Rockets vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. Grizzlies NBA game on March 27, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Rockets
119
109
FedExForum
Grizzlies
FedExForum
TEAM1234T
Rockets
32 24 43 20 119
Grizzlies
30 19 44 16 109
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rockets
    >99%
  • Grizzlies
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Rockets
32 24 43 20 119
Grizzlies
30 19 44 16 109
Q4 00:24 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:29 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:34 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:39 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:53 Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:58 Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point tip layup
Q4 1:01 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:02 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:05 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:17 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:22
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:24
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  4. Q4 00:29
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    119-109
  5. Q4 00:32
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  6. Q4 00:34
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  7. Q4 00:39
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    117-109
  8. Q4 00:53
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    115-109
  9. Q4 00:58
    +2
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point tip layup
    113-106
  10. Q4 00:58
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  11. Q4 1:01
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  12. Q4 1:01
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  13. Q4 1:02
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  14. Q4 1:02
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  15. Q4 1:05
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  16. Q4 1:14
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  17. Q4 1:17
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  18. Q4 1:40
    +2
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point running dunk (Cedric Coward assists)
    113-106
  19. Q4 1:43
    Rockets turnover
  20. Q4 1:45
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  21. Q4 1:45
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  22. Q4 1:45
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Javon Small, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, GG Jackson, Cedric Coward)
  23. Q4 2:08
    +2
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point cutting dunk (Cam Spencer assists)
    113-106
  24. Q4 2:17
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
  25. Q4 2:19
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  26. Q4 2:38
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  27. Q4 2:41
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  28. Q4 2:57
    Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
  29. Q4 3:00
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  30. Q4 3:20
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    113-106
  31. Q4 3:30
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    113-106
  32. Q4 3:49
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    106-96
  33. Q4 3:54
    Kevin Durant turnover
  34. Q4 4:08
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    113-106
  35. Q4 4:19
    +2
    Tari Eason makes two point hook shot
    113-104
  36. Q4 4:22
    Taylor Hendricks turnover (Tari Eason steals)
  37. Q4 4:25
    Tyler Burton shooting foul (Tari Eason draws the foul)
  38. Q4 4:25
    +1
    Tari Eason makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    113-106
  39. Q4 4:25
    +1
    Tari Eason makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    113-106
  40. Q4 4:25
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Taylor Hendricks, Walter Clayton Jr., Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Tyler Burton)
  41. Q4 4:28
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  42. Q4 4:31
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  43. Q4 4:49
    Grizzlies personal foul
  44. Q4 4:49
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  45. Q4 4:49
    Rockets offensive rebound
  46. Q4 4:49
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    113-106
  47. Q4 5:13
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    113-106
  48. Q4 5:14
    DeJon Jarreau offensive rebound
  49. Q4 5:17
    Walter Clayton Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot
  50. Q4 5:31
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    113-106
  51. Q4 5:32
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  52. Q4 5:37
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  53. Q4 5:42
    Rockets turnover
  54. Q4 5:45
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  55. Q4 5:47
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  56. Q4 6:03
    Tyler Burton personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
  57. Q4 6:03
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    113-106
  58. Q4 6:03
    Stoppage (Court cleanup)
  59. Q4 6:03
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    113-106
  60. Q4 6:04
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  61. Q4 6:06
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  62. Q4 6:22
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    113-106
  63. Q4 6:25
    Grizzlies turnover
  64. Q4 6:30
    DeJon Jarreau offensive rebound
  65. Q4 6:33
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper misses two point jump shot
  66. Q4 6:46
    Tari Eason personal foul (Tyler Burton draws the foul)
  67. Q4 6:46
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  68. Q4 6:46
