As Spain, Portugal and Switzerland enter Round of 32 action, Polymarket and Kalshi promo code "DIMERS" extends $50 + $10 bonuses into Thursday's World Cup matches

Thursday July 2 brings three more Round of 32 matches, each sitting at a different point on the competitive spectrum. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have full prop markets live on Spain vs Austria at 3:00 PM EDT, Portugal vs Croatia at 7:00 PM EDT, and Switzerland vs Algeria at 11:00 PM EDT. Spain are the most heavily favored side of the day, Portugal sit in a genuinely competitive match against Croatia, and Switzerland vs Algeria is close to a coin flip. Traders on both platforms can access sign-up bonuses using promo code DIMERS: deposit $20 on Polymarket and receive $50 in trading funds, or trade $10 on Kalshi and receive a $10 bonus.

Spain vs Austria — July 2, 3:00 PM EDT

Spain are the most heavily favored team across all three matches today. Kalshi prices Spain to advance at 87%, with Austria at just 13%. Polymarket's three-way regulation time market has Spain at 76%, a draw at 18%, and Austria at 8%, with the team-to-advance market going to Spain at 88¢. Both platforms agree this is close to a formality — the question, as with England earlier in the round, is the margin rather than the outcome.

The Spain -1.5 spread at exactly 50% on Kalshi is the standout figure — despite Spain being 87% to advance, a multi-goal margin is a precise coin flip. Spain over 2.5 goals at just 37% reinforces this: traders see a comfortable Spanish win as far more likely to be 2-0 or 2-1 than a true rout. Austria over 0.5 at 44% suggests a clean sheet is the more probable outcome for Spain, but not by an overwhelming margin.

Portugal vs Croatia — July 2, 7:00 PM EDT

The most competitive of the day's three matches. Polymarket's regulation time market has Portugal at 55%, a draw at 28%, and Croatia at 19% — the highest draw probability across all three games. Kalshi's advances market shows Portugal at 70% and Croatia at 30%, with a meaningful share of Portugal's edge coming from extra time and penalties rather than a dominant regulation time performance.

Portugal vs Croatia carries the sharpest combination of signals of the day. Croatia over 0.5 goals at 61% on Kalshi, paired with Portugal -1.5 at just 29%, points clearly toward a tight, competitive match rather than a routine Portuguese win. With the draw priced at 28% on Polymarket — second only in the entire round to a handful of genuinely even matches — this is the contest of the day where the underdog has the most realistic statistical path forward.

Switzerland vs Algeria — July 2, 11:00 PM EDT

The closest match of the day by win probability. Polymarket's regulation time market has Switzerland at just 48%, a draw at 30%, and Algeria at 24% — essentially the same shape as Portugal vs Croatia but with an even smaller favorite edge. Kalshi's advances market shows Switzerland at 65% and Algeria at 35%, again reflecting the extra time and penalty dimension layered on top of a tight regulation time picture.

This is the day's tightest market by every measure. Algeria over 0.5 goals at 66% — combined with the Switzerland -1.5 spread sitting at just 22% — suggests traders expect Algeria to be competitive for the full match rather than overwhelmed. With the under on 2.5 goals favored at 56% and Switzerland's own over 1.5 at a near coin flip, a low-scoring 1-1 draw heading to extra time is arguably the single most internally consistent outcome the market is pricing across all three of Thursday's fixtures. For broader World Cup coverage, the Dimers prediction market insights hub is updated after every match. For a primer on how prediction markets process live sporting events, the Dimers guide covers the mechanics in detail.

Promo Code DIMERS: Active on Polymarket and Kalshi for All Three Matches

Enter DIMERS at registration on either platform. The code cannot be applied to an existing account. The Polymarket promo code DIMERS has been verified through June 2026 and unlocks $50 in trading funds when you sign up and deposit $20. Full details on the Polymarket offer are available on the Dimers Polymarket promo code page. To trade any of today's matches on Kalshi with promo code DIMERS, sign up here.

Polymarket is a prediction market platform, not a sportsbook. Users trade positions on event outcomes using real funds. Must be 18+ and eligible under applicable law. Trading involves risk. Bonus subject to Polymarket's current terms and conditions. Offer valid for new accounts only.

Kalshi: Must be 18 years or older and have a legal, U.S. residential address within the applicable state, D.C., or U.S. territories. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, and OH.