Heat vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Cavaliers NBA game on March 27, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Heat
128
149
Rocket Arena
Cavaliers
Rocket Arena
TEAM1234T
Heat
27 19 38 21 128
Cavaliers
40 41 24 27 149
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Heat
    <1%
  • Cavaliers
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Heat
27 19 38 21 128
Cavaliers
40 41 24 27 149
Q4 00:10 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:30 Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:40 Riley Minix makes three point jump shot (Larry Nance Jr. assists)
Q4 1:02 Myron Gardner misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:23 Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:33 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:41 Tyrese Proctor misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:03 Simone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:25 Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:38 Heat makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:10
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    105-132
  3. Q4 00:20
    Cavaliers violation
  4. Q4 00:20
    Cavaliers delay of game violation
  5. Q4 00:20
    Kasparas Jakucionis personal foul
  6. Q4 00:20
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  7. Q4 00:20
    Olivier Sarr misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  8. Q4 00:20
    +1
    Olivier Sarr makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-132
  9. Q4 00:23
    Larry Nance Jr. defensive rebound
  10. Q4 00:30
    Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point jump shot
  11. Q4 00:40
    +3
    Riley Minix makes three point jump shot (Larry Nance Jr. assists)
    105-132
  12. Q4 00:56
    Cavaliers personal foul
  13. Q4 00:56
    +1
    Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-132
  14. Q4 00:56
    +1
    Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-132
  15. Q4 00:57
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  16. Q4 1:02
    Myron Gardner misses three point jump shot
  17. Q4 1:12
    Heat personal foul
  18. Q4 1:12
    +1
    Tyrese Proctor makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-132
  19. Q4 1:12
    +1
    Tyrese Proctor makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-132
  20. Q4 1:16
    Nae'Qwan Tomlin personal foul (Kasparas Jakucionis draws the foul)
  21. Q4 1:16
    +1
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-132
  22. Q4 1:16
    +1
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-132
  23. Q4 1:23
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    105-132
  24. Q4 1:33
    Cavaliers turnover
  25. Q4 1:33
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    105-132
  26. Q4 1:37
    Cavaliers personal foul
  27. Q4 1:37
    Keshad Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  28. Q4 1:37
    Heat offensive rebound
  29. Q4 1:37
    +1
    Keshad Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-132
  30. Q4 1:39
    Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
  31. Q4 1:41
    Tyrese Proctor misses three point jump shot
  32. Q4 2:03
    +3
    Simone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot
    105-132
  33. Q4 2:25
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    105-132
  34. Q4 2:38
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    105-132
  35. Q4 2:42
    Cavaliers turnover
  36. Q4 2:49
    Riley Minix personal foul
  37. Q4 2:49
    +1
    Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-132
  38. Q4 2:49
    +1
    Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-132
  39. Q4 2:56
    Heat personal foul
  40. Q4 2:56
    Larry Nance Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  41. Q4 2:56
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  42. Q4 2:56
    +1
    Larry Nance Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-132
  43. Q4 2:58
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  44. Q4 2:58
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  45. Q4 2:58
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  46. Q4 2:58
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  47. Q4 3:19
    +2
    Simone Fontecchio makes two point jump shot
    105-132
  48. Q4 3:20
    Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
  49. Q4 3:23
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  50. Q4 3:25
    Heat offensive rebound
  51. Q4 3:25
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  52. Q4 3:26
    Tyrese Proctor personal foul (Myron Gardner draws the foul)
  53. Q4 3:26
    Myron Gardner misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  54. Q4 3:26
    +1
    Myron Gardner makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-132
  55. Q4 3:34
    Cavaliers turnover
  56. Q4 3:56
    +1
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-132
  57. Q4 3:56
    Tyrese Proctor personal foul
  58. Q4 3:56
    +1
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-132
  59. Q4 4:03
    +2
    Tyrese Proctor makes two point jump shot
    105-132
  60. Q4 4:11
    Instant replay (Request)
  61. Q4 4:11
    Heat personal foul
  62. Q4 4:11
    Cavaliers personal foul
  63. Q4 4:11
    +1
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    105-132
  64. Q4 4:11
    +1
    Tyrese Proctor makes flagrant free throw 1 of 2
    105-132
  65. Q4 4:11
    Cavaliers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Tyrese Proctor, Riley Minix, Olivier Sarr, Nae'Qwan Tomlin)
  66. Q4 4:11
    +1
    Tyrese Proctor makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-132
  67. Q4 4:16
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  68. Q4 4:16
    Tyrese Proctor defensive rebound
  69. Q4 4:22
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  70. Q4 4:24
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  71. Q4 4:39
    Cavaliers defensive rebound
  72. Q4 4:39
    Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point running pullup jump shot
  73. Q4 4:39
    Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Kel'el Ware, Myron Gardner, Kasparas Jakucionis, Simone Fontecchio)
  74. Q4 4:39
    Cavaliers lineup change (Tyrese Proctor, Thomas Bryant, Dennis Schroder, Riley Minix, Nae'Qwan Tomlin)
  75. Q4 4:39
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  76. Q4 4:45
    Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
  77. Q4 4:46
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  78. Q4 4:54
    Max Strus defensive rebound