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun)
  69. Q4 6:48
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper offensive rebound
  70. Q4 6:52
    Tyler Burton misses three point jump shot
  71. Q4 7:03
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)
    99-93
  72. Q4 7:10
    Grizzlies personal foul
  73. Q4 7:10
    Grizzlies lineup change (DeJon Jarreau, Taylor Hendricks, Walter Clayton Jr., Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Tyler Burton)
  74. Q4 7:10
    Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun)
  75. Q4 7:21
    +2
    DeJon Jarreau makes two point jump shot
    96-93
  76. Q4 7:28
    DeJon Jarreau defensive rebound
  77. Q4 7:30
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  78. Q4 7:48
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    99-93
  79. Q4 8:10
    Grizzlies personal foul
  80. Q4 8:10
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    113-106
  81. Q4 8:10
    Grizzlies lineup change (DeJon Jarreau, Taylor Hendricks, Walter Clayton Jr., Tyler Burton, Cedric Coward)
  82. Q4 8:10
    Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard)
  83. Q4 8:10
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    113-106
  84. Q4 8:28
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    113-106
  85. Q4 8:34
    Jabari Smith Jr. turnover
  86. Q4 8:47
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  87. Q4 8:49
    GG Jackson misses two point driving floating jump shot
  88. Q4 9:05
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  89. Q4 9:05
    Rockets offensive rebound
  90. Q4 9:05
    Clint Capela offensive foul (Javon Small draws the foul)
  91. Q4 9:05
    Clint Capela turnover (offensive foul)
  92. Q4 9:06
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  93. Q4 9:18
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  94. Q4 9:22
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  95. Q4 9:37
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    113-106
  96. Q4 9:52
    Rockets personal foul
  97. Q4 9:52
    +1
    GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    113-106
  98. Q4 9:52
    +1
    GG Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    113-106
  99. Q4 10:06
    Clint Capela offensive rebound
  100. Q4 10:06
    +2
    Clint Capela makes two point tip layup
    99-93
  101. Q4 10:08
    Reed Sheppard misses two point jump shot
  102. Q4 10:14
    Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard)
  103. Q4 10:14
    Cam Spencer technical foul (Double)
  104. Q4 10:14
    Javon Small personal foul
  105. Q4 10:14
    Jabari Smith Jr. technical foul (Double)
  106. Q4 10:22
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  107. Q4 10:26
    Taylor Hendricks misses three point jump shot
  108. Q4 10:29
    Cedric Coward offensive rebound
  109. Q4 10:32
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  110. Q4 10:38
    Javon Small offensive rebound
  111. Q4 10:41
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  112. Q4 10:45
    Rockets turnover
  113. Q4 10:59
    Taj Gibson personal foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)
  114. Q4 10:59
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Taylor Hendricks, Javon Small, GG Jackson, Cedric Coward)
  115. Q4 11:13
    Alperen Sengun personal foul
  116. Q4 11:13
    +1
    Taj Gibson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    113-104
  117. Q4 11:13
    +1
    Taj Gibson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    113-106
  118. Q4 11:13
    Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday)
  119. Q4 11:21
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point tip dunk
    99-93
  120. Q4 11:21
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  121. Q4 11:25
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  122. Q4 11:43
    Jae'Sean Tate defensive rebound
  123. Q4 11:45
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  124. Q3 00:00
    Tari Eason misses heave shot
  125. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  126. Q3 00:00
    Rockets offensive rebound
  127. Q3 00:00
    Rockets personal foul
  128. Q3 00:00
    +1
    Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    113-104
  129. Q3 00:00
    +1
    Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    113-104
  130. Q4 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun)
  131. Q4 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Javon Small, Taj Gibson, GG Jackson, Cedric Coward)
  132. Q3 00:13
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  133. Q3 00:19
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  134. Q3 00:25
    Grizzlies turnover
  135. Q3 00:31
    Cedric Coward defensive rebound
  136. Q3 00:33
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  137. Q3 00:42
    +2
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point jump shot
    99-93
  138. Q3 00:43
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper offensive rebound
  139. Q3 00:45
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  140. Q3 00:58
    Tari Eason misses two point tip layup
  141. Q3 00:58
    Taj Gibson defensive rebound
  142. Q3 00:59
    Taj Gibson defensive rebound
  143. Q3 1:02
    Taj Gibson personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
  144. Q3 1:02
    Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  145. Q3 1:02
    Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  146. Q3 1:02
    Rockets offensive rebound
  147. Q3 1:14
    Rockets personal foul
  148. Q3 1:14
    +1
    Taj Gibson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    113-104
  149. Q3 1:14
    Grizzlies lineup change (Taj Gibson, Walter Clayton Jr., Olivier-Maxence Prosper, GG Jackson, Cedric Coward)
  150. Q3 1:14
    +1
