Queretaro vs. San Luis Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Queretaro vs. San Luis Liga MX match on February 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Queretaro
0
3
Estadio Alfonso Lastras
San Luis
Estadio Alfonso Lastras
San LuisASL
Score Summary
QueretaroQUT
Joao Pedro Galvao (39')
Soccer ball icon
J. Medina (50')
Soccer ball icon
M. Garcia (82')
Soccer ball icon
A. Avila (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Luis
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Queretaro
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    S. Homenchenko (Queretaro) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Red Card
    A. Avila (Queretaro) sent off with a straight red card
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: A. Duarte replaces L. Flores
  4. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: S. Perez replaces S. Salles-Lamonge
  5. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: D. Parra replaces F. Venegas
  6. 82'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by M. Garcia, assisted by L. Flores
    0-3
  7. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: C. Garcia replaces B. Parra
  8. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: M. Garcia replaces J. Medina
  9. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: R. Meraz replaces S. Munoz
  10. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: W. Madrid replaces M. Coronel
  11. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: F. Pena replaces J. Unjanque
  12. 52'
    Yellow Card
    B. Galdames (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
  13. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by J. Medina, assisted by S. Munoz
    0-2
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: A. Avila replaces E. Perez
  15. 39'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by Joao Pedro Galvao
    0-1
  16. 29'
    Yellow Card
    L. Flores (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
  17. 22'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: B. Galdames replaces Lucas Esteves
  18. 1'
    Yellow Card
    M. Coronel (Queretaro) cautioned

Queretaro vs. San Luis: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Queretaro vs. San Luis
  • Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Alfonso Lastras

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Queretaro +295, San Luis +100, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-112/-108)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Queretaro: 23.7%
  • San Luis: 52.2%
  • Draw: 24.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Queretaro 1-1 San Luis (11.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Queretaro vs. San Luis? Prediction & correct score

San Luis is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.2%.

The most likely correct score is Queretaro 1-1 San Luis.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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