Blues vs. Blackhawks prediction: Why St. Louis is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [10/6/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Dimers' simulation model projects a 57.4% win probability for the Blues at United Center.

The St. Louis Blues take on the Chicago Blackhawks in NHL action.
St. Louis Blues vs. Chicago Blackhawks NHL prediction for Tuesday, October 6, 2026.

NHL action continues on Tuesday at 8:00 PM ET as the St. Louis Blues square off with the Chicago Blackhawks at United Center.

Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Blues as the most likely winner in this Blues vs. Blackhawks prediction.

This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Blues vs. Hawks prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL game between the Blues and Blackhawks, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Blues a 57.4% chance of defeating the Blackhawks. According to our model, the Blackhawks (+1.5) have a 65.1% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 53.6% chance of going over.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Puck Line: Blues -1.5 (+180) / Blackhawks +1.5 (-205)
  • Moneyline: Blues -135, Blackhawks +124
  • Total: Over/Under 5.5 (-120/+105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Puck line: Blues -1.5 @ +180 via DraftKings
  • Moneyline: Blues @ -135 via ESPN BET
  • Total: Over 5.5 @ -120 via bet365

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Blues to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Blues vs. Blackhawks player props

Who will score a goal in Blues vs. Blackhawks?

According to our model, Robert Thomas is most likely to score an anytime goal in Blues vs. Blackhawks.

Our projections give Thomas a 33.6% chance of scoring a goal at United Center, while the star is a 6.2% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

St. Louis Blues

  • Robert Thomas: 33.6% probability
  • Dylan Holloway: 33.0% probability
  • Jimmy Snuggerud: 27.1% probability
  • Mason McTavish: 23.0% probability
  • Pavel Buchnevich: 22.2% probability

Chicago Blackhawks

  • Roman Kantserov: 32.9% probability
  • Tyler Bertuzzi: 29.9% probability
  • Patrick Kane: 25.5% probability
  • Frank Nazar: 19.0% probability
  • Nick Lardis: 17.7% probability

First goal scorer predictions

St. Louis Blues

  • Dylan Holloway: 6.9% probability
  • Robert Thomas: 6.2% probability
  • Jimmy Snuggerud: 5.2% probability
  • Pavel Buchnevich: 4.2% probability
  • Pius Suter: 3.9% probability

Chicago Blackhawks

  • Roman Kantserov: 6.7% probability
  • Tyler Bertuzzi: 5.9% probability
  • Patrick Kane: 5.6% probability
  • Nick Lardis: 3.1% probability
  • Frank Nazar: 3.0% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Tuesday's matchup between the Blackhawks and Blues at United Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Blues, with a 57.4% win probability, will likely beat the Blackhawks in Tuesday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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