NBA picks today: Friday's best bets include Spurs vs. Kings play [11/6/2026]

Kings +14.5 (+108)

• Edge: 9.5%
• Probability: 57.6%
• Matchup: Spurs vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Kings +14.5 at 48¢ odds. A 57.6% probability produces an edge of 9.5%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Timberwolves -5.5 (+110)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 52.9%
• Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)

Timberwolves -5.5 carries a 5.2% edge and a probability of 52.9% at +110 odds, according to our model.

Timberwolves ML (-162)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 66.5%
• Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)

Timberwolves ML at -162 odds shows a 4.7% edge, supported by a 66.5% probability in simulations.

Bucks +6.5 (+104)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 53.4%
• Matchup: Raptors vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET)

A 4.4% edge and 53.4% probability makes Bucks +6.5 vs. Raptors a value play in the Raptors vs. Bucks matchup, per our model.

Wizards +6.5 (+104)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 53.3%
• Matchup: Wizards vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)

Wizards +6.5 at 49¢ presents a 4.2% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 53.3%.

Lakers -3.5 (+108)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 52.1%
• Matchup: Trail Blazers vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Lakers -3.5 at 48¢, supported by an edge of 4.0%.

Kings ML (+852)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 14%
• Matchup: Spurs vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Spurs-Kings to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at 11¢. A 14% probability produces a 3.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

Thunder ML (-150)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 63.2%
• Matchup: Thunder vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET)

A 3.2% edge on a 63.2% probability makes Thunder to win at 60¢a solid value play in today's Thunder vs. Grizzlies matchup.

Mavericks ML (-253)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 74.7%
• Matchup: Jazz vs. Mavericks (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects value on Mavericks to win at -253. A 74.7% probability produces a 3.0% edge, making Mavericks the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Celtics vs. Hornets Over 210.5 points (+102)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 52.1%
• Matchup: Celtics vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Celtics vs. Hornets Over 210.5 points at 50¢ shows a 52.1% probability and a 2.6% edge.

NBA best bets summary: Friday, 11/6/2026

As of 1:31AM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [11/6/2026]

• Celtics vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Wizards vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• 76ers vs. Cavaliers (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Timberwolves vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Raptors vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Thunder vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Jazz vs. Mavericks (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Trail Blazers vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET, Friday)
• Spurs vs. Kings (10:00PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for November 6, 2026, featuring plays such as Kings +14.5 vs. Spurs and Timberwolves -5.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.