Puebla vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Puebla vs. Pachuca Liga MX match on August 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Puebla
3
2
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Pachuca
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
PachucaPAC
Score Summary
PueblaPBL
S. Rondon (42')
Soccer ball icon
S. Rondon (pen.) (63')
Soccer ball icon
E. Gomez (16')
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K. Velasco (pen.) (33')
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F. Almada (90')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pachuca
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Puebla
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Puebla by F. Almada, assisted by L. Hernandez
    3-2
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: C. Baltazar replaces B. Garnica
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: O. Villa replaces E. Mustre
  4. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: L. Hernandez replaces E. Gomez
  5. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: Lucas Camilo replaces I. Moreno
  6. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: A. Alcaraz replaces S. Rondon
  7. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: A. Mozo replaces C. Sanchez
  8. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: G. Alvarez replaces O. Idrissi
  9. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: A. Ramirez replaces S. Sanabria
  10. 63'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Pachuca by S. Rondon (pen.)
    2-2
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: R. Pizarro replaces E. Montiel
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: N. Vallejo replaces Kenedy
  13. 42'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Pachuca by S. Rondon, assisted by C. Sanchez
    2-1
  14. 33'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Puebla by K. Velasco (pen.)
    2-0
  15. 16'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Puebla by E. Gomez, assisted by E. Mustre
    1-0

Puebla vs. Pachuca: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Puebla vs. Pachuca
  • Date: Monday, August 17, 2026
  • Time: 11:06 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Puebla +475, Pachuca -160, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-143/+120)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Puebla: 17.2%
  • Pachuca: 62.0%
  • Draw: 20.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Puebla 0-2 Pachuca (10.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Puebla vs. Pachuca? Prediction & correct score

Pachuca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 62.0%.

The most likely correct score is Puebla 0-2 Pachuca.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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