Club Leon vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Club Leon vs. Necaxa Liga MX match on August 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Club Leon
2
1
Estadio Victoria
Necaxa
Estadio Victoria
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
Club LeonLEO
M. Espindola (65')
Soccer ball icon
D. Arcila (27')
Soccer ball icon
R. Echeverria (60')
Red Card icon
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco (72')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Necaxa
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Club Leon
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: P. Bellon replaces D. Arcila
  2. 81'
    Yellow Card
    B. Colula (Club Leon) cautioned
  3. 79'
    Yellow Card
    D. Leyva (Necaxa) cautioned
  4. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: M. Pedroza replaces M. Espindola
  5. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: S. Reyes replaces S. Vegas
  6. 72'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Club Leon by J. P. Dominguez Chonteco, assisted by L. Valadez
    2-1
  7. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: M. Zaleta replaces L. Faravelli
  8. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: E. Rodriguez replaces R. Monreal
  9. 65'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by M. Espindola, assisted by J. Valencia
    1-1
  10. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: L. Valadez replaces F. Beltran Cruz
  11. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco replaces J. Cortizo
  12. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: R. Martinez replaces Naves
  13. 60'
    Red Card
    R. Echeverria (Club Leon) sent off with a straight red card
  14. 58'
    Yellow Card
    Naves (Necaxa) cautioned
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: J. P. Torres Patino replaces C. Vargas
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: B. Colula replaces I. Moreno
  17. 27'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Club Leon by D. Arcila
    1-0

Club Leon vs. Necaxa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Club Leon vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Monday, August 17, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Club Leon +150, Necaxa +188, draw +245
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/+100)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Club Leon: 36.2%
  • Necaxa: 39.4%
  • Draw: 24.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Club Leon 1-1 Necaxa (11.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Club Leon vs. Necaxa? Prediction & correct score

Necaxa is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.4%.

The most likely correct score is Club Leon 1-1 Necaxa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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