  79. Q4 4:58
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  80. Q4 5:07
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    105-132
  81. Q4 5:11
    Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
  82. Q4 5:13
    Kel'el Ware misses two point alley-oop layup
  83. Q4 5:27
    Thomas Bryant personal foul
  84. Q4 5:27
    Thomas Bryant turnover (offensive foul)
  85. Q4 5:41
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    101-123
  86. Q4 5:41
    Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Myron Gardner, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Simone Fontecchio)
  87. Q4 5:41
    Thomas Bryant shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
  88. Q4 5:41
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-132
  89. Q4 5:41
    Cavaliers lineup change (Tyrese Proctor, Thomas Bryant, Max Strus, Dennis Schroder, Nae'Qwan Tomlin)
  90. Q4 5:52
    +3
    James Harden makes three point jump shot
    105-132
  91. Q4 6:05
    +2
    Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot (Myron Gardner assists)
    105-132
  92. Q4 6:11
    Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
  93. Q4 6:13
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  94. Q4 6:22
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  95. Q4 6:25
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  96. Q4 6:39
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  97. Q4 6:39
    Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Thomas Bryant, Max Strus, James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
  98. Q4 6:40
    Instant replay (Request: Ruling Overturned)
  99. Q4 6:40
    Heat personal foul
  100. Q4 6:40
    Tyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)
  101. Q4 6:40
    Heat personal foul
  102. Q4 6:40
    +1
    James Harden makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    105-132
  103. Q4 6:40
    +1
    Sam Merrill makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
    105-132
  104. Q4 6:40
    +1
    Sam Merrill makes flagrant free throw 1 of 2
    105-132
  105. Q4 6:45
    Cavaliers personal foul
  106. Q4 6:48
    Max Strus personal foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)
  107. Q4 6:48
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  108. Q4 6:48
    Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Thomas Bryant, Max Strus, James Harden, Sam Merrill)
  109. Q4 6:48
    Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Myron Gardner, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis)
  110. Q4 6:49
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  111. Q4 6:52
    Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
  112. Q4 6:57
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    101-123
  113. Q4 6:57
    Cavaliers personal foul
  114. Q4 6:57
    Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Max Strus, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
  115. Q4 6:57
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  116. Q4 6:58
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  117. Q4 7:01
    Dennis Schroder misses two point pullup jump shot
  118. Q4 7:31
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    105-132
  119. Q4 7:57
    +2
    Evan Mobley makes two point dunk (Dennis Schroder assists)
    96-123
  120. Q4 8:17
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    105-132
  121. Q4 8:37
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    105-132
  122. Q4 8:55
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    105-132
  123. Q4 9:02
    Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
  124. Q4 9:04
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  125. Q4 9:09
    Heat turnover
  126. Q4 9:12
    James Harden turnover (bad pass) (Pelle Larsson steals)
  127. Q4 9:21
    Sam Merrill defensive rebound
  128. Q4 9:25
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  129. Q4 9:29
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  130. Q4 9:30
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  131. Q4 9:43
    Heat personal foul
  132. Q4 9:43
    Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, Dennis Schroder, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
  133. Q4 9:49
    Pelle Larsson turnover (Donovan Mitchell steals)
  134. Q4 9:56
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    101-123
  135. Q4 10:07
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    101-123
  136. Q4 10:15
    Heat personal foul
  137. Q4 10:15
    +1
    Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    101-123
  138. Q4 10:15
    +1
    Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    101-123
  139. Q4 10:25
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    101-123
  140. Q4 10:46
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    84-105
  141. Q4 10:46
    Heat 60 second timeout
  142. Q4 10:55
    Sam Merrill defensive rebound
  143. Q4 10:58
    Kel'el Ware misses three point jump shot
  144. Q4 11:12
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    84-105
  145. Q4 11:21
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  146. Q4 11:25
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot
  147. Q4 11:45
    +2
    Evan Mobley makes two point driving dunk (Sam Merrill assists)
    84-105
  148. Q3 00:00
    +3
    Keon Ellis makes three point jump shot
    84-105
  149. Q3 00:00
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  150. Q3 00:00
    Keon Ellis shooting foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
  151. Q3 00:00
    Instant replay
  152. Q4 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis)
  153. Q3 00:00
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    101-123
  154. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  155. Q4 12:00
    Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, Dennis Schroder, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
  156. Q3 00:01
    Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
  157. Q3 00:01
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    84-105
  158. Q3 00:01
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    84-105
  159. Q3 00:08
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)
  160. Q3 00:08
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  161. Q3 00:08
    Max Strus misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  162. Q3 00:08
    +1
    Max Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    84-105
  163. Q3 00:08
    Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, Max Strus, Dennis Schroder, Evan Mobley)
  164. Q3 00:08
    Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, Max Strus, Dennis Schroder, Evan Mobley)
  165. Q3 00:25
    +2
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running layup (Pelle Larsson assists)
    84-105
  166. Q3 00:27
    Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
  167. Q3 00:30
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  168. Q3 00:36
    Max Strus defensive rebound
  169. Q3 00:39
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  170. Q3 1:01
    +2
    Thomas Bryant makes two point turnaround hook shot (Max Strus assists)
    82-105
  171. Q3 1:07
    Max Strus defensive rebound
  172. Q3 1:09
    Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
  173. Q3 1:17
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  174. Q3 1:19
    Donovan Mitchell misses two point driving finger roll layup
  175. Q3 1:33
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul
  176. Q3 1:33
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
  177. Q3 1:41
    Heat personal foul
  178. Q3 1:41
    +1
    Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    82-102
  179. Q3 1:41
    +1
    Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    82-103
  180. Q3 1:51
    Max Strus defensive rebound
  181. Q3 1:55
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  182. Q3 2:00
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  183. Q3 2:02
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  184. Q3 2:05
    Thomas Bryant offensive rebound
  185. Q3 2:08
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  186. Q3 2:27
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    82-101
  187. Q3 2:40
    Instant replay
  188. Q3 2:40
    Cavaliers personal foul
  189. Q3 2:40
    Instant replay
  190. Q3 2:40
    Heat 60 second timeout
  191. Q3 2:40
    Dennis Schroder turnover (offensive foul)
  192. Q3 2:40
    +1
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    79-101
  193. Q3 2:40
    Dennis Schroder turnover (offensive foul)
  194. Q3 2:42
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    78-101
  195. Q3 2:45
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  196. Q3 2:47
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  197. Q3 3:03
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    75-101
  198. Q3 3:09
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  199. Q3 3:12
    Heat personal foul
  200. Q3 3:12
    +1
    Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    72-101
  201. Q3 3:12
    Dennis Schroder misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  202. Q3 3:23
    Cavaliers personal foul
  203. Q3 3:23
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    71-100
  204. Q3 3:23
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    72-100
  205. Q3 3:27
    Cavaliers turnover
  206. Q3 3:34
    Max Strus defensive rebound
  207. Q3 3:37
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  208. Q3 3:44
    Cavaliers violation
  209. Q3 3:44
    Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis)
  210. Q3 3:57
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    70-100
  211. Q3 4:15
    Cavaliers personal foul
  212. Q3 4:15
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    69-98
  213. Q3 4:15
    Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
  214. Q3 4:15
    Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, Thomas Bryant, Max Strus, Dennis Schroder)
  215. Q3 4:15
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    70-98
  216. Q3 4:32
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    68-98
  217. Q3 4:41
    James Harden defensive rebound
  218. Q3 4:44
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  219. Q3 4:55
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  220. Q3 4:58
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  221. Q3 5:16
    Cavaliers personal foul
  222. Q3 5:16
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    67-95
  223. Q3 5:16
    Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
  224. Q3 5:16
    Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Thomas Bryant, Max Strus, James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
  225. Q3 5:16
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    68-95
  226. Q3 5:21
    Tyler Herro offensive rebound
  227. Q3 5:23
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  228. Q3 5:27
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  229. Q3 5:29
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  230. Q3 5:40
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  231. Q3 5:43
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  232. Q3 6:00
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    66-95
  233. Q3 6:08
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    66-93
  234. Q3 6:22
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    63-93
  235. Q3 6:36
    Cavaliers personal foul
  236. Q3 6:36
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  237. Q3 6:36
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    62-91
  238. Q3 6:36
    Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Max Strus, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
  239. Q3 6:36
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    63-91
  240. Q3 6:41
    Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
  241. Q3 6:44
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  242. Q3 6:49
    Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
  243. Q3 6:56
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  244. Q3 7:01
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  245. Q3 7:04
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  246. Q3 7:15
    Heat violation
  247. Q3 7:15
    Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen)
  248. Q3 7:25
    Cavaliers personal foul
  249. Q3 7:25
    +1
    Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    60-91
  250. Q3 7:25
    +1
    Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    61-91
  251. Q3 7:36
    Cavaliers turnover
  252. Q3 7:49
    Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
  253. Q3 7:52
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  254. Q3 8:04
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    59-91
  255. Q3 8:19
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    59-89
  256. Q3 8:34
    Cavaliers turnover
  257. Q3 8:35
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
