Binance.US Plans CFTC Filing to Launch Prediction Markets

Binance.US, the US-facing affiliate of the global Binance exchange, has announced plans to apply for a CFTC Designated Contract Market (DCM) license in late-2026, adding prediction markets to US customers. This comes following CEO Stephen Gregory’s remarks.

Circa July 29th, 2026, at the Rare Evo conference in Las Vegas. This would see Binance.US offer event-based contracts, alongside futures, options, and option futures to retail customers under the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) supervision. Thus, joining the likes of Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, and more recently, Tastytrade. Here’s more.

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Binance.US Plans CFTC Filing to Launch Prediction Markets

Binance.US, instead of CEO Stephen Gregory’s on-stage commentary at the Rare Evo conference in Las Vegas, July 29th, 2026, has sparked conversation after he announced that “Binance.US intends to file for DCM status next month,” adding prediction markets to its portfolio for US customers. This is the CFTC’s designation for a regulated exchange that can list and trade futures, options, and certain event-based contracts; that is, binary YES/NO outcomes on real-world events.

This would effectively see Binance.US join the list of prediction markets, dominated by market leaders like Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, Gemini, and, more recently, the entrant, Tastytrade. Gregory framed the planned CFTC filing as part of a wider recovery strategy, following the 2023 settlement anti-money laundering and sanctions debacle that saw Binance.US’s market share collapse to near-zero levels. The lawsuit was later dismissed, albeit it was limited primarily to spot trading and staking for US users. Fast-forward to March 2026, Stephen Gregory was appointed CEO, and the CFTC filing is part of his recovery strategy.

He also voiced plans to lower trading fees, ramp up efforts to attract market makers, and expand into new product categories: the aforementioned retail derivatives and event contracts markets.

Key Factors Supporting Binance.US’ Successful Entry

Now that you’re well informed, here’s why Binance.US could see quick/successful entry-to-adoption in the CFTC-regulated prediction market space:

Demand Is at an All-Time-High

CFTC-regulated prediction markets have seen record growth and adoption, with trading volume exceeding $40 to $63.5 billion in 2025; a record that’s sure to be surpassed in the 2026 calendar year. Driven by the litany of major events and broader retail participation on event contracts covering economic indicators, political outcomes, sports, and other real-world outcomes.

Clearer Path to CFTC Regulation

CFTC approval for DCM designations is clear as day in recent years (it’s no longer hush-hush), and we’ve seen “more and more” prediction markets come into the market. Thus, there’s guidance and precedent to follow vis-à-vis the uncertainty earlier applicants faced. Binance.US can follow this tried-and-tested pathway.

Crypto Platforms’ Entry Into the Prediction Markets

The precedent is there; several crypto exchanges/platforms run their own prediction markets, as do Crypto.com, Gemini, and Coinbase. So, it won’t be a first for Binance.US to do so on “crypto platform rails.”

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Roadblocks Binance.US Might Have to Contend with

While the precedent is there, it’s not exactly smooth sailing for their entrance into the prediction market space, as shown below:

CFTC-Approval Timeline and Scrutiny

Whilst Binance.US intends to file and eventually launch its prediction markets offshoot in the near future, the CFTC approval timeline element could see an extended wait time vis-à-vis immediate launch.

The Ongoing State V Federal Push-And-Pull

Not to be overlooked are legal state-by-state court battles ongoing for the uncertainty of select prediction markets. Come Binance.US’ launch, it could fall directly into this fray or opt to kick off with the “contested” prediction markets (like sports) excluded.

Binance.US Plans CFTC Filing to Launch Prediction Markets - Final Thoughts

There you have it: Binance.US, via CEO Stephen Gregory’s on-stage commentary, at the Rare Evo conference in Las Vegas, has expressed plans for a CFTC filing to launch its very own prediction markets offshoot, and it helps that there’s lots of precedent to follow even for crypto platforms. Altogether, grasping at the leeway to expand its limited spot trading and staking portfolio. Use the links here join our recommended prediction market sites and check out all they’ve got going.

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