  383. Q2 11:29
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    22-37
  384. Q2 11:36
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  385. Q2 11:39
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  386. Q1 00:00
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  387. Q1 00:00
    Thunder offensive rebound
  388. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  389. Q2 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams)
  390. Q1 00:01
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    22-35
  391. Q1 00:05
    Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
  392. Q1 00:09
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  393. Q1 00:24
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  394. Q1 00:24
    Thunder personal foul
  395. Q1 00:24
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams)
  396. Q1 00:27
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  397. Q1 00:34
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    22-33
  398. Q1 00:39
    Jump ball. (Julian Champagnie gains possession)
  399. Q1 00:53
    Thunder turnover
  400. Q1 00:53
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  401. Q1 00:53
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
  402. Q1 1:04
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  403. Q1 1:07
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  404. Q1 1:20
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    22-30
  405. Q1 1:42
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    20-30
  406. Q1 2:03
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    20-28
  407. Q1 2:21
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    18-28
  408. Q1 2:26
    Spurs offensive rebound
  409. Q1 2:26
    Thunder personal foul
  410. Q1 2:27
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  411. Q1 2:45
    Spurs personal foul
  412. Q1 2:45
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  413. Q1 2:45
    Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  414. Q1 2:45
    Thunder offensive rebound
  415. Q1 2:45
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
  416. Q1 2:45
    +1
    Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    18-26
  417. Q1 2:56
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    17-26
  418. Q1 3:00
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  419. Q1 3:04
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  420. Q1 3:08
    Spurs turnover
  421. Q1 3:12
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  422. Q1 3:17
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  423. Q1 3:31
    Spurs turnover
  424. Q1 3:41
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    17-23
  425. Q1 3:53
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    15-23
  426. Q1 4:01
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  427. Q1 4:04
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  428. Q1 4:13
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  429. Q1 4:13
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  430. Q1 4:13
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox)
  431. Q1 4:29
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    15-20
  432. Q1 4:40
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  433. Q1 4:40
    Spurs personal foul
  434. Q1 4:40
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    14-17
  435. Q1 4:40
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams)
  436. Q1 4:40
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    15-17
  437. Q1 4:43
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  438. Q1 4:52
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    13-17
  439. Q1 5:00
    Thunder turnover
  440. Q1 5:00
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson)
  441. Q1 5:07
    Stoppage (Other)
  442. Q1 5:07
    Instant replay
  443. Q1 5:11
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  444. Q1 5:13
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  445. Q1 5:42
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    14-14
  446. Q1 5:46
    Spurs turnover
  447. Q1 5:49
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  448. Q1 5:52
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  449. Q1 6:03
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  450. Q1 6:05
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  451. Q1 6:07
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  452. Q1 6:10
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  453. Q1 6:16
    Spurs turnover
  454. Q1 6:41
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    12-14
  455. Q1 6:41
    Instant replay
  456. Q1 7:00
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  457. Q1 7:02
    Thunder personal foul
  458. Q1 7:02
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    9-14
  459. Q1 7:02
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  460. Q1 7:02
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams)
  461. Q1 7:07
    Thunder turnover
  462. Q1 7:07
    Victor Wembanyama misses two point driving layup
  463. Q1 7:07
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  464. Q1 7:15
    Jared McCain defensive rebound
  465. Q1 7:17
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  466. Q1 7:33
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    9-13
  467. Q1 7:40
    Spurs personal foul
  468. Q1 7:40
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson)
  469. Q1 7:40
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
  470. Q1 7:56
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    7-13
  471. Q1 8:09
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  472. Q1 8:11
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  473. Q1 8:21
    Spurs turnover
  474. Q1 8:21
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
  475. Q1 8:30
    De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
  476. Q1 8:32
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  477. Q1 8:42
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  478. Q1 8:46
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  479. Q1 9:02
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  480. Q1 9:06
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  481. Q1 9:09
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  482. Q1 9:12
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  483. Q1 9:23
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  484. Q1 9:26
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  485. Q1 9:51
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    7-11
  486. Q1 10:04
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    5-11
  487. Q1 10:20
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    5-9
  488. Q1 10:33
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  489. Q1 10:34
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    2-9
  490. Q1 10:40
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  491. Q1 10:45
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point jump shot
  492. Q1 10:45
    Chet Holmgren misses three point jump shot
  493. Q1 10:45
    Spurs defensive rebound
  494. Q1 10:45
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  495. Q1 11:03
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    2-6
  496. Q1 11:19
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    2-3
  497. Q1 11:45
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    0-3
  498. Q1 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
  499. Q1 12:00
    Chet Holmgren (Stephon Castle gains possession)
  500. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  501. Q1 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Box Score
Thunder
PosPlayerPts
Spurs
PosPlayerPts

Thunder vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Thunder vs. Spurs
  • Date: Thursday, May 28, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Frost Bank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Spurs favored at -3.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Thunder 40¢, Spurs 59¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Thunder: 37%
  • Spurs: 63%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 108-111 Spurs.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 37%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Thunder in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Thunder vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.