  258. Q3 8:58
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    56-89
  259. Q3 9:08
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  260. Q3 9:10
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  261. Q3 9:14
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  262. Q3 9:14
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  263. Q3 9:15
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  264. Q3 9:20
    James Harden defensive rebound
  265. Q3 9:23
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  266. Q3 9:33
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    53-89
  267. Q3 9:45
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    53-87
  268. Q3 10:00
    Heat personal foul
  269. Q3 10:00
    +1
    Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    51-86
  270. Q3 10:00
    +1
    Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    51-87
  271. Q3 10:10
    Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
  272. Q3 10:12
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  273. Q3 10:31
    Heat personal foul
  274. Q3 10:31
    +1
    James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    51-84
  275. Q3 10:31
    +1
    James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    51-85
  276. Q3 10:40
    James Harden defensive rebound
  277. Q3 10:44
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  278. Q3 10:56
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    51-83
  279. Q3 11:18
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    51-81
  280. Q3 11:21
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  281. Q3 11:23
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  282. Q3 11:41
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    48-81
  283. Q2 00:00
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    46-81
  284. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  285. Q2 00:00
    Instant replay
  286. Q3 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
  287. Q3 12:00
    Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen)
  288. Q2 00:19
    Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
  289. Q2 00:23
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  290. Q2 00:30
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    46-78
  291. Q2 00:47
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  292. Q2 00:47
    Heat personal foul
  293. Q2 00:49
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  294. Q2 00:56
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  295. Q2 00:57
    Heat offensive rebound
  296. Q2 1:00
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  297. Q2 1:04
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  298. Q2 1:07
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  299. Q2 1:27
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    46-75
  300. Q2 1:41
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  301. Q2 1:43
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  302. Q2 2:01
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    44-75
  303. Q2 2:19
    Max Strus offensive rebound
  304. Q2 2:19
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    42-75
  305. Q2 2:19
    Heat 60 second timeout
  306. Q2 2:19
    Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
  307. Q2 2:22
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  308. Q2 2:29
    Heat turnover
  309. Q2 2:47
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    42-73
  310. Q2 3:04
    Cavaliers personal foul
  311. Q2 3:04
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    41-71
  312. Q2 3:04
    Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
  313. Q2 3:04
    Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Max Strus, James Harden, Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen)
  314. Q2 3:04
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    42-71
  315. Q2 3:16
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    40-71
  316. Q2 3:21
    James Harden defensive rebound
  317. Q2 3:24
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  318. Q2 3:41
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    40-69
  319. Q2 3:45
    Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
  320. Q2 3:47
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  321. Q2 3:59
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    40-67
  322. Q2 4:00
    Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
  323. Q2 4:03
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  324. Q2 4:19
    Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
  325. Q2 4:23
    Cavaliers personal foul
  326. Q2 4:23
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  327. Q2 4:23
    Cavaliers challenge timeout
  328. Q2 4:23
    Instant replay
  329. Q2 4:23
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  330. Q2 4:23
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    40-65
  331. Q2 4:23
    Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
  332. Q2 4:23
    Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  333. Q2 4:37
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    39-65
  334. Q2 4:39
    James Harden defensive rebound
  335. Q2 4:41
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  336. Q2 4:53
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    39-63
  337. Q2 5:06
    Cavaliers personal foul
  338. Q2 5:06
    Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  339. Q2 5:06
    Heat offensive rebound
  340. Q2 5:06
    +1
    Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    39-61
  341. Q2 5:18
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    38-61
  342. Q2 5:27
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    38-58
  343. Q2 5:31
    Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
  344. Q2 5:33
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  345. Q2 5:48
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    36-58
  346. Q2 5:54
    Heat turnover
  347. Q2 5:59
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  348. Q2 6:01
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  349. Q2 6:10
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  350. Q2 6:10
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  351. Q2 6:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  352. Q2 6:10
    Heat personal foul
  353. Q2 6:10
    Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Max Strus, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Jarrett Allen)
