Blues vs. Blackhawks prediction: Why St. Louis is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [10/6/2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 57.4% win probability for the Blues at United Center.

NHL action continues on Tuesday at 8:00 PM ET as the St. Louis Blues square off with the Chicago Blackhawks at United Center.
Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Blues as the most likely winner in this Blues vs. Blackhawks prediction.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Blues vs. Hawks prediction and odds
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Blues a 57.4% chance of defeating the Blackhawks. According to our model, the Blackhawks (+1.5) have a 65.1% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 53.6% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Puck Line: Blues -1.5 (+180) / Blackhawks +1.5 (-205)
- Moneyline: Blues -135, Blackhawks +124
- Total: Over/Under 5.5 (-120/+105)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Puck line: Blues -1.5 @ +180 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Blues @ -135 via ESPN BET
- Total: Over 5.5 @ -120 via bet365
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Blues to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Blues vs. Blackhawks player props
Who will score a goal in Blues vs. Blackhawks?
According to our model, Robert Thomas is most likely to score an anytime goal in Blues vs. Blackhawks.
Our projections give Thomas a 33.6% chance of scoring a goal at United Center, while the star is a 6.2% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
St. Louis Blues
- Robert Thomas: 33.6% probability
- Dylan Holloway: 33.0% probability
- Jimmy Snuggerud: 27.1% probability
- Mason McTavish: 23.0% probability
- Pavel Buchnevich: 22.2% probability
Chicago Blackhawks
- Roman Kantserov: 32.9% probability
- Tyler Bertuzzi: 29.9% probability
- Patrick Kane: 25.5% probability
- Frank Nazar: 19.0% probability
- Nick Lardis: 17.7% probability
First goal scorer predictions
St. Louis Blues
- Dylan Holloway: 6.9% probability
- Robert Thomas: 6.2% probability
- Jimmy Snuggerud: 5.2% probability
- Pavel Buchnevich: 4.2% probability
- Pius Suter: 3.9% probability
Chicago Blackhawks
- Roman Kantserov: 6.7% probability
- Tyler Bertuzzi: 5.9% probability
- Patrick Kane: 5.6% probability
- Nick Lardis: 3.1% probability
- Frank Nazar: 3.0% probability
Game info & puck drop details
Tuesday's matchup between the Blackhawks and Blues at United Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: St. Louis Blues vs. Chicago Blackhawks
- Date: Tuesday, October 6, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: United Center
Conclusion
We predict the Blues, with a 57.4% win probability, will likely beat the Blackhawks in Tuesday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



