Bucks vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Bucks vs. Thunder NBA game on February 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Bucks
110
93
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Thunder
Paycom Center
TEAM1234T
Bucks
30 37 22 21 110
Thunder
25 30 18 20 93
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Bucks
    >99%
  • Thunder
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Bucks
30 37 22 21 110
Thunder
25 30 18 20 93
Q4 00:20 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:47 Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:02 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:07 Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:44 Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:20 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:32 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:17 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:31 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:02
    Bucks turnover
  3. Q4 00:16
    Thanasis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound
  4. Q4 00:20
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  5. Q4 00:41
    Bucks personal foul
  6. Q4 00:41
    +1
    Jared McCain makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    110-92
  7. Q4 00:41
    +1
    Jared McCain makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    110-93
  8. Q4 00:45
    Jared McCain defensive rebound
  9. Q4 00:47
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  10. Q4 1:00
    Thanasis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
  11. Q4 1:02
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  12. Q4 1:05
    Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
  13. Q4 1:07
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  14. Q4 1:24
    Bucks defensive rebound
  15. Q4 1:24
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  16. Q4 1:25
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  17. Q4 1:40
    Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
  18. Q4 1:44
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  19. Q4 1:58
    Bucks personal foul
  20. Q4 1:58
    +1
    Jared McCain makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    110-90
  21. Q4 1:58
    +1
    Jared McCain makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    110-91
  22. Q4 2:10
    Bucks turnover
  23. Q4 2:20
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    110-89
  24. Q4 2:32
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    110-86
  25. Q4 2:43
    Thunder turnover
  26. Q4 2:56
    Bucks personal foul
  27. Q4 2:56
    Pete Nance turnover (offensive foul)
  28. Q4 3:10
    Bucks 60 second timeout
  29. Q4 3:10
    Bucks lineup change (Pete Nance, Andre Jackson Jr., Gary Trent Jr., Thanasis Antetokounmpo, Ousmane Dieng)
  30. Q4 3:12
    Thunder turnover
  31. Q4 3:13
    Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
  32. Q4 3:17
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  33. Q4 3:31
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    108-86
  34. Q4 3:32
    Kevin Porter Jr. offensive rebound
  35. Q4 3:34
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  36. Q4 3:44
    Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
  37. Q4 3:48
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  38. Q4 3:54
    Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
  39. Q4 3:57
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  40. Q4 4:15
    Bobby Portis defensive rebound
  41. Q4 4:18
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  42. Q4 4:36
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  43. Q4 4:36
    Thunder lineup change (Buddy Boeheim, Aaron Wiggins, Brooks Barnhizer, Jared McCain, Nikola Topic)
  44. Q4 4:41
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    106-86
  45. Q4 5:08
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    104-86
  46. Q4 5:12
    Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
  47. Q4 5:13
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  48. Q4 5:28
    AJ Green offensive rebound
  49. Q4 5:31
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  50. Q4 5:42
    Jericho Sims defensive rebound
  51. Q4 5:45
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  52. Q4 5:51
    Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
  53. Q4 5:55
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  54. Q4 6:17
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    104-83
  55. Q4 6:32
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    104-81
  56. Q4 6:41
    Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
  57. Q4 6:44
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  58. Q4 6:48
    Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
  59. Q4 6:52
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  60. Q4 7:03
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    102-81
  61. Q4 7:07
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  62. Q4 7:07
    Bucks offensive rebound
  63. Q4 7:07
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  64. Q4 7:20
    Thunder turnover
  65. Q4 7:20
    Bucks lineup change (Jericho Sims, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  66. Q4 7:20
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Brooks Barnhizer, Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams)
  67. Q4 7:36
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    100-81
  68. Q4 7:43
    Bobby Portis offensive rebound
  69. Q4 7:46
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  70. Q4 8:02
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    98-81
  71. Q4 8:14
    Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
  72. Q4 8:18
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  73. Q4 8:33
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  74. Q4 8:37
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  75. Q4 8:54
    Bucks personal foul
  76. Q4 8:54
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    98-77
  77. Q4 8:54
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    98-78
  78. Q4 9:10
    Thunder defensive rebound
  79. Q4 9:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  80. Q4 9:12
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  81. Q4 9:26
    Thunder turnover
  82. Q4 9:26
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams)
  83. Q4 9:35
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  84. Q4 9:37
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  85. Q4 9:48
