Stars vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks & Odds
Moneyline
- Stars
- Sabres
- Wyatt Johnston38.9%
- Jason Robertson36.9%
- Mikko Rantanen32.1%
- Roope Hintz
- Tyler Seguin
- Tage Thompson39.4%
- Josh Doan28.4%
- Jack Quinn25.5%
- Rasmus Dahlin
- Josh Norris
Stars vs. Sabres prediction & analysis
Game overview: NHL Thursday
- Teams: Dallas Stars vs. Buffalo Sabres
- Date: Thursday, October 8, 2026
- Puck drop: 7:00PM ET
- Venue: KeyBank Center
Current betting odds
- Puck line: Stars (-1.5, +220), Sabres (+1.5, -245)
- Moneyline: Stars -107, Sabres -104
- Total (Over/Under): 6 goals (-114/-102)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Stars: 49.0%
- Sabres: 51.0%
Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.
It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.
Stars vs. Sabres player props & projections
Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:
- Wyatt Johnston, Stars: 38.5%
- Jason Robertson, Stars: 34.6%
- Tage Thompson, Sabres: 39.3%
- Josh Doan, Sabres: 28.8%
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Stars a win probability of 49.0%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 51.0%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Stars in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Thursday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
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