    Taj Gibson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    113-104
  151. Q3 1:28
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    113-104
  152. Q3 1:30
    Tari Eason offensive rebound
  153. Q3 1:34
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  154. Q3 1:43
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  155. Q3 1:46
    GG Jackson misses two point jump shot
  156. Q3 1:58
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    94-86
  157. Q3 2:20
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    94-86
  158. Q3 2:43
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    94-86
  159. Q3 2:57
    Rockets personal foul
  160. Q3 2:57
    +1
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    94-86
  161. Q3 2:57
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun)
  162. Q3 2:57
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Taj Gibson, Walter Clayton Jr., Olivier-Maxence Prosper, GG Jackson)
  163. Q3 2:57
    +1
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    94-86
  164. Q3 3:04
    +2
    Reed Sheppard makes two point jump shot
    94-86
  165. Q3 3:26
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    94-86
  166. Q3 3:42
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    94-86
  167. Q3 4:02
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    94-86
  168. Q3 4:21
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    75-67
  169. Q3 4:21
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  170. Q3 4:21
    Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard)
  171. Q3 4:21
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Walter Clayton Jr., Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Tyler Burton, GG Jackson)
  172. Q3 4:29
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  173. Q3 4:32
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  174. Q3 4:46
    +2
    Tari Eason makes two point jump shot
    73-67
  175. Q3 5:02
    +2
    Tyler Burton makes two point driving floating jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
    71-67
  176. Q3 5:24
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    71-67
  177. Q3 5:37
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  178. Q3 5:40
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  179. Q3 5:51
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
  180. Q3 5:56
    Tari Eason misses three point jump shot
  181. Q3 6:04
    +2
    DeJon Jarreau makes two point jump shot
    69-67
  182. Q3 6:04
    DeJon Jarreau offensive rebound
  183. Q3 6:04
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  184. Q3 6:08
    Walter Clayton Jr. misses two point jump shot
  185. Q3 6:15
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
  186. Q3 6:17
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  187. Q3 6:28
    Rockets personal foul
  188. Q3 6:28
    Walter Clayton Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  189. Q3 6:28
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  190. Q3 6:28
    +1
    Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    71-67
  191. Q3 6:41
    Grizzlies personal foul
  192. Q3 6:41
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    69-67
  193. Q3 6:41
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    69-67
  194. Q3 6:50
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  195. Q3 6:50
    Grizzlies lineup change (DeJon Jarreau, Cam Spencer, Walter Clayton Jr., Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Tyler Burton)
  196. Q3 6:50
    Grizzlies personal foul
  197. Q3 6:50
    Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard)
  198. Q3 6:58
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  199. Q3 7:00
    Tyler Burton misses two point jump shot
  200. Q3 7:17
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  201. Q3 7:17
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  202. Q3 7:17
    Amen Thompson misses two point tip layup
  203. Q3 7:17
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    69-67
  204. Q3 7:17
    Grizzlies personal foul
  205. Q3 7:17
    Rockets offensive rebound
  206. Q3 7:17
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  207. Q3 7:18
    Amen Thompson misses two point layup
  208. Q3 7:23
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot
  209. Q3 7:23
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  210. Q3 7:42
    +2
    Javon Small makes two point jump shot
    66-64
  211. Q3 8:00
    Tyler Burton shooting foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
  212. Q3 8:00
    Rockets offensive rebound
  213. Q3 8:00
    Kevin Durant misses regular free throw 1 of 3
  214. Q3 8:00
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    67-64
  215. Q3 8:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (DeJon Jarreau, Cam Spencer, Taylor Hendricks, Javon Small, Tyler Burton)
  216. Q3 8:00
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    71-67
  217. Q3 8:11
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  218. Q3 8:15
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  219. Q3 8:27
    Jabari Smith Jr. personal foul (Javon Small draws the foul)
  220. Q3 8:27
    Amen Thompson turnover (bad pass)
  221. Q3 8:27
    Grizzlies lineup change (Taylor Hendricks, Javon Small, Tyler Burton, GG Jackson, Cedric Coward)
  222. Q3 8:27
    Stoppage (Blood rule)
  223. Q3 8:35
    Grizzlies turnover
  224. Q3 8:51
    Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
  225. Q3 8:53
    Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot
  226. Q3 9:05
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  227. Q3 9:07
    Rockets personal foul
  228. Q3 9:07
    +1
    Taylor Hendricks makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    66-64
  229. Q3 9:07
    Taylor Hendricks misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  230. Q3 9:08