    Pete Nance defensive rebound
  86. Q4 9:51
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  87. Q4 10:10
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    98-76
  88. Q4 10:27
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    95-76
  89. Q4 10:41
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  90. Q4 10:41
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Nikola Topic, Kenrich Williams)
  91. Q4 10:42
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    95-73
  92. Q4 10:59
    Bobby Portis defensive rebound
  93. Q4 11:02
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  94. Q4 11:15
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    92-73
  95. Q4 11:38
    Thunder turnover
  96. Q4 11:44
    Alex Caruso defensive rebound
  97. Q4 11:46
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  98. Q4 11:51
    Thunder turnover
  99. Q3 00:00
    Bucks offensive rebound
  100. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  101. Q4 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso, Nikola Topic)
  102. Q4 12:00
    Bucks lineup change (Pete Nance, Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Bobby Portis, Cam Thomas)
  103. Q3 00:01
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  104. Q3 00:16
    AJ Green defensive rebound
  105. Q3 00:19
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  106. Q3 00:30
    Pete Nance offensive rebound
  107. Q3 00:30
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    89-73
  108. Q3 00:31
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  109. Q3 00:40
    Bobby Portis defensive rebound
  110. Q3 00:42
    Jared McCain misses three point pullup jump shot
  111. Q3 00:51
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  112. Q3 00:54
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  113. Q3 1:01
    Pete Nance defensive rebound
  114. Q3 1:03
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  115. Q3 1:11
    Jared McCain offensive rebound
  116. Q3 1:14
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  117. Q3 1:25
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    87-73
  118. Q3 1:34
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  119. Q3 1:34
    Bucks violation
  120. Q3 1:34
    Bucks lineup change (Pete Nance, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Cam Thomas)
  121. Q3 1:34
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Jared McCain, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams)
  122. Q3 1:43
    Bobby Portis defensive rebound
  123. Q3 1:47
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  124. Q3 2:02
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    85-73
  125. Q3 2:08
    Kevin Porter Jr. offensive rebound
  126. Q3 2:11
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  127. Q3 2:31
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    82-73
  128. Q3 2:35
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  129. Q3 2:37
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  130. Q3 2:54
    Thunder turnover
  131. Q3 3:17
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    82-70
  132. Q3 3:43
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    79-70
  133. Q3 3:44
    Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
  134. Q3 3:47
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  135. Q3 3:58
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    79-67
  136. Q3 4:04
    Cason Wallace offensive rebound
  137. Q3 4:04
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    77-67
  138. Q3 4:10
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  139. Q3 4:29
    Cam Thomas turnover (offensive foul)
  140. Q3 4:29
    Bucks personal foul
  141. Q3 4:29
    Bucks lineup change (Pete Nance, Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Cam Thomas, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  142. Q3 4:29
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams)
  143. Q3 4:34
    Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
  144. Q3 4:36
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  145. Q3 4:54
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    77-65
  146. Q3 5:15
    Pete Nance defensive rebound
  147. Q3 5:17
    Bucks personal foul
  148. Q3 5:17
    +1
    Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    74-65
  149. Q3 5:17
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams)
  150. Q3 5:17
    Kenrich Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  151. Q3 5:24
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  152. Q3 5:29
    Pete Nance misses three point jump shot
  153. Q3 5:39
    Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
  154. Q3 5:41
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  155. Q3 5:47
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  156. Q3 5:50
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  157. Q3 6:03
    Pete Nance defensive rebound
  158. Q3 6:04
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  159. Q3 6:04
    Chet Holmgren misses two point tip layup
  160. Q3 6:04
    Pete Nance defensive rebound
  161. Q3 6:05
    Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
  162. Q3 6:07
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  163. Q3 6:08
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  164. Q3 6:10
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  165. Q3 6:15
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  166. Q3 6:16
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  167. Q3 6:24
    Bucks lineup change (Pete Nance, Jericho Sims, Ousmane Dieng, Cam Thomas, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  168. Q3 6:32
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    74-64
  169. Q3 6:47
    Thunder turnover
  170. Q3 6:47
    Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, Jericho Sims, Ousmane Dieng, Cam Thomas, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  171. Q3 6:48
    Thunder turnover
  172. Q3 6:48
    Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, Jericho Sims, Ousmane Dieng, Cam Thomas, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  173. Q3 6:48
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  174. Q3 6:48
    Instant replay
  175. Q3 6:48
    Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, Jericho Sims, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  176. Q3 6:48
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  177. Q3 6:48
    Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, Jericho Sims, Ousmane Dieng, Cam Thomas, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  178. Q3 6:53
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  179. Q3 6:55
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  180. Q3 7:11
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    71-64
  181. Q3 7:26
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  182. Q3 7:28
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  183. Q3 7:41
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    71-62
  184. Q3 7:42
    Bucks 60 second timeout
  185. Q3 7:42
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams)
  186. Q3 7:50
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  187. Q3 7:53
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  188. Q3 8:07
    Thunder turnover
  189. Q3 8:11
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  190. Q3 8:13
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  191. Q3 8:36
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  192. Q3 8:37
    Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
  193. Q3 8:37
    Thunder turnover
  194. Q3 8:50
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    71-60
  195. Q3 9:09
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    69-60
  196. Q3 9:27
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    69-58
  197. Q3 9:37
    Jericho Sims defensive rebound
  198. Q3 9:41
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  199. Q3 9:54
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  200. Q3 9:57
    Kyle Kuzma offensive rebound
  201. Q3 9:57
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  202. Q3 9:59
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  203. Q3 10:16
    Jericho Sims defensive rebound
  204. Q3 10:21
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  205. Q3 10:29
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  206. Q3 10:32
    Kyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot
  207. Q3 10:34
    Jericho Sims offensive rebound
  208. Q3 10:38
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  209. Q3 10:57
    Bucks defensive rebound
  210. Q3 10:57
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  211. Q3 10:59
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  212. Q3 11:06
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  213. Q3 11:10
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  214. Q3 11:32
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    67-58
  215. Q3 11:42
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  216. Q3 11:44
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  217. Q3 11:51
    Thunder personal foul
  218. Q2 00:00
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  219. Q2 00:00
    Bucks offensive rebound
  220. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  221. Q3 12:00
    Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, Jericho Sims, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  222. Q3 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams)
  223. Q2 00:02
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    67-55
  224. Q2 00:10
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  225. Q2 00:13
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  226. Q2 00:34
    Thunder turnover
  227. Q2 00:45
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    67-53
  228. Q2 1:02
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  229. Q2 1:02
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    64-53
  230. Q2 1:06
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  231. Q2 1:12
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  232. Q2 1:18
    Alex Caruso defensive rebound
  233. Q2 1:21
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  234. Q2 1:41
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    64-50
  235. Q2 1:41
    Bucks personal foul
  236. Q2 1:41
    Bucks 60 second timeout
  237. Q2 1:41
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    64-51
  238. Q2 1:48
    Bucks turnover
  239. Q2 2:02
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    64-49
  240. Q2 2:18
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    64-46
  241. Q2 2:28
    Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
  242. Q2 2:32
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  243. Q2 2:50
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    62-46
  244. Q2 3:10
    Alex Caruso offensive rebound
  245. Q2 3:10
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  246. Q2 3:10
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  247. Q2 3:10
    Bucks personal foul
  248. Q2 3:10
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    60-45
  249. Q2 3:10
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    60-46
  250. Q2 3:10
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso)
  251. Q2 3:11
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  252. Q2 3:24
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    59-44
  253. Q2 3:24
    Thunder personal foul
  254. Q2 3:24
    +1
    Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    60-44
  255. Q2 3:24
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso, Kenrich Williams)
  256. Q2 3:34
    Bobby Portis defensive rebound
  257. Q2 3:36
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    57-44
  258. Q2 3:36
    Bucks personal foul
  259. Q2 3:36
    Jaylin Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  260. Q2 3:36
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams)
  261. Q2 3:52
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    57-42
  262. Q2 3:56
    Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
  263. Q2 4:01
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  264. Q2 4:10
    Thunder personal foul
  265. Q2 4:10
    Bucks offensive rebound
  266. Q2 4:10
    Ousmane Dieng misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  267. Q2 4:10
    +1
    Ousmane Dieng makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    55-42
  268. Q2 4:20
    Thunder turnover
  269. Q2 4:30
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    54-42
  270. Q2 4:30
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  271. Q2 4:30
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams)
  272. Q2 4:31
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    54-42
  273. Q2 4:35
    Thunder turnover
  274. Q2 4:53
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    51-42
  275. Q2 5:04
    Bobby Portis defensive rebound
