Get San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves predictions for NBA Playoffs Friday.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves NBA prediction for Game 3 of the series.
NBA Playoffs action continues on Friday at 9:30 PM ET as the favored San Antonio Spurs lock horns with the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 3 of their 2026 NBA Playoffs series at Target Center.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game 3 matchup.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Timberwolves lineup will feature players like Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels, while the Spurs will be led by Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Spurs vs. Wolves prediction: Who will win Game 3?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA Playoffs matchup between the Spurs and Timberwolves, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Spurs a 67% chance of beating the Timberwolves in Game 3 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 110-106.
According to our model, the Spurs (-4.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 216.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game 3 odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Bet Type
Spurs
Timberwolves
Spread
-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (+100)
Moneyline
-205
+180
Total
o216.5 (-110)
u216.5 (-110)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Spurs vs. Timberwolves picks and best bet for Game 3
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game 3 player props
Betting on Spurs vs. Timberwolves NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.
Victor Wembanyama is expected to lead the Spurs with 27 points, 13 rebounds and 3 assists, while Anthony Edwards is projected to have 22 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists for the Timberwolves.
Victor Wembanyama is projected to score 27 points tonight.
The NBA Playoffs is an annual elimination tournament held to decide the league's champion.
A total of 16 teams, including the Spurs and Timberwolves, reached the 2026 NBA Playoffs, which spans four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round of the NBA Playoffs is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.
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Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Timberwolves in Friday's NBA playoffs matchup.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
