Atlas vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Atlas vs. Pachuca at the Liga MX on February 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Atlas
1
3
Feb 14, 11PM Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Pachuca
Feb 14, 11PM Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PachucaPAC
Score Summary
AtlasATL
O. Idrissi (18')
Soccer ball icon
B. A. Garcia Caprizo (41')
Soccer ball icon
S. Rondon (67')
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A. Gonzalez (pen.) (64')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PAC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ATL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
P. Pedraza (Pachuca) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: G. del Prete replaces A. Gonzalez
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: R. Lopez replaces C. Sanchez
83'
Yellow Card
C. Moreno (Pachuca) cautioned
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: V. Guzman replaces A. Bautista
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: L. Gamboa replaces Gustavo Ferrareis
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: P. Pedraza replaces S. Rodriguez
67'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Pachuca by S. Rondon, assisted by A. Dominguez
1-3
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: L. Quinones replaces O. Idrissi
64'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlas by A. Gonzalez (pen.)
1-2
61'
Yellow Card
S. D. Barreto (Pachuca) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: D. Gonzalez replaces M. E. Garcia
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: E. Zaldivar replaces V. H. Rios De Alba
45'
Yellow Card
A. Dominguez (Pachuca) cautioned
41'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Pachuca by B. A. Garcia Caprizo, assisted by O. Idrissi
0-2
18'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Pachuca by O. Idrissi, assisted by C. Rivera
0-1
10'
Yellow Card
A. Bautista (Pachuca) cautioned

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Atlas vs. Pachuca: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Atlas vs. Pachuca prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Atlas vs. Pachuca
  • Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atlas +370, Pachuca -135, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-140)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Atlas: 22.8%
  • Pachuca: 52.4%
  • Draw: 24.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Atlas 0-1 Pachuca, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Atlas is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 22.8% probability, while Pachuca sits at 52.4%, with the draw at 24.8%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Atlas vs. Pachuca prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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