Country music fans, listen up! It’s time to predict which song will win Best Music Video at the CMA Awards on Kalshi.
On November 18, 2026, the 60th Annual Country Music Awards will be held, and Kalshi lets you estimate which song has the best music video with considerable prices.
Let’s learn a bit about this event and see what Kalshi offers for this market.
On the CMA Awards
The Country Music Association Awards (CMA) is a United States organization that recognizes outstanding achievements in the country music industry. It began in 1967 and currently awards 13 prizes, including best music video, best male and female vocalist, album, song, single, duo, musician, new artist, group, and entertainer.
Last year, Lainey Wilson won the most prestigious Entertainer of the Year award. She also won Best Female Vocalist, while Cody Johnson won Best Male Vocalist. Song of the Year went to “You Look Like You Love Me” by Langley, Green, and Raitiere, and Zach Top won Best New Artist of the Year.
While CMA has a collective voting body of over 7,000 people, you can predict who will be chosen for each prize at Kalshi or on its iOS or Android
prediction market apps.
CMA Awards: Music Video of the Year Market at Kalshi
Currently, Kalshi’s “CMA Awards: Music Video of the Year” market, a part of this brand’s
culture prediction markets
category, has 4 songs to choose from and a “tie” outcome. Let’s see them, their prices, and chances to win this award:
| Song | Probability | “Yes” Price | “No” Price |
| Choosin’ Texas | 59% | $.0.59 | $.0.47 |
| Gary | 18% | $.0.21 | $.0.83 |
| Dry Spell | 2% | $.0.11 | $.0.98 |
| The Fall | 2% | $.0.11 | $.0.98 |
| White Horse | 2% | $.0.11 | $.0.98 |
| “Tie” | <1% | $.0.4 | N/A |
The number-one song to win the award for best music video is Choosin’ Texas by Ella Langley, according to Kalshi. It features a woman and a man at the bar, along with the singer. The singer is scorned for being from Tennessee, and she loses her love, who goes back to Texas to be with his old love.
Based on the winning probability, the only real threat to Choosin’ Texas is Gary, by Stephen Wilson Jr. It’s a song about hard-working men who keep the community running.
The video follows the main character, a diligent person who snaps one day and threatens to burn the place where the singer performs. Seconds later, he changes his mind and starts throwing free money to people living in his community.
In the sea of good songs and music videos, we recommend following news on this topic and price shifts, which say much about the likelihood of a song being awarded. Needless to say, Kalshi also offers markets for all the other CMA Awards categories, which you can check on its official website.
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