  276. Q2 5:10
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  277. Q2 5:32
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    48-42
  278. Q2 5:32
    Thunder personal foul
  279. Q2 5:32
    Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams)
  280. Q2 5:32
    +1
    Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    49-42
  281. Q2 5:37
    Bobby Portis offensive rebound
  282. Q2 5:41
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  283. Q2 5:42
    Kyle Kuzma offensive rebound
  284. Q2 5:44
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  285. Q2 5:55
    Bobby Portis defensive rebound
  286. Q2 5:58
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  287. Q2 6:11
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    46-42
  288. Q2 6:28
    Thunder turnover
  289. Q2 6:28
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams)
  290. Q2 6:36
    Bucks turnover
  291. Q2 6:50
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    43-42
  292. Q2 7:01
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  293. Q2 7:04
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  294. Q2 7:09
    Thunder personal foul
  295. Q2 7:13
    Bobby Portis defensive rebound
  296. Q2 7:15
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  297. Q2 7:35
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    43-40
  298. Q2 7:37
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  299. Q2 7:55
    Bucks 60 second timeout
  300. Q2 7:55
    Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  301. Q2 7:57
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    40-40
  302. Q2 8:05
    Alex Caruso defensive rebound
  303. Q2 8:06
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  304. Q2 8:28
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    40-37
  305. Q2 8:43
    Bucks personal foul
  306. Q2 8:43
    Jericho Sims turnover (offensive foul)
  307. Q2 8:43
    Bucks lineup change (Pete Nance, Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Bobby Portis, Cam Thomas)
  308. Q2 8:43
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams)
  309. Q2 8:43
    Bucks lineup change (Pete Nance, Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Bobby Portis, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  310. Q2 8:43
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams)
  311. Q2 9:00
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    40-34
  312. Q2 9:11
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    40-32
  313. Q2 9:25
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    37-32
  314. Q2 9:49
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    37-29
  315. Q2 10:08
    Bucks personal foul
  316. Q2 10:08
    Jared McCain misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  317. Q2 10:08
    Thunder offensive rebound
  318. Q2 10:08
    +1
    Jared McCain makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    34-29
  319. Q2 10:26
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    34-28
  320. Q2 10:26
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  321. Q2 10:39
    Pete Nance defensive rebound
  322. Q2 10:42
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  323. Q2 10:59
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    32-28
  324. Q2 11:07
    Thunder personal foul
  325. Q2 11:28
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot (Jared McCain assists)
    30-28
  326. Q2 11:35
    Nikola Topic defensive rebound
  327. Q2 11:40
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  328. Q1 00:00
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  329. Q1 00:00
    Thunder offensive rebound
  330. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  331. Q2 12:00
    Bucks lineup change (Pete Nance, Kyle Kuzma, Jericho Sims, AJ Green, Cam Thomas)
  332. Q2 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Alex Caruso, Nikola Topic)
  333. Q1 00:02
    Bobby Portis offensive rebound
  334. Q1 00:02
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  335. Q1 00:02
    Bobby Portis offensive rebound
  336. Q1 00:02
    Bucks personal foul
  337. Q1 00:02
    Bobby Portis turnover (offensive foul)
  338. Q1 00:02
    Bucks lineup change (Pete Nance, Kyle Kuzma, Andre Jackson Jr., AJ Green, Cam Thomas)
  339. Q1 00:03
    Bobby Portis offensive rebound
  340. Q1 00:03
    Bobby Portis misses two point jump shot
  341. Q1 00:08
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  342. Q1 00:26
    Pete Nance defensive rebound
  343. Q1 00:29
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  344. Q1 00:46
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    30-25
  345. Q1 1:09
    Andre Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
  346. Q1 1:12
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  347. Q1 1:19
    Jared McCain defensive rebound
  348. Q1 1:22
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  349. Q1 1:38
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    27-25
  350. Q1 1:55
    Andre Jackson Jr. offensive rebound
  351. Q1 1:55
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    27-23
  352. Q1 1:55
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  353. Q1 1:55
    Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Alex Caruso, Nikola Topic, Jaylin Williams)
  354. Q1 1:58
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  355. Q1 2:07
    Thunder turnover
  356. Q1 2:27
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  357. Q1 2:31
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  358. Q1 2:45
    Thunder turnover
  359. Q1 2:47
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  360. Q1 2:47
    Thunder offensive rebound
  361. Q1 2:47
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  362. Q1 2:47
    Bucks 60 second timeout
  363. Q1 2:47
    Bucks lineup change (Pete Nance, Andre Jackson Jr., AJ Green, Bobby Portis, Cam Thomas)
  364. Q1 2:55
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  365. Q1 2:57
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  366. Q1 3:09
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    25-23
  367. Q1 3:22
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    25-20
  368. Q1 3:27
    Cam Thomas defensive rebound
  369. Q1 3:29
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  370. Q1 3:40
    Ousmane Dieng offensive rebound
  371. Q1 3:40
    Thunder personal foul
  372. Q1 3:40
    Ousmane Dieng misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  373. Q1 3:40
    Bucks offensive rebound