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  231. Q3 9:09
    GG Jackson offensive rebound
  232. Q3 9:10
    GG Jackson offensive rebound
  233. Q3 9:10
    GG Jackson misses two point tip layup
  234. Q3 9:12
    GG Jackson misses two point driving finger roll layup
  235. Q3 9:29
    Grizzlies personal foul
  236. Q3 9:29
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  237. Q3 9:29
    Rockets offensive rebound
  238. Q3 9:29
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    64-62
  239. Q3 9:37
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  240. Q3 9:37
    Grizzlies violation
  241. Q3 9:49
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    63-60
  242. Q3 9:49
    Rockets personal foul
  243. Q3 9:49
    +1
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    63-61
  244. Q3 9:51
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  245. Q3 9:54
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  246. Q3 10:17
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    63-58
  247. Q3 10:22
    Rockets personal foul
  248. Q3 10:30
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    63-55
  249. Q3 10:51
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    61-55
  250. Q3 11:10
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    61-52
  251. Q3 11:30
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    58-52
  252. Q3 11:46
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    58-49
  253. Q2 00:00
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  254. Q2 00:00
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  255. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  256. Q3 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun)
  257. Q3 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Taylor Hendricks, Javon Small, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, GG Jackson, Cedric Coward)
  258. Q2 00:03
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    56-49
  259. Q2 00:09
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  260. Q2 00:10
    DeJon Jarreau offensive rebound
  261. Q2 00:10
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  262. Q2 00:15
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  263. Q2 00:24
    Walter Clayton Jr. offensive rebound
  264. Q2 00:33
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  265. Q2 00:36
    Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
  266. Q2 00:37
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  267. Q2 00:37
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  268. Q2 00:41
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  269. Q2 1:03
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    54-49
  270. Q2 1:07
    Rockets turnover
  271. Q2 1:21
    Rockets personal foul
  272. Q2 1:21
    +1
    Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    54-46
  273. Q2 1:21
    +1
    Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    54-47
  274. Q2 1:33
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    53-45
  275. Q2 1:33
    Grizzlies personal foul
  276. Q2 1:33
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    54-45
  277. Q2 1:54
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    51-45
  278. Q2 2:12
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    51-43
  279. Q2 2:24
    Reed Sheppard offensive rebound
  280. Q2 2:27
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  281. Q2 2:29
    Reed Sheppard offensive rebound
  282. Q2 2:32
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  283. Q2 2:35
    Grizzlies turnover
  284. Q2 2:45
    Grizzlies defensive rebound
  285. Q2 2:45
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  286. Q2 2:45
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  287. Q2 2:45
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun)
  288. Q2 2:45
    Grizzlies lineup change (DeJon Jarreau, Walter Clayton Jr., Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Tyler Burton, Cedric Coward)
  289. Q2 2:47
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  290. Q2 3:02
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  291. Q2 3:04
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  292. Q2 3:17
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
  293. Q2 3:19
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  294. Q2 3:25
    Rockets offensive rebound
  295. Q2 3:25
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  296. Q2 3:27
    Tari Eason offensive rebound
  297. Q2 3:27
    Grizzlies personal foul
  298. Q2 3:27
    +1
    Tari Eason makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    49-43
  299. Q2 3:27
    Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard)
  300. Q2 3:27
    Grizzlies lineup change (DeJon Jarreau, Taylor Hendricks, Walter Clayton Jr., Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Tyler Burton)
  301. Q2 3:27
    Tari Eason misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  302. Q2 3:28
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  303. Q2 3:57
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    48-43
  304. Q2 4:15
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    48-40
  305. Q2 4:35
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    46-40
  306. Q2 4:47
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    46-38
  307. Q2 4:53
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  308. Q2 4:58
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  309. Q2 5:06
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  310. Q2 5:09
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  311. Q2 5:27
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    44-38
  312. Q2 5:43
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  313. Q2 5:45