  354. Q2 6:10
    Instant replay
  355. Q2 6:10
    +1
    James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    36-56
  356. Q2 6:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  357. Q2 6:19
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  358. Q2 6:23
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  359. Q2 6:29
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  360. Q2 6:31
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  361. Q2 6:47
    Max Strus defensive rebound
  362. Q2 6:50
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  363. Q2 6:54
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  364. Q2 6:55
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  365. Q2 7:11
    Heat personal foul
  366. Q2 7:13
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  367. Q2 7:16
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  368. Q2 7:30
    Heat defensive rebound
  369. Q2 7:30
    Cavaliers personal foul
  370. Q2 7:30
    Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Max Strus, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
  371. Q2 7:30
    Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Simone Fontecchio, Davion Mitchell)
  372. Q2 7:31
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  373. Q2 7:41
    Sam Merrill defensive rebound
  374. Q2 7:44
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  375. Q2 7:54
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    36-55
  376. Q2 8:01
    Heat turnover
  377. Q2 8:07
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    36-52
  378. Q2 8:20
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    36-50
  379. Q2 8:36
    Heat 60 second timeout
  380. Q2 8:36
    Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Max Strus, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
  381. Q2 8:36
    Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Simone Fontecchio)
  382. Q2 8:37
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    34-50
  383. Q2 8:45
    Heat turnover
  384. Q2 8:58
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    34-46
  385. Q2 8:58
    Heat personal foul
  386. Q2 8:58
    +1
    Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    34-47
  387. Q2 9:03
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  388. Q2 9:03
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  389. Q2 9:03
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point running jump shot
  390. Q2 9:09
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  391. Q2 9:12
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  392. Q2 9:27
    Heat turnover
  393. Q2 9:27
    Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, Dennis Schroder, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
  394. Q2 9:31
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  395. Q2 9:36
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  396. Q2 9:48
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    34-44
  397. Q2 9:55
    Heat turnover
  398. Q2 9:55
    Bam Adebayo misses two point running layup
  399. Q2 9:55
    Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
  400. Q2 9:55
    Bam Adebayo turnover (lost ball)
  401. Q2 9:59
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  402. Q2 10:02
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  403. Q2 10:20
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    34-42
  404. Q2 10:30
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  405. Q2 10:33
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  406. Q2 10:40
    Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
  407. Q2 10:43
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  408. Q2 11:03
    Cavaliers turnover
  409. Q2 11:16
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    32-42
  410. Q2 11:31
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    29-42
  411. Q2 11:44
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    29-40
  412. Q1 00:00
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  413. Q1 00:00
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  414. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  415. Q2 12:00
    Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, Thomas Bryant, Dennis Schroder, Evan Mobley)
  416. Q2 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
  417. Q1 00:13
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    27-40
  418. Q1 00:33
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  419. Q1 00:36
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    25-40
  420. Q1 00:36
    Heat personal foul
  421. Q1 00:36
    Keon Ellis misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  422. Q1 00:46
    Thomas Bryant offensive rebound
  423. Q1 00:48
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  424. Q1 1:03
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    25-37
  425. Q1 1:16
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    22-37
  426. Q1 1:19
    Max Strus defensive rebound
  427. Q1 1:24
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  428. Q1 1:30
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  429. Q1 1:32
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  430. Q1 1:39
    Heat turnover
  431. Q1 1:54
    Thomas Bryant offensive rebound
  432. Q1 1:54
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    22-34
  433. Q1 1:58
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  434. Q1 2:25
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    22-32
  435. Q1 2:29
    Cavaliers turnover
  436. Q1 2:37
    Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
  437. Q1 2:37
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    20-32
  438. Q1 2:43
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  439. Q1 2:57
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    18-32
  440. Q1 3:04
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    18-29
  441. Q1 3:15
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  442. Q1 3:15
    Heat offensive rebound
  443. Q1 3:15
    Cavaliers personal foul
  444. Q1 3:28
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    16-29
  445. Q1 3:44
    Heat personal foul
  446. Q1 3:44
    Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis)
  447. Q1 3:44
    Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, Thomas Bryant, Max Strus, Dennis Schroder)
  448. Q1 3:59
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    16-27
  449. Q1 4:12
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    14-27
