Rockets vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. Spurs NBA game on March 8, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
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NBA
Rockets
120
145
Frost Bank Center
Spurs
Frost Bank Center
TEAM1234T
Rockets
33 24 37 18 120
Spurs
32 37 40 27 145
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rockets
    <1%
  • Spurs
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Rockets
33 24 37 18 120
Spurs
32 37 40 27 145
Q4 00:01 Rockets makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:32 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:04 Carter Bryant makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:23 Aaron Holiday makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:31 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:49 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:53 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:17 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:41 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:01
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    112-136
  3. Q4 00:05
    Spurs turnover
  4. Q4 00:28
    Jordan McLaughlin defensive rebound
  5. Q4 00:32
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  6. Q4 00:37
    Bismack Biyombo turnover (Josh Okogie steals)
  7. Q4 00:56
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    112-136
  8. Q4 1:04
    +3
    Carter Bryant makes three point jump shot
    112-136
  9. Q4 1:23
    Bismack Biyombo shooting foul (Aaron Holiday draws the foul)
  10. Q4 1:23
    +2
    Aaron Holiday makes two point jump shot
    112-136
  11. Q4 1:23
    +1
    Aaron Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    112-136
  12. Q4 1:31
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    112-136
  13. Q4 1:43
    Bismack Biyombo defensive rebound
  14. Q4 1:49
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  15. Q4 1:53
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    112-136
  16. Q4 2:17
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    112-136
  17. Q4 2:23
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  18. Q4 2:41
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    110-136
  19. Q4 2:55
    Spurs defensive rebound
  20. Q4 2:55
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  21. Q4 2:56
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  22. Q4 3:14
    +3
    Carter Bryant makes three point jump shot
    110-133
  23. Q4 3:37
    Aaron Holiday misses three point jump shot
  24. Q4 3:37
    Dylan Harper personal foul
  25. Q4 3:37
    Rockets offensive rebound
  26. Q4 3:37
    +1
    Jeff Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    110-133
  27. Q4 3:37
    Spurs lineup change (Lindy Waters III, Kelly Olynyk, Jordan McLaughlin, Carter Bryant, Bismack Biyombo)
  28. Q4 3:37
    +1
    Jeff Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    110-133
  29. Q4 3:58
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    110-133
  30. Q4 4:02
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  31. Q4 4:06
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  32. Q4 4:13
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  33. Q4 4:13
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell)
  34. Q4 4:13
    Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Josh Okogie, Aaron Holiday, Jeff Green, Isaiah Crawford)
  35. Q4 4:13
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Carter Bryant)
  36. Q4 4:20
    +3
    Stephon Castle makes three point jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)
    108-128
  37. Q4 4:28
    De'Aaron Fox misses two point jump shot
  38. Q4 4:28
    Spurs offensive rebound
  39. Q4 4:28
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  40. Q4 4:28
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell)
  41. Q4 4:42
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
    108-125
  42. Q4 4:54
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  43. Q4 4:54
    Rockets defensive rebound
  44. Q4 4:55
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  45. Q4 5:03
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  46. Q4 5:05
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  47. Q4 5:11
    Rockets offensive rebound
  48. Q4 5:11
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  49. Q4 5:12
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  50. Q4 5:23
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  51. Q4 5:26
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  52. Q4 5:40
    Spurs personal foul
  53. Q4 5:40
    Rockets personal foul
  54. Q4 5:40
    Alperen Sengun turnover (offensive foul)
  55. Q4 5:43
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  56. Q4 5:46
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  57. Q4 5:56
    Devin Vassell personal foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)
  58. Q4 5:56
    Alperen Sengun misses three point jump shot
  59. Q4 5:56
    Rockets offensive rebound
  60. Q4 6:11
    Spurs personal foul
  61. Q4 6:18
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
  62. Q4 6:22
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    106-125
  63. Q4 6:38
    Rockets personal foul
  64. Q4 6:38
    Alperen Sengun turnover (offensive foul)
  65. Q4 6:38
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  66. Q4 6:38
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
  67. Q4 6:48
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    104-122
  68. Q4 7:00
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    112-136
  69. Q4 7:01
    Tari Eason personal foul (Julian Champagnie draws the foul)
  70. Q4 7:01
    Tari Eason turnover
  71. Q4 7:01
    +2
    Tari Eason makes two point layup
    104-122
  72. Q4 7:01
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell)
  73. Q4 7:02
    Tari Eason offensive rebound
  74. Q4 7:07
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  75. Q4 7:19
