Pistons vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pistons vs. Heat NBA game on March 8, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
Pistons
110
121
Kaseya Center
Heat
Kaseya Center
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 16 | 32 | 32 | 30 | 110 |
Heat | 34 | 33 | 36 | 18 | 121 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
- Pistons
- Heat
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 16 | 32 | 32 | 30 | 110 |
Heat | 34 | 33 | 36 | 18 | 121 |
Q4 00:01 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:13 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:24 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:40 Pistons makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:57 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:16 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:09 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:17 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:51 Heat misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
- Trevor Keels defensive rebound
- End of 4th Quarter.
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- Vladislav Goldin defensive rebound
- Heat turnover
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- Jump ball. (Chaz Lanier gains possession)
- Myron Gardner turnover (lost ball)
- Myron Gardner offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +3Pistons makes three point jump shot110-121
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat turnover
- Heat lineup change (Trevor Keels, Vladislav Goldin, Dru Smith, Myron Gardner, Kasparas Jakucionis)
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot107-121
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot105-121
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot105-119
- Vladislav Goldin turnover (lost ball)
- Jump ball. (Daniss Jenkins gains possession)
- Vladislav Goldin defensive rebound
- Paul Reed offensive rebound
- Heat personal foul
- +1Paul Reed makes regular free throw 1 of 2103-119
- Paul Reed misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Heat lineup change (Vladislav Goldin, Dru Smith, Myron Gardner, Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson)
- Heat lineup change (Vladislav Goldin, Dru Smith, Myron Gardner, Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson)
- Heat lineup change (Vladislav Goldin, Dru Smith, Myron Gardner, Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson)
- Heat lineup change (Vladislav Goldin, Dru Smith, Myron Gardner, Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson)
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- +1Paul Reed makes regular free throw 1 of 2101-119
- +1Paul Reed makes regular free throw 2 of 2102-119
- Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Myron Gardner, Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson)
- Paul Reed defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +3Pistons makes three point jump shot100-119
- Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- Paul Reed offensive rebound
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- Heat turnover
- Pistons turnover
- Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Pistons lineup change (Bobi Klintman, Paul Reed, Daniss Jenkins, Chaz Lanier, Kevin Huerter)
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point layup
- Heat offensive rebound
- Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot97-119
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson)
- Pistons lineup change (Bobi Klintman, Paul Reed, Daniss Jenkins, Duncan Robinson, Kevin Huerter)
- Paul Reed offensive rebound
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- Kevin Huerter offensive rebound
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot95-119
- Dru Smith defensive rebound
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Pistons personal foul
- Pistons lineup change (Paul Reed, Daniss Jenkins, Duncan Robinson, Kevin Huerter, Javonte Green)
- +3Pistons makes three point jump shot95-117
- Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot92-117
- Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot90-117
- Dru Smith defensive rebound
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot90-115
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
- Heat personal foul
- +1Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 1 of 290-113
- Isaiah Stewart misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- +1Javonte Green makes regular free throw 1 of 288-113
- +1Javonte Green makes regular free throw 2 of 289-113
- Heat violation
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot87-113
- Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot87-111
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Instant replay
- Instant replay
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- Heat turnover
- Pistons personal foul
- Pistons violation
- Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Duncan Robinson, Kevin Huerter, Javonte Green)
- +3Pistons makes three point jump shot85-111
- Heat personal foul
- Heat turnover
- Heat personal foul
- Pistons turnover
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot82-111
- Dru Smith defensive rebound
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- Ronald Holland II offensive rebound
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot82-109
- Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Pistons personal foul
- Heat personal foul
- +1Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 281-106
- Stoppage (Other)
- +1Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 2 of 282-106
- Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
- Heat personal foul
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Pistons personal foul
- Pistons turnover
- Javonte Green defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Pistons turnover
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot80-106
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Heat offensive rebound
- End of 3rd Quarter.
- Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis)
- Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Kevin Huerter, Javonte Green)
- Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot80-103
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot78-103
- +3Pistons makes three point jump shot78-101
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot75-101
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot75-99
- Pistons defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Pistons turnover
- Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat offensive rebound
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- Pistons personal foul
- +1Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 273-98
- +1Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 273-99
- Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot73-97
- Heat personal foul
- +1Daniss Jenkins makes regular free throw 1 of 271-97
- Daniss Jenkins misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Pistons personal foul
- +1Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 270-96
- +1Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 270-97
- Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot70-95
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Pistons offensive rebound
- Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins, Tobias Harris, Kevin Huerter)
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot68-95
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot68-93
- Heat personal foul
- Pistons 60 second timeout
- Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
- Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Kevin Huerter)
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot66-93
- Tyler Herro defensive rebound
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot66-90
- Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Myron Gardner defensive rebound
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- Pistons personal foul
- +1Myron Gardner makes regular free throw 1 of 266-86
- Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Myron Gardner, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
- Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson)
- +1Myron Gardner makes regular free throw 2 of 266-87
- Myron Gardner offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson, Marcus Sasser)
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Myron Gardner, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro)
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot66-85
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot64-85
- Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- Tyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot64-82
- Pistons defensive rebound
- Pistons personal foul
- Pistons 60 second timeout
- Instant replay
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +3Pistons makes three point jump shot62-82
- Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Myron Gardner defensive rebound
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- Tobias Harris defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +2Tobias Harris makes two point jump shot58-82
- Heat personal foul
- +1Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 159-82
- Pistons 60 second timeout
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot56-82
- Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot56-79
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot56-77
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot54-77
- Pistons personal foul
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Myron Gardner misses two point driving layup
- Heat offensive rebound
- Heat personal foul
- +1Marcus Sasser makes regular free throw 1 of 253-74
- +1Marcus Sasser makes regular free throw 2 of 254-74
- Heat turnover
- Myron Gardner defensive rebound
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot52-74
- Heat personal foul
- +1Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 251-72
- +1Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 252-72
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot50-72
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot50-69
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Pistons personal foul
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 248-68
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 248-69
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Jalen Duren defensive rebound
- End of 1st Half.
- Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Myron Gardner, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)48-67
- Jalen Duren defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +3Pistons makes three point jump shot46-67
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot43-67
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- Heat offensive rebound
- Pistons personal foul
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 243-64
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 243-65
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot43-63
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot41-63
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot41-61
- Jalen Duren defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +3Pistons makes three point jump shot39-61
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot36-61
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
- Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Duncan Robinson, Marcus Sasser)
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot36-59
- Pistons personal foul
- +1Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 234-58
- +1Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 234-59
- Heat defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- Pistons 60 second timeout
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot34-57
- Pistons turnover
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot34-53
- Pistons personal foul
- Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Marcus Sasser)
- +1Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 134-54
- Stoppage (Other)
- Pistons personal foul
- Tyler Herro misses technical free throw 1 of 1
- Heat offensive rebound
- Tobias Harris defensive rebound
- Pistons personal foul
- Javonte Green turnover (offensive foul)
- Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
- Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
- Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Marcus Sasser, Javonte Green)
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot34-51
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot32-51
- Dru Smith defensive rebound
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- Jalen Duren offensive rebound
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Tyler Herro defensive rebound
- Marcus Sasser defensive rebound
- Heat personal foul
- Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 1
- +2Jalen Duren makes two point driving layup30-48
- Pistons personal foul
- +1Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 230-48
- Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Marcus Sasser, Javonte Green)
- Pelle Larsson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Marcus Sasser, Javonte Green)
- Tyler Herro defensive rebound
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot30-47
- Heat offensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot30-45
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Pistons defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat turnover
- Pistons personal foul
- Heat personal foul
- Stoppage (Other)
- +1Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 227-45
- +1Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 228-45
- Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
- Heat violation
- Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Daniss Jenkins, Jalen Duren, Chaz Lanier, Javonte Green)
- Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson)
- Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot26-45
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot26-42
- Pistons personal foul
- +1Dru Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 126-43
- Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Daniss Jenkins, Chaz Lanier, Javonte Green)
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot26-40
- Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
- Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +2Bam Adebayo makes two point tip layup26-45
- Pistons turnover
- Pistons personal foul
- +1Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 226-37
- +1Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 226-38
- Pistons turnover
- Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +3Pistons makes three point jump shot26-36
- Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
- Heat personal foul
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Pistons personal foul
- Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Chaz Lanier, Javonte Green)
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot23-36
- Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot21-36
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot19-36
- +3Pistons makes three point jump shot19-34
- Duncan Robinson offensive rebound
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- Pistons offensive rebound
- End of 1st Quarter.
- Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Duncan Robinson, Javonte Green)
- Pistons personal foul
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 216-33
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 216-34
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Heat personal foul
- +1Ronald Holland II makes regular free throw 1 of 216-32
- Ronald Holland II misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins, Tobias Harris, Javonte Green)
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot15-32
- Pistons personal foul
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- Pistons offensive rebound
- Pistons turnover
- Ronald Holland II offensive rebound
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot15-30
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat offensive rebound
- Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis)
- Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis)
- Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis)
- Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis)
- Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis)
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot15-27
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- Pistons 60 second timeout
- Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis, Tyler Herro)
- Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins, Tobias Harris, Kevin Huerter)
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot15-25
- Tyler Herro defensive rebound
- Ronald Holland II offensive rebound
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot15-23
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot13-23
- Heat defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Pelle Larsson turnover (lost ball)
- +3Pistons makes three point jump shot13-21
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot10-21
- Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Tyler Herro offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot10-19
- Pistons offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot8-19
- Pistons personal foul
- Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Kevin Huerter)
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot8-17
- Pistons turnover
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Pistons defensive rebound
- Heat personal foul
- Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
- Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson, Marcus Sasser)
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot8-15
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot6-15
- Heat offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot6-13
- Heat personal foul
- Jalen Duren defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- +1Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 23-13
- +1Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 24-13
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot2-13
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- Pistons 60 second timeout
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot2-10
- Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
- Tobias Harris misses two point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot2-8
- Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Pistons personal foul
- +1Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 22-5
- +1Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 22-6
- Pistons turnover
- Heat personal foul
- Pistons personal foul
- +1Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 22-3
- +1Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 22-4
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- Jalen Duren defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- Marcus Sasser offensive rebound
- Pistons misses three point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot2-2
- Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
- Pistons misses two point jump shot
- Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +2Pistons makes two point jump shot2-0
- Heat turnover
- Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Myron Gardner, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
- (Tyler Herro gains possession)
- Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
Pistons vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pistons vs. Heat
- Date: Sunday, March 8, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Pistons favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 230.5
- Moneyline Odds: Pistons -110, Heat +102
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pistons: 58%
- Heat: 42%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pistons 116-114 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pistons a win probability of 58%, while the Heat have a win probability of 42%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Pistons are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pistons vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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