Prediction markets on platforms such as Kalshi let you trade on entertainment-industry events. This includes the Daytime Emmys, which recognize actors, writers, producers, directors, hosts, and other TV professionals for their work.
Six shows are nominated for Outstanding Daytime Talk Series in 2026: 3rd Hour of TODAY, The Drew Barrymore Show, The Kelly Clarkson Show, Live with Kelly and Mark, TODAY with Jenna & Friends and The View. The winner will be announced on October 30.
Outstanding Daytime Talk Series: Who Will Win the Emmy?
Kalshi, like other
prediction market apps, offers a contract event on this year’s winner for Outstanding Daytime Talk Series. And Kalshi is indicating a strong probability for The Kelly Clarkson Show at 73%, which means that trades are heavily favoring it.
The Drew Barrymore Show is next at 11%, followed by TODAY with Jenna & Friends at 9%. With more than three weeks until the ceremony, the market is still early and prices can move as voting news and campaign coverage come out.
| Show | Market Probability |
| The Kelly Clarkson Show | 73% |
| The Drew Barrymore Show | 11% |
| TODAY with Jenna & Friends | 9% |
| The View | 7% |
| Live with Kelly and Mark | 1% |
Prices in awards markets often shift in the final weeks before a ceremony, as more coverage and predictions appear. Traders who think the market has it wrong can take a position now and adjust as the date approaches.
Why Traders on Kalshi Favor Kelly Clarkson
The Kelly Clarkson Show won the top daytime talk show award four years in a row, from 2021 to 2024, and Clarkson has won the Host award four times. This year she's nominated for both awards again.
It's also the show's final season. The last episode aired on August 31, 2026, so voters have one last chance to honor it.
Can The Drew Barrymore Show Win?
The Drew Barrymore Show is the closest challenger in the market, but it has never won the show award. It was nominated for Outstanding Entertainment Talk Show in 2021 and 2022, losing both times to The Kelly Clarkson Show.
Barrymore won Outstanding Daytime Talk Series Host in 2025. The defending Talk Series champion, though, is Live with Kelly and Mark, which won in 2025 and trades at just 1%. That makes it the market's biggest potential upset.
Our Prediction: Kelly Clarkson
Traders on
culture predictions
often base their decisions on previous results. And if history is any indication, Kelly Clarkson will claim the award. Plus, the show just ended, and Emmy voters are often very sentimental.
The Daytime Emmy Awards will take place on October 30, 2026, at the Hollywood Palladium.
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