Islanders vs. Rangers prediction favors Rangers to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [10/6/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Islanders and Rangers, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Rangers a 57.9% chance of beating the Islanders. According to our model, the 5.5-goal over/under has a 52.0% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Islanders +132, Rangers -148
• Total: Over/Under 5.5 (-112/+102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Islanders @ +132 via FanDuel
• Total: Over 5.5 @ -112 via BetRivers

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Islanders to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Islanders vs. Rangers player props

Who will score a goal in Islanders vs. Rangers?

According to our model, Mika Zibanejad is most likely to score an anytime goal in Islanders vs. Rangers.

Our projections give Zibanejad a 34.6% chance of scoring a goal at Madison Square Garden, while the star is a 7.7% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

NY Islanders

• Bo Horvat: 29.3% probability
• Victor Eklund: 23.4% probability
• Simon Holmstrom: 21.7% probability
• Matthew Schaefer: 20.0% probability
• Kyle Palmieri: 19.3% probability

NY Rangers

• Mika Zibanejad: 34.6% probability
• Pavel Dorofeyev: 33.5% probability
• Alexis Lafreniere: 28.8% probability
• Gabe Perreault: 22.5% probability
• J.T. Miller: 21.0% probability

First goal scorer predictions

NY Islanders

• Bo Horvat: 5.9% probability
• Simon Holmstrom: 4.2% probability
• Victor Eklund: 4.1% probability
• Kyle Palmieri: 3.7% probability
• Matthew Schaefer: 3.2% probability

NY Rangers

• Mika Zibanejad: 7.7% probability
• Pavel Dorofeyev: 7.2% probability
• Alexis Lafreniere: 5.5% probability
• Gabe Perreault: 4.1% probability
• J.T. Miller: 3.8% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Tuesday's action between the Rangers and Islanders at Madison Square Garden is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: NY Islanders vs. NY Rangers
• Date: Tuesday, October 6, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Madison Square Garden

Conclusion

We predict the Rangers, with a 57.9% win probability, will likely beat the Islanders in Tuesday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.