Avalanche vs. Flames Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Avalanche vs. Flames in the NHL on Thursday, October 8, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
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NHL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Avalanche
vs.
Scotiabank Saddledome
Flames
Scotiabank Saddledome
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Avalanche
    66.2%
    BetRiversBetRivers
  • Flames
    33.8%
    bet365bet365
Player Props
Avalanche
Probability
  • Nathan MacKinnon
    39.0%
  • Martin Necas
    34.0%
  • Brock Nelson
    30.6%
  • Artturi Lehkonen
  • Parker Kelly
Flames
Probability
  • Morgan Frost
    25.8%
  • Matthew Coronato
    25.7%
  • Yegor Sharangovich
    23.1%
  • Joel Farabee
  • Mikael Backlund

Avalanche vs. Flames prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Thursday

  • Teams: Colorado Avalanche vs. Calgary Flames
  • Date: Thursday, October 8, 2026
  • Puck drop: 9:00PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Avalanche (-1.5, +110), Flames (+1.5, -120)
  • Moneyline: Avalanche -225, Flames +200
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (+111/-125)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Avalanche: 66.2%
  • Flames: 33.8%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Avalanche vs. Flames player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Nathan MacKinnon, Avalanche: 39.0%
  • Martin Necas, Avalanche: 34.0%
  • Morgan Frost, Flames: 25.8%
  • Matthew Coronato, Flames: 25.7%

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Avalanche a win probability of 66.2%, while the Flames have a win probability of 33.8%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Scotiabank Saddledome on Thursday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Avalanche vs. Flames, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.

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