  450. Q1 4:17
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  451. Q1 4:20
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  452. Q1 4:37
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    14-24
  453. Q1 4:48
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    14-21
  454. Q1 4:49
    Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
  455. Q1 4:51
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  456. Q1 5:03
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  457. Q1 5:06
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  458. Q1 5:12
    Jump ball. (James Harden gains possession)
  459. Q1 5:19
    Heat personal foul
  460. Q1 5:19
    Heat 60 second timeout
  461. Q1 5:19
    Heat challenge timeout
  462. Q1 5:19
    Instant replay
  463. Q1 5:19
    Instant replay
  464. Q1 5:19
    Heat 60 second timeout
  465. Q1 5:19
    Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell)
  466. Q1 5:19
    Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Max Strus, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
  467. Q1 5:19
    Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell)
  468. Q1 5:19
    Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Max Strus, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
  469. Q1 5:19
    Sam Merrill misses two point driving layup
  470. Q1 5:19
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  471. Q1 5:37
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    12-21
  472. Q1 5:41
    Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
  473. Q1 5:43
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  474. Q1 6:06
    Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
  475. Q1 6:08
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  476. Q1 6:18
    Cavaliers personal foul
  477. Q1 6:18
    Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
  478. Q1 6:20
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  479. Q1 6:23
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  480. Q1 6:43
    Cavaliers personal foul
  481. Q1 6:43
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    9-21
  482. Q1 6:43
    Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen)
  483. Q1 6:43
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    10-21
  484. Q1 6:44
    Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
  485. Q1 6:46
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  486. Q1 6:49
    Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
  487. Q1 6:50
    Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
  488. Q1 6:50
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  489. Q1 6:53
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  490. Q1 7:02
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  491. Q1 7:04
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  492. Q1 7:12
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  493. Q1 7:14
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  494. Q1 7:31
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    8-21
  495. Q1 7:39
    Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
  496. Q1 7:41
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  497. Q1 7:57
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    8-19
  498. Q1 8:04
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  499. Q1 8:06
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  500. Q1 8:14
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  501. Q1 8:17
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  502. Q1 8:35
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    8-17
  503. Q1 8:47
    Evan Mobley offensive rebound
  504. Q1 8:47
    Heat personal foul
  505. Q1 8:47
    +1
    Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    5-16
  506. Q1 8:47
    +1
    Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    5-17
  507. Q1 8:48
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  508. Q1 9:14
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    5-15
  509. Q1 9:28
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    2-15
  510. Q1 9:28
    Heat 60 second timeout
  511. Q1 9:37
    Heat turnover
  512. Q1 9:54
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    2-13
  513. Q1 10:04
    Heat personal foul
  514. Q1 10:07
    Heat turnover
  515. Q1 10:11
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    2-10
  516. Q1 10:23
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    2-8
  517. Q1 10:29
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    0-8
  518. Q1 10:30
    Donovan Mitchell offensive rebound
  519. Q1 10:34
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  520. Q1 10:51
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  521. Q1 10:54
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  522. Q1 11:05
    Cavaliers personal foul
  523. Q1 11:12
    Heat personal foul
  524. Q1 11:12
    +1
    James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    0-3
  525. Q1 11:12
    +1
    James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    0-4
  526. Q1 11:12
    +1
    James Harden makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    0-5
  527. Q1 11:17
    Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
  528. Q1 11:20
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  529. Q1 11:42
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    0-2
  530. Q1 12:00
    Bam Adebayo vs. Jarrett Allen (James Harden gains possession)
  531. Q1 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
Box Score
Heat
PosPlayerPts
Cavaliers
PosPlayerPts

Heat vs. Cavaliers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Heat vs. Cavaliers
  • Date: Friday, March 27, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Rocket Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Cavaliers favored at -5.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 256.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Heat 34¢, Cavaliers 66¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Heat: 34%
  • Cavaliers: 66%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 117-122 Cavaliers.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 34%, while the Cavaliers have a win probability of 66%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cavaliers are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Rocket Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Heat vs. Cavaliers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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