    Reed Sheppard personal foul
  76. Q4 7:19
    Carter Bryant misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  77. Q4 7:19
    Spurs offensive rebound
  78. Q4 7:19
    +1
    Carter Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    104-120
  79. Q4 7:19
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell)
  80. Q4 7:19
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  81. Q4 7:19
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  82. Q4 7:23
    Tari Eason misses two point jump shot
  83. Q4 7:35
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  84. Q4 7:38
    Carter Bryant misses three point jump shot
  85. Q4 8:02
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    106-120
  86. Q4 8:10
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  87. Q4 8:10
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point layup (Dylan Harper assists)
    106-120
  88. Q4 8:21
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  89. Q4 8:30
    Spurs turnover
  90. Q4 8:43
    Spurs personal foul
  91. Q4 8:43
    Carter Bryant personal foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)
  92. Q4 8:43
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    101-117
  93. Q4 8:43
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell)
  94. Q4 8:43
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  95. Q4 8:43
    Rockets offensive rebound
  96. Q4 8:43
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell)
  97. Q4 8:43
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela, Amen Thompson)
  98. Q4 9:04
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    100-117
  99. Q4 9:17
    Spurs defensive rebound
  100. Q4 9:17
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  101. Q4 9:19
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  102. Q4 9:21
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  103. Q4 9:24
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  104. Q4 9:31
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  105. Q4 9:33
    Devin Vassell misses two point jump shot
  106. Q4 9:43
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  107. Q4 9:46
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  108. Q4 10:00
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  109. Q4 10:03
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  110. Q4 10:10
    Rockets personal foul
  111. Q4 10:19
    Spurs defensive rebound
  112. Q4 10:19
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  113. Q4 10:20
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  114. Q4 10:25
    Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
  115. Q4 10:28
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  116. Q4 10:37
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  117. Q4 10:40
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  118. Q4 10:51
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    100-115
  119. Q4 11:06
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    100-112
  120. Q4 11:17
    Rockets personal foul
  121. Q4 11:17
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    97-111
  122. Q4 11:17
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    97-112
  123. Q4 11:34
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    96-110
  124. Q4 11:34
    Spurs personal foul
  125. Q4 11:34
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    97-110
  126. Q4 11:34
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell)
  127. Q4 11:36
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  128. Q4 11:38
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  129. Q3 00:00
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  130. Q3 00:00
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  131. Q3 00:00
    Rockets personal foul
  132. Q3 00:00
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    94-110
  133. Q3 00:00
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  134. Q3 00:00
    Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
  135. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  136. Q4 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela, Aaron Holiday)
  137. Q4 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell)
  138. Q3 00:04
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  139. Q3 00:08
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  140. Q3 00:26
    Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
  141. Q3 00:28
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  142. Q3 00:30
    De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
  143. Q3 00:34
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  144. Q3 00:37
    Spurs personal foul
  145. Q3 00:37
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    93-109
  146. Q3 00:37
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    94-109
  147. Q3 00:47
    Rockets personal foul
  148. Q3 00:47
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    92-108
  149. Q3 00:47
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    92-109
  150. Q3 00:47
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle)
  151. Q3 00:59
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
  152. Q3 1:00
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    92-107
  153. Q3 1:03
    Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
  154. Q3 1:05
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  155. Q3 1:09
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  156. Q3 1:12
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    106-122
  157. Q3 1:12
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  158. Q3 1:30
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    90-107
  159. Q3 1:48
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    90-105
  160. Q3 1:52
    Spurs turnover
  161. Q3 2:07
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    88-105
  162. Q3 2:11
    Spurs turnover
  163. Q3 2:26
    Spurs personal foul
  164. Q3 2:26
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  165. Q3 2:26
    Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
  166. Q3 2:26
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox)
  167. Q3 2:26
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    85-105
  168. Q3 2:26
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    86-105
  169. Q3 2:31
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    84-105
  170. Q3 2:44
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    84-103
  171. Q3 2:51
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    82-103
  172. Q3 3:13
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  173. Q3 3:13
    Rockets defensive rebound
  174. Q3 3:13
    Rockets personal foul
  175. Q3 3:13
    Spurs personal foul
  176. Q3 3:13
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    81-101
  177. Q3 3:13
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    82-101
  178. Q3 3:22
    Stoppage (Other)
  179. Q3 3:26
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    80-101
  180. Q3 3:42
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    77-101
  181. Q3 3:59
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    77-99
  182. Q3 4:18
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    75-99
  183. Q3 4:39
    Spurs personal foul
  184. Q3 4:39
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    74-96
  185. Q3 4:39
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    75-96
  186. Q3 4:39
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet)
  187. Q3 4:41
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  188. Q3 4:43
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  189. Q3 4:56
    Spurs personal foul
  190. Q3 4:56
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    73-96
  191. Q3 4:56
    Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  192. Q3 4:56
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet)
  193. Q3 4:56
    Spurs defensive rebound
  194. Q3 4:56
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  195. Q3 5:04
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  196. Q3 5:08
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  197. Q3 5:26
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    71-96
  198. Q3 5:26
    Spurs personal foul
  199. Q3 5:26
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    72-96
  200. Q3 5:45
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    69-96
  201. Q3 6:02
    Spurs personal foul
  202. Q3 6:02
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    68-93
  203. Q3 6:02
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    69-93
  204. Q3 6:12
    Spurs personal foul
  205. Q3 6:12
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  206. Q3 6:12
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell)
  207. Q3 6:22
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    67-93
  208. Q3 6:35
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    67-91
  209. Q3 6:57
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    65-91
  210. Q3 7:05
    Rockets turnover
  211. Q3 7:16
    Spurs personal foul
  212. Q3 7:27
    Rockets personal foul
  213. Q3 7:27
    Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  214. Q3 7:27
    Spurs offensive rebound
  215. Q3 7:27
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    65-89
  216. Q3 7:39
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    65-88
  217. Q3 8:04
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    63-88
  218. Q3 8:17
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    63-85
  219. Q3 8:28
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    61-85
  220. Q3 8:42
    Rockets turnover
  221. Q3 8:55
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    61-82
  222. Q3 8:55
    Rockets personal foul
  223. Q3 8:55
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    61-83
  224. Q3 8:56
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  225. Q3 8:58
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  226. Q3 9:17
    Rockets personal foul
  227. Q3 9:17
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    61-79
  228. Q3 9:17
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    61-80
  229. Q3 9:17
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
  230. Q3 9:23
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    61-78
  231. Q3 9:45
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    59-78
  232. Q3 9:54
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  233. Q3 9:54
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  234. Q3 9:54
    Spurs defensive rebound
  235. Q3 9:54
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  236. Q3 9:56
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  237. Q3 10:17
    Rockets personal foul
  238. Q3 10:17
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    59-75
  239. Q3 10:17
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    59-76
  240. Q3 10:20
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  241. Q3 10:23
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  242. Q3 10:38
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    59-74
  243. Q3 10:44
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  244. Q3 10:48
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  245. Q3 11:03
    Rockets personal foul
  246. Q3 11:03
    Devin Vassell misses regular free throw 1 of 3
  247. Q3 11:03
    Spurs offensive rebound
  248. Q3 11:03
    Spurs offensive rebound
  249. Q3 11:03
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    59-69
  250. Q3 11:03
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    59-71
  251. Q3 11:13
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  252. Q3 11:13
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  253. Q3 11:14
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  254. Q3 11:18
    Spurs turnover
  255. Q3 11:39
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    59-69
  256. Q2 00:00
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    57-69