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  314. Q2 5:55
    Taylor Hendricks offensive rebound
  315. Q2 5:58
    Taylor Hendricks misses two point driving layup
  316. Q2 6:06
    Javon Small defensive rebound
  317. Q2 6:09
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  318. Q2 6:09
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  319. Q2 6:13
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  320. Q2 6:18
    Grizzlies turnover
  321. Q2 6:29
    Cam Spencer defensive rebound
  322. Q2 6:32
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  323. Q2 6:36
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  324. Q2 6:36
    Rockets offensive rebound
  325. Q2 6:36
    Grizzlies personal foul
  326. Q2 6:36
    Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard)
  327. Q2 6:55
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    41-38
  328. Q2 7:08
    Rockets turnover
  329. Q2 7:26
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    41-36
  330. Q2 7:42
    Grizzlies defensive rebound
  331. Q2 7:42
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  332. Q2 7:42
    Rockets violation
  333. Q2 7:43
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  334. Q2 7:56
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  335. Q2 7:56
    Rockets lineup change (Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun)
  336. Q2 7:56
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Taylor Hendricks, Javon Small, Tyler Burton, GG Jackson)
  337. Q2 7:56
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  338. Q2 8:02
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  339. Q2 8:04
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  340. Q2 8:16
    Taylor Hendricks offensive rebound
  341. Q2 8:21
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  342. Q2 8:26
    Cedric Coward defensive rebound
  343. Q2 8:30
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  344. Q2 8:47
    Aaron Holiday defensive rebound
  345. Q2 8:49
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  346. Q2 9:07
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    41-34
  347. Q2 9:20
    Grizzlies personal foul
  348. Q2 9:20
    Taj Gibson turnover (offensive foul)
  349. Q2 9:20
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Taylor Hendricks, Javon Small, GG Jackson, Cedric Coward)
  350. Q2 9:35
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    39-34
  351. Q2 9:57
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    37-34
  352. Q2 10:13
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    37-32
  353. Q2 10:27
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    34-32
  354. Q2 10:41
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    34-30
  355. Q2 10:54
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  356. Q2 10:58
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  357. Q2 11:02
    Cam Spencer defensive rebound
  358. Q2 11:05
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  359. Q2 11:26
    Grizzlies turnover
  360. Q2 11:37
    Cam Spencer defensive rebound
  361. Q2 11:43
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  362. Q1 00:00
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    32-30
  363. Q1 00:00
    Instant replay
  364. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  365. Q2 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun)
  366. Q2 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Javon Small, Taj Gibson, GG Jackson, Cedric Coward)
  367. Q1 00:01
    Rockets turnover
  368. Q1 00:24
    Rockets defensive rebound
  369. Q1 00:24
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  370. Q1 00:26
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  371. Q1 00:34
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    32-27
  372. Q1 00:49
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    30-27
  373. Q1 1:03
    Grizzlies personal foul
  374. Q1 1:03
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    29-25
  375. Q1 1:03
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    30-25
  376. Q1 1:09
    Rockets personal foul
  377. Q1 1:09
    +1
    Cedric Coward makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    28-25
  378. Q1 1:16
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    28-24
  379. Q1 1:19
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  380. Q1 1:19
    Rockets turnover
  381. Q1 1:24
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  382. Q1 1:34
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    28-22
  383. Q1 1:36
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  384. Q1 1:39
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  385. Q1 2:04
    Rockets defensive rebound
  386. Q1 2:04
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  387. Q1 2:04
    Grizzlies lineup change (Taj Gibson, Walter Clayton Jr., Olivier-Maxence Prosper, GG Jackson, Cedric Coward)
  388. Q1 2:06
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  389. Q1 2:19
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    26-22
  390. Q1 2:22
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  391. Q1 2:25
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  392. Q1 2:44
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    24-22
  393. Q1 2:44
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  394. Q1 2:44
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun)
  395. Q1 2:53
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  396. Q1 2:56
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  397. Q1 3:05
    Grizzlies personal foul
  398. Q1 3:05
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    21-22
  399. Q1 3:05
    Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Aaron Holiday)
  400. Q1 3:05
