Wild vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks & Odds
Moneyline
- Wild
- Lightning
- Kirill Kaprizov41.5%
- Matt Boldy36.4%
- Joel Ek22.0%
- Ryan Hartman
- Blake Coleman
- Nikita Kucherov41.3%
- Brandon Hagel36.9%
- Jake Guentzel34.9%
- Brayden Point
- Anthony Cirelli
Wild vs. Lightning prediction & analysis
Game overview: NHL Thursday
- Teams: Minnesota Wild vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Thursday, October 8, 2026
- Puck drop: 7:00PM ET
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Current betting odds
- Puck line: Wild (+1.5, -200), Lightning (-1.5, +170)
- Moneyline: Wild +128, Lightning -145
- Total (Over/Under): 6 goals (-101/-115)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Wild: 44.1%
- Lightning: 55.9%
Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.
It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.
Wild vs. Lightning player props & projections
Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:
- Kirill Kaprizov, Wild: 41.1%
- Matt Boldy, Wild: 35.9%
- Nikita Kucherov, Lightning: 40.7%
- Brandon Hagel, Lightning: 37.6%
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Wild a win probability of 44.1%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 55.9%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Wild in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Thursday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
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