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NBA first basket picks and predictions for Game 7 of 2026 Finals
NBA
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Timberwolves NBA game on May 8, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
115
108
May 9, 1:30 AM Target Center
May 9, 1:30 AM Target Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 23 | 28 | 35 | 29 | 115 |
Timberwolves | 22 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 108 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 23 | 28 | 35 | 29 | 115 |
Timberwolves | 22 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 108 |
Q4 00:10 Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:23 Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:39 Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:50 Julian Champagnie misses two point tip layup
Q4 00:52 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:01 Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:45 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:57 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:10 Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:40 Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
114-108
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-108
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
113-108
Spurs personal foul
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-105
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-105
Spurs 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Ayo Dosunmu)
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses two point tip layup
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-105
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
111-105
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
109-105
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle)
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama)
Stephon Castle turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
109-103
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
106-103
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
106-100
Spurs 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Ayo Dosunmu)
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
104-100
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
102-100
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
102-98
Spurs personal foul
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-97
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-98
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper)
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
99-95
Spurs personal foul
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 1 of 1
99-96
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper)
Jaden McDaniels offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
99-93
+2
Anthony Edwards makes two point jump shot
97-93
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
97-91
Timberwolves personal foul
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
95-91
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper)
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle)
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
95-89
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama)
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle)
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama)
Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
95-87
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
92-87
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
92-84
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
90-84
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
90-81
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-80
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-81
Jaden McDaniels offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
87-79
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-79
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Victor Wembanyama)
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle)
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-78
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-79
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
86-77
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Stoppage (Blood rule)
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-77
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama)
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
83-77
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
81-77
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
79-77
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
79-75
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
77-75
Spurs personal foul
Stephon Castle turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
77-72
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves turnover
Timberwolves personal foul
Spurs offensive rebound
Dylan Harper misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-70
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
75-70
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
76-70
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs personal foul
Jaden McDaniels technical foul (Double)
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Ayo Dosunmu)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper)
Timberwolves turnover
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
74-70
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
74-68
Timberwolves personal foul
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper)
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
72-68
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
69-68
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
69-65
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
66-65
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
66-62
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
66-60
Timberwolves personal foul
De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
64-60
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
64-57
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
61-57
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
61-55
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Julius Randle turnover (offensive foul)
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Ayo Dosunmu)
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
59-55
Spurs personal foul
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Julius Randle misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
59-53
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
56-53
Ayo Dosunmu offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
56-51
Timberwolves turnover
Spurs turnover
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-51
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-51
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
51-51
Spurs personal foul
Stephon Castle turnover
Instant replay
Instant replay
End of 1st Half.
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
51-48
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
49-48
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
47-48
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Naz Reid personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-46
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle)
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama)
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Terrence Shannon Jr. defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
46-46
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama)
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Julius Randle)
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Julius Randle)
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama)
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama)
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Julius Randle)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
45-46
Spurs personal foul
Stephon Castle turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama)
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid)
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
45-43
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
45-41
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
43-41
Anthony Edwards offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Naz Reid turnover (offensive foul)
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Naz Reid misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Naz Reid misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-38
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-39
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid)
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid)
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
43-37
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Dylan Harper misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-37
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-37
Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Timberwolves turnover
Spurs personal foul
De'Aaron Fox turnover (offensive foul)
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle)
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper)
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-36
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-37
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper)
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
39-35
Spurs personal foul
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-34
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-35
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Devin Vassell, Carter Bryant, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Jaden McDaniels offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
35-33
Timberwolves personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Carter Bryant, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper)
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
36-33
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
33-33
Jaden McDaniels offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+3
Harrison Barnes makes three point jump shot
33-34
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs turnover
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
30-34
Anthony Edwards turnover (lost ball)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
30-31
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
29-31
Spurs personal foul
Instant replay
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle)
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Victor Wembanyama)
+1
Naz Reid makes regular free throw 1 of 2
27-30
+1
Naz Reid makes regular free throw 2 of 2
27-31
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
27-29
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
25-29
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
25-26
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
23-26
Naz Reid offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Terrence Shannon Jr. defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
23-24
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
23-22
Instant replay
End of 1st Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama)
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Julius Randle)
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
23-19
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
23-16
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Ayo Dosunmu misses two point jump shot
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-16
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Spurs personal foul
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
20-15
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle)
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama)
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-16
Spurs turnover
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
20-14
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
20-12
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
18-12
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
18-10
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
18-8
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Spurs turnover
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Ayo Dosunmu)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
18-6
Spurs turnover
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
17-3
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
18-3
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
16-3
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Naz Reid personal foul
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Ayo Dosunmu)
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
14-3
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
14-1
Timberwolves personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper)
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Ayo Dosunmu)
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper)
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Naz Reid offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Spurs personal foul
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
11-1
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
9-1
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
6-1
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
7-1
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Timberwolves turnover
Mike Conley defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
4-1
Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
4-0
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Mike Conley defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
2-0
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle, Mike Conley)
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama)
Start of 1st Quarter
(Anthony Edwards gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Spurs vs. Timberwolves: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Spurs vs. Timberwolves
- Date: Friday, May 8, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Target Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -4.5
- Total (Over/Under): 216.5
- Moneyline Odds: Spurs -199, Timberwolves +199
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Spurs: 70%
- Timberwolves: 30%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 112-106 Timberwolves.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 70%, while the Timberwolves have a win probability of 30%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Timberwolves in the NBA game at Target Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Spurs vs. Timberwolves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