  257. Q2 00:00
    Instant replay
  258. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  259. Q3 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
  260. Q3 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell)
  261. Q2 00:04
    Rockets turnover
  262. Q2 00:04
    Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
  263. Q2 00:12
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    57-66
  264. Q2 00:28
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    57-64
  265. Q2 00:36
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    55-64
  266. Q2 00:44
    Rockets personal foul
  267. Q2 00:50
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  268. Q2 00:50
    Spurs personal foul
  269. Q2 00:50
    Kevin Durant misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  270. Q2 00:50
    Rockets offensive rebound
  271. Q2 00:50
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    55-62
  272. Q2 00:54
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  273. Q2 1:09
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  274. Q2 1:13
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  275. Q2 1:30
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  276. Q2 1:30
    Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Reed Sheppard, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
  277. Q2 1:35
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  278. Q2 1:39
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  279. Q2 1:47
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  280. Q2 1:51
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  281. Q2 2:08
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  282. Q2 2:12
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  283. Q2 2:21
    Spurs defensive rebound
  284. Q2 2:21
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  285. Q2 2:22
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  286. Q2 2:47
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    54-62
  287. Q2 2:49
    Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
  288. Q2 2:51
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  289. Q2 3:04
    Spurs personal foul
  290. Q2 3:04
    +1
    Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    53-60
  291. Q2 3:04
    +1
    Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    54-60
  292. Q2 3:10
    Spurs personal foul
  293. Q2 3:19
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    52-60
  294. Q2 3:35
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    52-58
  295. Q2 3:45
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    49-58
  296. Q2 4:01
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  297. Q2 4:01
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
  298. Q2 4:01
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell)
  299. Q2 4:09
    Rockets turnover
  300. Q2 4:14
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  301. Q2 4:17
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  302. Q2 4:32
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  303. Q2 4:35
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  304. Q2 4:39
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  305. Q2 4:40
    Rockets offensive rebound
  306. Q2 4:40
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  307. Q2 4:40
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell)
  308. Q2 4:56
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  309. Q2 5:00
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  310. Q2 5:15
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  311. Q2 5:19
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    49-55
  312. Q2 5:19
    Spurs personal foul
  313. Q2 5:19
    Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  314. Q2 5:37
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  315. Q2 5:39
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  316. Q2 5:58
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    47-55
  317. Q2 6:17
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    45-54
  318. Q2 6:17
    Rockets personal foul
  319. Q2 6:17
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell)
  320. Q2 6:17
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    45-55
  321. Q2 6:22
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  322. Q2 6:26
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  323. Q2 6:45
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  324. Q2 6:48
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  325. Q2 7:02
    Spurs personal foul
  326. Q2 7:02
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    44-52
  327. Q2 7:02
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    45-52
  328. Q2 7:02
    Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
  329. Q2 7:04
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  330. Q2 7:04
    Rockets offensive rebound
  331. Q2 7:04
    Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  332. Q2 7:04
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell)
  333. Q2 7:04
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  334. Q2 7:10
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  335. Q2 7:13
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  336. Q2 7:29
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    43-52
  337. Q2 7:46
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    41-52
  338. Q2 8:05
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    41-50
  339. Q2 8:22
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  340. Q2 8:23
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    39-50
  341. Q2 8:36
    Rockets turnover
  342. Q2 8:42
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    39-47
  343. Q2 8:46
    Rockets turnover
  344. Q2 9:04
    Rockets personal foul
  345. Q2 9:04
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    39-44
  346. Q2 9:04
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr.)
