Atlas vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Atlas vs. Pachuca Liga MX match on February 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Atlas
1
3
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Pachuca
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
PachucaPAC
Score Summary
AtlasATL
O. Idrissi (18')
Soccer ball icon
B. A. Garcia Caprizo (41')
Soccer ball icon
S. Rondon (67')
Soccer ball icon
A. Gonzalez (pen.) (64')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pachuca
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Atlas
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    P. Pedraza (Pachuca) cautioned
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: G. del Prete replaces A. Gonzalez
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: R. Lopez replaces C. Sanchez
  4. 83'
    Yellow Card
    C. Moreno (Pachuca) cautioned
  5. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: V. Guzman replaces A. Bautista
  6. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: L. Gamboa replaces Gustavo Ferrareis
  7. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: P. Pedraza replaces S. Rodriguez
  8. 67'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Pachuca by S. Rondon, assisted by A. Dominguez
    1-3
  9. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: L. Quinones replaces O. Idrissi
  10. 64'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlas by A. Gonzalez (pen.)
    1-2
  11. 61'
    Yellow Card
    S. D. Barreto (Pachuca) cautioned
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: D. Gonzalez replaces M. E. Garcia
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: E. Zaldivar replaces V. H. Rios De Alba
  14. 45'
    Yellow Card
    A. Dominguez (Pachuca) cautioned
  15. 41'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Pachuca by B. A. Garcia Caprizo, assisted by O. Idrissi
    0-2
  16. 18'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Pachuca by O. Idrissi, assisted by C. Rivera
    0-1
  17. 10'
    Yellow Card
    A. Bautista (Pachuca) cautioned

Atlas vs. Pachuca: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Atlas vs. Pachuca
  • Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atlas +370, Pachuca -135, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Atlas: 22.8%
  • Pachuca: 52.4%
  • Draw: 24.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Atlas 0-1 Pachuca (12.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Atlas vs. Pachuca? Prediction & correct score

Pachuca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.4%.

The most likely correct score is Atlas 0-1 Pachuca.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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