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Walter Clayton Jr., Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Tyler Burton, GG Jackson)
  401. Q1 3:05
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    22-22
  402. Q1 3:20
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    20-22
  403. Q1 3:38
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    20-20
  404. Q1 3:45
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  405. Q1 3:46
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  406. Q1 4:01
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
    17-20
  407. Q1 4:16
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    14-20
  408. Q1 4:31
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    14-18
  409. Q1 4:49
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    11-18
  410. Q1 4:53
    Tyler Burton offensive rebound
  411. Q1 4:56
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  412. Q1 5:01
    Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
  413. Q1 5:04
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  414. Q1 5:18
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  415. Q1 5:21
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  416. Q1 5:30
    Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
  417. Q1 5:35
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  418. Q1 5:47
    Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
  419. Q1 5:49
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  420. Q1 6:06
    Rockets turnover
  421. Q1 6:06
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  422. Q1 6:06
    Grizzlies lineup change (DeJon Jarreau, Cam Spencer, Taylor Hendricks, Walter Clayton Jr., Tyler Burton)
  423. Q1 6:06
    Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard, Aaron Holiday)
  424. Q1 6:12
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  425. Q1 6:14
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  426. Q1 6:25
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    11-15
  427. Q1 6:46
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    9-15
  428. Q1 6:48
    DeJon Jarreau defensive rebound
  429. Q1 6:52
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  430. Q1 7:07
    Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
  431. Q1 7:11
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  432. Q1 7:22
    Rockets personal foul
  433. Q1 7:22
    Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun)
  434. Q1 7:22
    Grizzlies lineup change (DeJon Jarreau, Cam Spencer, Taylor Hendricks, Javon Small, Tyler Burton)
  435. Q1 7:32
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    9-12
  436. Q1 7:35
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  437. Q1 7:38
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  438. Q1 7:42
    Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
  439. Q1 7:45
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  440. Q1 8:02
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    7-12
  441. Q1 8:05
    Rockets turnover
  442. Q1 8:08
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  443. Q1 8:10
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  444. Q1 8:13
    Reed Sheppard offensive rebound
  445. Q1 8:15
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  446. Q1 8:19
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  447. Q1 8:21
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  448. Q1 8:36
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  449. Q1 8:39
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  450. Q1 8:45
    Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
  451. Q1 8:49
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  452. Q1 8:56
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  453. Q1 8:56
    Grizzlies personal foul
  454. Q1 9:03
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    7-10
  455. Q1 9:16
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    7-8
  456. Q1 9:19
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  457. Q1 9:24
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  458. Q1 9:28
    Cedric Coward defensive rebound
  459. Q1 9:30
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  460. Q1 9:36
    Grizzlies turnover
  461. Q1 9:42
    Javon Small defensive rebound
  462. Q1 9:44
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  463. Q1 10:02
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    5-8
  464. Q1 10:13
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    5-5
  465. Q1 10:28
    Grizzlies turnover
  466. Q1 10:33
    Rockets turnover
  467. Q1 10:46
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    3-5
  468. Q1 10:58
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    3-2
  469. Q1 11:18
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    0-2
  470. Q1 11:21
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
Box Score
Rockets
PosPlayerPts
Grizzlies
PosPlayerPts

Rockets vs. Grizzlies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Rockets vs. Grizzlies
  • Date: Friday, March 27, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: FedExForum

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rockets favored at -12.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 241.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Rockets 89¢, Grizzlies 12¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Rockets: 86%
  • Grizzlies: 14%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 120-107 Grizzlies.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 86%, while the Grizzlies have a win probability of 14%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at FedExForum on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rockets vs. Grizzlies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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