NFL Same Game Parlay Tonight: Eagles vs. Chiefs on Monday Night FootballLast updated: | Published:
The 2023 NFL season finishes up Week 11 NFL action with a Super Bowl rematch between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles in Arrowhead. Dimers has got you covered for Monday night's main event as we put our NFL player prop bets to the test, combining our model's best parlay picks of the night into a Same Game Parlay that you're going to want to lock in and ride out with us.
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NFL +575 Same Game Parlay For Monday
Kadarius Toney (KC) Over 5.5 Receiving Yards
Patrick Mahomes (KC) Under 25.5 Rushing Yards
AJ Brown (PHI) Anytime TD
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Monday Night Football Parlay Analysis
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs 8:15PM ET
LEG 1: Kadarius Toney Over 5.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Yes, that is *the* Kadarius Toney, the one and only. Seemingly forever stuck in a "will they or won't they" saga that would rival the best sitcom romances a la Ross and Rachel, JD and Elliot, etc, Toney can't seem to find a consistent role since entering the league. Phantom hamstring injuries had him shipped from the Giants to the Chiefs before getting halfway through his rookie deal and though he's shown sparks of talent, it hasn't truly materialized. However, his receiving line set at an absurdly low point tonight, just 5.5 yards. Even in his limited usage, he's hit this mark in all but three games this year, even doing so twice with a single reception, including two of the past three weeks. DimersBOT gives Toney a 77% probability of clearing this mark again and against the Eagles' surprisingly fourth-worst pass defense in the league, we like those chances against his posted odds.
MORE: Best NFL Prop Picks
LEG 2: Patrick Mahomes (KC) Under 25.5 Rushing Yards (-125)
Not the Patrick Mahomes prop you probably expected, but we go where the value takes us! While we mentioned the Eagles allow the fourth-most passing yards per game, they also happen to allow the fewest rushing yards in the entire league. At an almost comically low number, 66.3 yards per game, the Eagles stuff the run at every opportunity. Andy Reid knows this and won't play into his former team's hand, doing his best to expose their pass game deficiencies on defense. Expect a pass-heavy gameplan and Patrick Mahomes who has gone under this number in back-to-back games, and three of his last five, to do so again. And don't underestimate the kneel-down factor; if the Chiefs have the ball late with the lead a couple kneel downs can always save the day! DimersBOT has projected a 66% probability of the Under tonight, good enough for a 10.2% edge in the odds as well.
LEG 3: AJ Brown (PHI) Anytime TD Scorer (+135)
We'll finish this parlay with the biggest leg, and that's our man A.J. Brown to record his seventh receiving touchdown of the year. He's scored in three straight games and is fresh off a bye week. He had a six-game streak of 120+ yards snapped against the Cowboys but still racked up seven catches and a score. He's got speed, elite size and dominates at the point of catch. Kansas City's defense has been pretty stout this year, allowing the fourth-fewest yards through the air and about 1.5 TDs per game via the pass. It's not an easy matchup for Brown, but that's why we're getting such good odds and our model still identifies a 46% probability of a score.
Let’s cash out this +575 winner on Monday Night Football, and don't forget to bet this with DraftKings Sportsbook where new users can get $150 in bonus bets after betting just $5 as well as a Sweat-Free Parlay every single day during the NFL season!
NFL +575 Same Game Parlay Monday, November 20, 2023
1️⃣ Kadarius Toney Over 5.5 Receiving Yards
2️⃣ Patrick Mahomes Under 25.5 Rushing Yards
3️⃣ AJ Brown Anytime TD Scorer
The best odds for this SGP are over at DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change.
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