  347. Q2 9:04
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    39-45
  348. Q2 9:09
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    39-43
  349. Q2 9:34
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    37-43
  350. Q2 9:36
    Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
  351. Q2 9:39
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  352. Q2 9:52
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    37-40
  353. Q2 10:01
    Spurs personal foul
  354. Q2 10:01
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
  355. Q2 10:03
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  356. Q2 10:05
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  357. Q2 10:14
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    36-40
  358. Q2 10:23
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    36-38
  359. Q2 10:40
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    33-38
  360. Q2 10:52
    Rockets turnover
  361. Q2 11:03
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    33-36
  362. Q2 11:14
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  363. Q2 11:17
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  364. Q2 11:29
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    33-34
  365. Q2 11:48
    Rockets personal foul
  366. Q2 11:48
    Alperen Sengun turnover (offensive foul)
  367. Q1 00:00
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  368. Q1 00:00
    Spurs offensive rebound
  369. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  370. Q2 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  371. Q1 00:02
    Spurs turnover
  372. Q1 00:02
    Spurs personal foul
  373. Q1 00:02
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    32-32
  374. Q1 00:02
    Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
  375. Q1 00:02
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    33-32
  376. Q1 00:02
    Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
  377. Q1 00:15
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  378. Q1 00:23
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    33-32
  379. Q1 00:23
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  380. Q1 00:32
    Rockets personal foul
  381. Q1 00:32
    De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  382. Q1 00:32
    Spurs offensive rebound
  383. Q1 00:32
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle)
  384. Q1 00:32
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    31-32
  385. Q1 00:32
    Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
  386. Q1 00:42
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    31-31
  387. Q1 00:44
    Kevin Durant offensive rebound
  388. Q1 00:47
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  389. Q1 1:00
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    29-31
  390. Q1 1:14
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    29-29
  391. Q1 1:26
    Spurs personal foul
  392. Q1 1:43
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    27-29
  393. Q1 1:59
    Rockets personal foul
  394. Q1 1:59
    Clint Capela turnover (offensive foul)
  395. Q1 2:03
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  396. Q1 2:07
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  397. Q1 2:19
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    27-26
  398. Q1 2:25
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  399. Q1 2:28
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  400. Q1 2:37
    Spurs personal foul
  401. Q1 2:37
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    24-26
  402. Q1 2:37
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox)
  403. Q1 2:37
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    25-26
  404. Q1 2:42
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  405. Q1 2:45
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  406. Q1 2:58
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    23-26
  407. Q1 3:11
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    21-26
  408. Q1 3:19
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  409. Q1 3:20
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    21-24
  410. Q1 3:33
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  411. Q1 3:37
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  412. Q1 3:44
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  413. Q1 3:48
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  414. Q1 4:03
    Spurs personal foul
  415. Q1 4:03
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Carter Bryant)
  416. Q1 4:06
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  417. Q1 4:10
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  418. Q1 4:21
    Rockets offensive rebound
  419. Q1 4:21
    Spurs personal foul
  420. Q1 4:21
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    17-24
  421. Q1 4:21
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    18-24
  422. Q1 4:22
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  423. Q1 4:28
    Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
  424. Q1 4:32
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  425. Q1 4:44
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    16-24
  426. Q1 4:51
    Spurs turnover
  427. Q1 5:03
    Spurs defensive rebound
  428. Q1 5:03
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  429. Q1 5:05
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  430. Q1 5:20
    Rockets personal foul
  431. Q1 5:20
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    14-22
  432. Q1 5:20
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    14-23
  433. Q1 5:20
    Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
  434. Q1 5:20
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell)
  435. Q1 5:20
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    14-24
  436. Q1 5:35
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    14-21
  437. Q1 5:59
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    12-21
  438. Q1 6:19
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    12-18
  439. Q1 6:36
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  440. Q1 6:36
    Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
  441. Q1 6:37
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    9-18
  442. Q1 6:45
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  443. Q1 6:48
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  444. Q1 7:03
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    9-15
  445. Q1 7:14
    Spurs defensive rebound
  446. Q1 7:14
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  447. Q1 7:14
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell)
  448. Q1 7:16
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  449. Q1 7:38
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    9-12
  450. Q1 7:46
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    9-10
  451. Q1 8:09
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    7-10
  452. Q1 8:32
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    7-8
  453. Q1 8:39
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  454. Q1 8:41
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  455. Q1 8:48
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  456. Q1 8:51
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  457. Q1 9:14
    Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Kevin Durant)
  458. Q1 9:14
    Dorian Finney-Smith shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
  459. Q1 9:14
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    4-8
Box Score
Rockets
PosPlayerPts
Spurs
PosPlayerPts

Rockets vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Rockets vs. Spurs
  • Date: Sunday, March 8, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Frost Bank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Spurs favored at -5.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Rockets +198, Spurs -225

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Rockets: 33%
  • Spurs: 67%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 109-114 Spurs.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 33%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 67%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Rockets in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rockets vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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