  374. Q1 3:40
    Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Jared McCain, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams)
  375. Q1 3:40
    Bucks lineup change (Pete Nance, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Cam Thomas)
  376. Q1 3:40
    +1
    Ousmane Dieng makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    23-20
  377. Q1 3:42
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  378. Q1 4:05
    Bucks personal foul
  379. Q1 4:05
    +1
    Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    22-18
  380. Q1 4:05
    +1
    Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    22-19
  381. Q1 4:05
    +1
    Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    22-20
  382. Q1 4:05
    Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams)
  383. Q1 4:19
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    22-17
  384. Q1 4:35
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    19-17
  385. Q1 4:46
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    18-15
  386. Q1 4:46
    Thunder personal foul
  387. Q1 4:46
    +1
    Cam Thomas makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    19-15
  388. Q1 5:06
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    16-15
  389. Q1 5:08
    Bucks turnover
  390. Q1 5:15
    Bucks personal foul
  391. Q1 5:15
    Cason Wallace misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  392. Q1 5:15
    Thunder offensive rebound
  393. Q1 5:15
    Bucks lineup change (Pete Nance, Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Cam Thomas, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  394. Q1 5:15
    Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams)
  395. Q1 5:15
    +1
    Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    16-13
  396. Q1 5:24
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  397. Q1 5:28
    Bucks misses three point jump shot
  398. Q1 5:40
    Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
  399. Q1 5:43
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  400. Q1 6:02
    +2
    Kevin Porter Jr. makes two point jump shot
    16-12
  401. Q1 6:21
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    14-11
  402. Q1 6:21
    Bucks personal foul
  403. Q1 6:21
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    14-12
  404. Q1 6:33
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    14-9
  405. Q1 6:44
    Bucks defensive rebound
  406. Q1 6:44
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  407. Q1 6:46
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  408. Q1 7:03
    Bucks personal foul
  409. Q1 7:03
    Jericho Sims turnover (offensive foul)
  410. Q1 7:03
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  411. Q1 7:03
    Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  412. Q1 7:18
    Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
  413. Q1 7:20
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  414. Q1 7:21
    Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
  415. Q1 7:24
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  416. Q1 7:50
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    11-9
  417. Q1 8:04
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    9-9
  418. Q1 8:18
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    9-6
  419. Q1 8:39
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    7-6
  420. Q1 8:48
    Jericho Sims offensive rebound
  421. Q1 8:48
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    7-3
  422. Q1 8:50
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  423. Q1 9:00
    Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
  424. Q1 9:01
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  425. Q1 9:14
    +2
    Bucks makes two point jump shot
    5-3
  426. Q1 9:27
    Bucks defensive rebound
  427. Q1 9:27
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  428. Q1 9:28
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  429. Q1 9:32
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  430. Q1 9:34
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  431. Q1 9:41
    Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
  432. Q1 9:42
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  433. Q1 9:49
    Jericho Sims offensive rebound
  434. Q1 9:50
    AJ Green offensive rebound
  435. Q1 9:50
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  436. Q1 9:57
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  437. Q1 10:04
    Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
  438. Q1 10:07
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  439. Q1 10:12
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  440. Q1 10:14
    Bucks misses two point jump shot
  441. Q1 10:22
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  442. Q1 10:34
    Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
  443. Q1 10:36
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  444. Q1 10:46
    +3
    Bucks makes three point jump shot
    3-3
  445. Q1 11:05
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    0-3
  446. Q1 11:23
    Bucks personal foul
  447. Q1 11:23
    Jericho Sims turnover (offensive foul)
  448. Q1 11:43
    Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  449. Q1 11:44
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  450. Q1 12:00
    Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, Jericho Sims, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng, Kevin Porter Jr.)
  451. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  452. Q1 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Kenrich Williams)
  453. Q1 12:00
    (Cason Wallace gains possession)
Box Score
Bucks
PosPlayerPts
Thunder
PosPlayerPts

Bucks vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Bucks vs. Thunder
  • Date: Thursday, February 12, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -13
  • Total (Over/Under): 214.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Bucks +500, Thunder -625

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Bucks: 14%
  • Thunder: 86%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Bucks 101-114 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bucks a win probability of 14%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 86%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Bucks in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Bucks vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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